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Deterrence & Foreign Policy

What is shaping American nuclear modernization, nuclear strategy, policy, and operations?

Failed Deterrence and Misplaced Compellence in Gaza

Failed Deterrence and Misplaced Compellence in Gaza

The October 7, 2023, Hamas surprise attack on Israel proved that Israel’s strategy of deterrence was a failure. After two destructive wars in Gaza, in 2014 and 2021, the hope that…
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Huessy Seminar: After Iran, What Will Policing Nonproliferation Require? with Henry Sokolski

Huessy Seminar: After Iran, What Will Policing Nonproliferation Require? with Henry Sokolski

On July 18, 2025, Henry Sokolski explored the evolving challenges of nuclear nonproliferation in a post-Iran strike environment. He argues that effective nonproliferation requires both sound rules and credible enforcement—neither…
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Pakistan Is Not Building an ICBM to Attack America

Pakistan Is Not Building an ICBM to Attack America

Misperceptions are circulating that Pakistan is an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) threat to the United States despite the fact that none of its missiles have a range beyond 2,750 kilometers…
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Deterrence Down Under Podcast: Wargaming-A Strategic Tool for Defence with Darren Huxley and John McGarry

Deterrence Down Under Podcast: Wargaming-A Strategic Tool for Defence with Darren Huxley and John McGarry

This conversation delves into the significance of wargaming in enhancing defence strategies in Australia. The hosts and guests discuss the definitions, types, and structures of wargames, their target audiences, and…
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Trump’s Trade and Tariff Policy Benefits America’s Nuclear Deterrent

Trump’s Trade and Tariff Policy Benefits America’s Nuclear Deterrent

Recently, President Donald Trump established a new Trade and Tariff Reciprocity Policy. In his signed memo, he stated, “It is the policy of the United States to reduce our large…
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Taiwan’s Nuclear What-If:  Implications for U.S. Strategy and Global Security

Taiwan’s Nuclear What-If: Implications for U.S. Strategy and Global Security

In October 1964, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) tested its first nuclear device at Lop Nur in China’s western Xinjiang province. Shocked by the test, Taiwan’s President Chiang Kai-shek was…
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An Endgame in Ukraine

An Endgame in Ukraine

The incoming Trump administration will pick up the Ukraine dossier where the outgoing administration left it. As American leadership moves away from election rhetorics and back to the reality of…
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Six Hours of Crisis: Martial Law, Democracy, and Leadership in South Korea

Six Hours of Crisis: Martial Law, Democracy, and Leadership in South Korea

Korea was referred to as the “Land of the Morning Calm” and the “Hermit Kingdom” by those who founded it centuries ago. These titles reflect the nation's historical isolation and…
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Proposing Maritime Confidence-Building Measures between India and Pakistan

Proposing Maritime Confidence-Building Measures between India and Pakistan

There are escalating tensions between India and Pakistan in the Indian Ocean region (IOR), which underscores the need for maritime confidence-building measures (CBM) and risk-reduction strategies to avoid any probability…
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Strategic Sufficiency Is Not Enough

Strategic Sufficiency Is Not Enough

In an August 23, 2024, webinar, Col. (Ret.) Curtis McGiffin and Adam Lowther, PhD, introduced the concept of “dynamic parity” as nuclear strategy for the next presidential administration. Their approach…
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Weekend Gouge – November 8, 2024

Weekend Gouge – November 8, 2024

What to know for the weekend: Reports The Only Nuclear Deterrence Strategy America Needs. Dynamic Parity by Curtis McGiffin and Adam Lowther https://thinkdeterrence.com/dynamic-parity/ The latest ICBM EAR Report by Peter…
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