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Deterrence & Foreign Policy

What is shaping American nuclear modernization, nuclear strategy, policy, and operations?

Iran’s Strategic Logic of Instability

Iran’s Strategic Logic of Instability

Published: July 31, 2026 The previously concluded and now cancelled US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) revealed a paradox at the heart of the Middle East security landscape. Both sides have…
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Space Fortitude: Applying the Lessons of Operation Fortitude to Space Deterrence and Warfighting

Space Fortitude: Applying the Lessons of Operation Fortitude to Space Deterrence and Warfighting

Published:  July 28, 2026 Throughout military history, few deception operations have rivaled the strategic brilliance of Operation Fortitude. Conducted before the Allied invasion of Normandy in June 1944, Fortitude did not seek to…
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NATO 3.0 and the Nuclear Arsenal It Requires

NATO 3.0 and the Nuclear Arsenal It Requires

Published: July 6, 2026  Contemporary disagreements between the U.S. and its NATO allies have intensified over political, economic, and security issues. Disputes over trade, tariffs, defense spending, and expeditionary support reveal an unhealthy frustration with burden-sharing demands and…
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The Interconnection of Nuclear Energy and Quantum Technology

The Interconnection of Nuclear Energy and Quantum Technology

Published: June 16, 2026 One might think nuclear energy and quantum technology as unrelated. One concerns power plants, uranium, and electrical grids. The other revolves around next-generation computers, ultra-precise sensors,…
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Beyond the American Umbrella: Europe’s Turn to Forward Deterrence

Beyond the American Umbrella: Europe’s Turn to Forward Deterrence

Published: 20 May 2026 In his “Ile Longue” speech on March 2, 2026, French President Emmanuel Macron delivered a message that will echo across European capitals for years to come.…
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From Bilateralism to Multilateralism: Washington’s Push for Strategic Stability Through the P5

From Bilateralism to Multilateralism: Washington’s Push for Strategic Stability Through the P5

Published: May 5, 2026 With the New START’s expiration on February 5, 2026, the world has entered a new era in nuclear arms control, reflecting the evolving realities of the…
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Silent Signals: Russian and Chinese Conventional Threats to NC3 and U.S. Extended Deterrence in Australia

Silent Signals: Russian and Chinese Conventional Threats to NC3 and U.S. Extended Deterrence in Australia

Published: April 27, 2026 Introduction Russia’s recent deployment of a conventionally armed, diesel-powered submarine to Indonesia should not be dismissed as routine naval activity. It is a calculated strategic signal.…
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Iran’s Missile-Drone Campaign and Its Implications for the United States’ Deterrence

Iran’s Missile-Drone Campaign and Its Implications for the United States’ Deterrence

Published: April 16, 2026 The ongoing conflict involving Iran, the United States, and Israel has produced one of the most significant case studies in the evolution of contemporary warfare. Iran,…
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Beyond New START: Prospects for U.S.–Russian Nuclear Arms Control

Beyond New START: Prospects for U.S.–Russian Nuclear Arms Control

Published: April 14, 2026 For more than half a century, U.S.–Russian nuclear arms control has served as a central mechanism for managing strategic competition. Beginning with the 1972 Strategic Arms…
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Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 4: Blueprint for an Indo-Pacific Nuclear Alliance

Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 4: Blueprint for an Indo-Pacific Nuclear Alliance

Published: April 9, 2026 The Indo-Pacific is rapidly emerging as the central theatre of global strategic competition. Unlike the Cold War in Europe, where nuclear deterrence involved two superpowers across…
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From Shaheds to Strait Control: Why Iran Can Still Influence Global Trade

From Shaheds to Strait Control: Why Iran Can Still Influence Global Trade

On Saturday, the 14th of March 2026, President Donald Trump stated that the United States had destroyed ‘100% of Iran’s military capability’. If there is one thing that the war…
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Reciprocity in Deterrence, Not Just Trade

Reciprocity in Deterrence, Not Just Trade

Published: April 2, 2026 On December 23, 2025, the Pentagon released its annual 2025 China Military Power Report to Congress—a reminder that America is still trying to deter tomorrow with…
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