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Deterrence & Foreign Policy

What is shaping American nuclear modernization, nuclear strategy, policy, and operations?

From Bilateralism to Multilateralism: Washington’s Push for Strategic Stability Through the P5

From Bilateralism to Multilateralism: Washington’s Push for Strategic Stability Through the P5

Published: May 5, 2026 With the New START’s expiration on February 5, 2026, the world has entered a new era in nuclear arms control, reflecting the evolving realities of the…
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Silent Signals: Russian and Chinese Conventional Threats to NC3 and U.S. Extended Deterrence in Australia

Silent Signals: Russian and Chinese Conventional Threats to NC3 and U.S. Extended Deterrence in Australia

Published: April 27, 2026 Introduction Russia’s recent deployment of a conventionally armed, diesel-powered submarine to Indonesia should not be dismissed as routine naval activity. It is a calculated strategic signal.…
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Iran’s Missile-Drone Campaign and Its Implications for the United States’ Deterrence

Iran’s Missile-Drone Campaign and Its Implications for the United States’ Deterrence

Published: April 16, 2026 The ongoing conflict involving Iran, the United States, and Israel has produced one of the most significant case studies in the evolution of contemporary warfare. Iran,…
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Beyond New START: Prospects for U.S.–Russian Nuclear Arms Control

Beyond New START: Prospects for U.S.–Russian Nuclear Arms Control

Published: April 14, 2026 For more than half a century, U.S.–Russian nuclear arms control has served as a central mechanism for managing strategic competition. Beginning with the 1972 Strategic Arms…
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Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 4: Blueprint for an Indo-Pacific Nuclear Alliance

Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 4: Blueprint for an Indo-Pacific Nuclear Alliance

Published: April 9, 2026 The Indo-Pacific is rapidly emerging as the central theatre of global strategic competition. Unlike the Cold War in Europe, where nuclear deterrence involved two superpowers across…
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From Shaheds to Strait Control: Why Iran Can Still Influence Global Trade

From Shaheds to Strait Control: Why Iran Can Still Influence Global Trade

On Saturday, the 14th of March 2026, President Donald Trump stated that the United States had destroyed ‘100% of Iran’s military capability’. If there is one thing that the war…
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Reciprocity in Deterrence, Not Just Trade

Reciprocity in Deterrence, Not Just Trade

Published: April 2, 2026 On December 23, 2025, the Pentagon released its annual 2025 China Military Power Report to Congress—a reminder that America is still trying to deter tomorrow with…
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Why Washington Has Turned to Pakistan—and What It Means for India

Why Washington Has Turned to Pakistan—and What It Means for India

Published: March 16, 2026 In the summer and fall of 2025, Washington’s decision-makers faced an urgent question: which partners could act immediately and deliver tangible results? This focus on short-term…
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Is The Air Campaign Against Iran an Illegal Use of Force?

Is The Air Campaign Against Iran an Illegal Use of Force?

Published: March 12, 2026 Whenever the United States resorts to military force, the same question echoes through Washington and beyond: Did President Trump act within the law? Recent controversies surrounding…
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CARRIER, CHOKEPOINT, AND COERCION: THE DYNAMICS OF IRAN-US CONFLICT

CARRIER, CHOKEPOINT, AND COERCION: THE DYNAMICS OF IRAN-US CONFLICT

Published: March 9, 2026 (Editor’s Note: This article was submitted before the U.S.-Iran conflict began. We intentionally left the article as “forward looking” to signify the value of the analysis.) …
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Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact: Why the Indo-Pacific Requires a Nuclear Alliance

Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact: Why the Indo-Pacific Requires a Nuclear Alliance

Published: March 5, 2026 The Indo-Pacific is entering a far more dangerous strategic era. Military modernization, grey-zone coercion, and rapid nuclear expansion are reshaping the regional balance of power. Most…
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Learning to Love the Atom Again: Why the Future of Artificial Intelligence is Nuclear

Learning to Love the Atom Again: Why the Future of Artificial Intelligence is Nuclear

Published: February 23, 2026 In his speech before the United Nations General Assembly on 8 December 1953, President Dwight Eisenhower proposed - in paraphrased terms- that the atom bomb be…
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