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Deterrence

The Political Power Battle in Tehran

The Political Power Battle in Tehran

Published: October 1, 2026 As Iran signals its willingness to pursue fighting, one of the most important power struggles to watch in the Middle East today is not between Iran…
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Resilience Never Activated, Deters No One

Resilience Never Activated, Deters No One

Published: September 28, 2026 Deterrence by denial rests on a practical promise. An attack on a state’s infrastructure will not produce the effect an adversary expects. Resilience contributes to that…
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Exporting Ukraine’s Lessons: The Risks of Transferring the Wrong Lessons to the Asia-Pacific

Exporting Ukraine’s Lessons: The Risks of Transferring the Wrong Lessons to the Asia-Pacific

Published: September 15, 2026 Having observed the war from within the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, one is struck by two simultaneous situations: the extraordinary tactical adaptation…
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China’s Dual-Capable Missiles and Inadvertent Nuclear Escalation

China’s Dual-Capable Missiles and Inadvertent Nuclear Escalation

Published: September 14, 2026 China's expanding force of dual-capable missiles is creating a growing source of ambiguity in U.S.-China deterrence. The People's Liberation Army Rocket Force (PLARF) operates conventional and…
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Why the Middle East Needs a New Collective Defense Arrangement After the Iran War 

Why the Middle East Needs a New Collective Defense Arrangement After the Iran War 

Published: September 1, 2026  The Iran War may eventually end through a ceasefire, an interim agreement, or a broader diplomatic settlement. Regardless of how the fighting stops, one thing has become impossible to ignore.…
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North Korea’s Emerging Limited Nuclear-Use Strategy

North Korea’s Emerging Limited Nuclear-Use Strategy

Published: August 10, 2926 North Korea’s expanding nuclear arsenal is changing more than just the amount of destruction Pyongyang could inflict. This may be altering the North Korean leadership’s way of calculating…
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Iran’s Strategic Logic of Instability

Iran’s Strategic Logic of Instability

Published: July 31, 2026 The previously concluded and now cancelled US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) revealed a paradox at the heart of the Middle East security landscape. Both sides have…
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The Iran War and Nuclear Weapons: Paths Forward or Backward?

The Iran War and Nuclear Weapons: Paths Forward or Backward?

Published: July 14, 2026 The announcement of a mid-June 2026 agreement between the United States and Iran on a framework for resolving the conflict that began on February 28 promised immediate relief for…
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The Beijing Summit and The Future of Taiwan-US Relations

The Beijing Summit and The Future of Taiwan-US Relations

Published: July 13, 2026 The central issue underlying the 2026 Beijing summit was not trade, agriculture, or aircraft purchases, but the future of Taiwan and the evolving structure of U.S.-China relations in the Indo-Pacific.…
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NATO 3.0 and the Nuclear Arsenal It Requires

NATO 3.0 and the Nuclear Arsenal It Requires

Published: July 6, 2026  Contemporary disagreements between the U.S. and its NATO allies have intensified over political, economic, and security issues. Disputes over trade, tariffs, defense spending, and expeditionary support reveal an unhealthy frustration with burden-sharing demands and…
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Redrawn Boundaries in the Eastern Mediterranean: Türkiye’s New Legal Moves

Redrawn Boundaries in the Eastern Mediterranean: Türkiye’s New Legal Moves

Published: June 29, 2026 An Exclusive Economic Zone does not grant absolute territorial sovereignty to a coastal state. However, it secures the exclusive rights of a coastal state to explore…
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Strategic Corruption and the Future of Hybrid Warfare

Strategic Corruption and the Future of Hybrid Warfare

Published: June 23, 2026 During the Cold War, deterrence centered on missiles, troop deployments, and nuclear escalation. Military power still matters enormously, but modern strategic competition increasingly unfolds far from conventional battlefields. Rival states…
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