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Deterrence

Turkey’s ICBM: Ambition for Autonomy

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Government & Politics, Strategic Adversariesalliance priorities, alliance reliance, America, American nuclear commitment, arms dependence, arms embargoes, arms supplier., autonomy, ballistic missile, civilian space, command and control, defense self-sufficiency, Deterrence, deterrent capabilities, domestic aerospace, drone, eastern Mediterranean, escalation risks, EU, foreign defense suppliers, forward deterrence, France, geopolitical power, Germany, ICBM, instability, Iran, Iraq, long-range ballistic capabilities, long-range strike, military power, Military Technology, missile, missile ambitions, missile security, national sovereignty, National Technology Initiative, NATO, NATO Europe, Non-Proliferation Treaty, nuclear arsenal, nuclear delivery capability, Nuclear Deterrence, nuclear warhead, Nuclear Weapons, operational freedom, payload, Poland, power projection, precision guidance, reentry vehicle, regional influence, rocket propulsion, Russia, sanctions, satellite-launch, Somalia, sovereignty, spaceport, state security, strategic ambitions, strategic autonomy, strategic calculations, strategic independence, Syria, technological progress, Ukraine, Western security, Yildirimhan

Turkey’s ICBM: Ambition for Autonomy

Curtis McGiffin0 Comments

Published: May 26, 2026 At the recent SAHA Expo 2026, Turkey unveiled a mock-up of the Yildirimhan (Thunderbolt) and released details about the long-range, four-engined, liquid-fueled ballistic missile. The designation…

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The Halls of Ivy and National Defense

Archive, Defense & Security, Government & Politics, Strategic Adversariesactivism, antisemitism, armed forces, campus protests, categorization, China, classroom discourse, Columbia University, counterinsurgency, Deterrence, education policy, education reform, engineering, family values, federal government, First Amendment, free speech, global competitiveness, government micro-management, Harvard, innovation, international threats, Ivy League, Leadership, learning experiences, Middle America, military, military academies, military experience, military service, National defense, National Security, NIDS, Nuclear Weapons, OODA loop, patriotism, Penn State-Brandywine, political influence, public institutions, radicals, research funding, Routledge Handbook, Russia, science, settlement, society, space warfare, Stephen J. Cimbala, technology, Trump administration, Ukraine, universities, University of Pennsylvania, urban terrorism, war fighting, workforce

The Halls of Ivy and National Defense

Stephen Cimbala2 Comments

Published: May 19, 2026 The relationship between the federal government and American universities is tense and often misunderstood. The gap between the purposes and priorities of government, on one side,…

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Quiet Warfare: Bending Data and Perceptions in the Defense Industrial Base

AI & Deterrence, Archive, Bonus Reads, Defense & Security, Economics & Trade, Emerging Threatsaccess control, agentic AI, attack surface, counterfeit insertion, cyber intrusion, data manipulation, data provenance, defense industrial base, Deterrence, hybrid campaigns, identity systems, influence narratives, Information Operations, intellectual property theft, logging, microsegmentation, National Security, One moment, predictive maintenance, production delays, reconnaissance, resilience, supply chain manipulation, supply chain visibility, working through the calculations for this response in more detail.artificial intelligence, zero trust

Quiet Warfare: Bending Data and Perceptions in the Defense Industrial Base

Greg Sharpe0 Comments

Published: May 14, 2026 Artificial intelligence is quietly redrawing the front lines of national security, and the United States’ Defense Industrial Base (DIB) now sits in the crosshairs of a…

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07

May

Archive, Strategic Adversariesair denial, alliance fragmentation, alliance politics, Arab nations, Bahrain, chokepoints, coalition lessons., coalitions, confidence-building, counterintelligence, defense investments, Deterrence, Egypt, five eyes, GCC, geostrategy, Gulf Cooperation Council, Gulf States, Here is a comma-separated list of keywords derived from the document: Middle East, Intelligence, intelligence warfare, interoperability, Iran, Israel, Kuwait, Levant, MENA, MESA, Middle East Strategic Alliance, military innovations, military intelligence, military readiness, multi-domain operations, natural resources, North Africa, persian gulf, political reconciliation, psychological operations, PSYOPS, Qatar blockade, regional security, Saudi Arabia, security architecture, Strategic Alliances, strategic differences, surveillance, Syria, technical expertise, threat assessment, trade passages, Turkey, UAE, United States, weapons systems, Yemen

A Counterintelligence Profile: Are High-Fliers Ready?

Hamza Chaudhary0 Comments

Published: May 7, 2026 For the geopolitics of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), it is a time of great anxiety. With the non-Arab actors engaging in another tense…

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Trumping NATO

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Defense & Security, Economics & Trade, Geopolitics in Deterrence, Strategic Adversariesaggression, Arms Control, China, conventional war-fighting, Crimea, crinks, defense, Deterrence, drone warfare, European allies, European Security, Finland, France, gas prices, global stability, Here is a comma separated list of keywords extracted from the paper:Trump, Iran war, Israel, Ivo Daalder, Macron, Middle East, Military Strategy, Military support, military-industrial complex, NATO, North Korea, nuclear deterrent, oil prices, Operation Epic Fury, public opinion, Russia, shipping, Strait of Hormuz, Sweden, Truth Social, U.S. withdrawal, Ukraine, Vladimir Putin, Volodymyr Zelensky, world peace

Trumping NATO

Stephen Cimbala1 Comment

Published: April 28, 2026 Amid U.S. involvement in a war against Iran, President Donald J. Trump has decided to double down on previous public expressions of disregard and distrust toward…

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Iran’s Missile-Drone Campaign and Its Implications for the United States’ Deterrence

Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Defense & Security, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic AdversariesAir Defense, air superiority, alliance management, Arms Control, asymmetric capabilities, Attrition, ballistic missiles, Campaign, China, cost-effective interception, cost-exchange dilemma, crisis stability, cruise missiles, defensive inventories, Deterrence, Diplomacy, directed energy, directed energy weapons, Doctrine, drone, electronic warfare, extended deterrence, Golden Dome, Indo-Pacific, Iran, Iron Dome, Middle East, missile, non-state actors, nonproliferation, Patriot, precision strike, procurement, proliferation, resource allocation, Russia, saturation attacks, South Asia, strategic adaptation, strategic attrition, THAAD, United States, unmanned aerial systems

Iran’s Missile-Drone Campaign and Its Implications for the United States’ Deterrence

Tahir Mahmood Azad0 Comments

Published: April 16, 2026 The ongoing conflict involving Iran, the United States, and Israel has produced one of the most significant case studies in the evolution of contemporary warfare. Iran,…

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Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 4: Blueprint for an Indo-Pacific Nuclear Alliance

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic AdversariesAlpha-India Consultancy, Australia, B-1B Lancer, B-2 Spirit, B-21 raider, B-52 Stratofortress, B61 nuclear bombs, China, Deterrence, distributed deterrence, dual-capable platforms, extended deterrence, F-35A Lightning II, flashpoints, forward deployment, gravity bombs, hosting arrangements, Indo-Pacific, Indo-Pacific Studies Center, intercontinental ballistic missile launchers, Japan, land-based missile launchers, Long-Range Stand-Off nuclear cruise missiles, maritime distances, National Institute for Deterrence Studies. , NATO, North Korea, nuclear alliance, nuclear forces, nuclear protection, nuclear sea-launched cruise missiles, nuclear-armed adversaries, Open Nuclear Network., Philippines, regional allies, Russia, second-strike capability, South China Sea, South Korea, sovereign nuclear capabilities, strategic architecture, strategic competition, strategic stability, submarine-based systems, submarine-launched ballistic missiles, Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons, United States

Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 4: Blueprint for an Indo-Pacific Nuclear Alliance

Natalie Treloar0 Comments

Published: April 9, 2026 The Indo-Pacific is rapidly emerging as the central theatre of global strategic competition. Unlike the Cold War in Europe, where nuclear deterrence involved two superpowers across…

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Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 2: Gray zone campaigns and activities conducted by China, North Korea, and Russia in the Indo-Pacific

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Strategic Adversariesallied resolve. , China, Cyber Espionage, cyber operations, Deterrence, Disinformation campaigns, economic coercion, gray zone, hybrid tactics, Indo-Pacific, Information Warfare, lawfare, maritime coercion, military provocations, North Korea, nuclear security architecture, regional stability, resilience, Russia, sanctions-evasion networks, strategic competition, strategic signalling

Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 2: Gray zone campaigns and activities conducted by China, North Korea, and Russia in the Indo-Pacific

Natalie Treloar0 Comments

Published: April 6, 2026 Strategic competition in the Indo-Pacific is increasingly taking place in the “gray zone”—the space between routine state competition and open warfare. Rather than relying solely on…

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Reciprocity in Deterrence, Not Just Trade

Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Emerging Threats, Strategic Adversariesadversaries, allies, Arms Race, Artemis II, budget, China, Concurrency, congress, credibility, Deterrence, dynamic parity, Execution, extended deterrence, Force Planning, military, modernization, Multipolar , National Strategic Deterrence Fund, nuclear, pentagon, Reciprocity, Russia, strategic, Sufficiency, tactical, Trade, warheads

Reciprocity in Deterrence, Not Just Trade

Joseph H. Lyons1 Comment

Published: April 2, 2026 On December 23, 2025, the Pentagon released its annual 2025 China Military Power Report to Congress—a reminder that America is still trying to deter tomorrow with…

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Deterrence on Layaway: A Shutdown’s Quiet Assault on American Security

Archive, Defense & Security, Strategic Adversariesadversaries, allies, Artemis II, aviation, biodefense, budget, congress, continuity, Deterrence, deterrence studies , disruption, Government, health, HHS, morale, nation, preparedness, Public Health, readiness, resilience, screening, security, Shutdown, surveillance, TSA, vulnerability, workforce

Deterrence on Layaway: A Shutdown’s Quiet Assault on American Security

Brandon Toliver0 Comments

Published: March 30, 2026 A nation does not need to lose a battle to look weak. Sometimes it only needs to miss a paycheck. Washington often treats budget shutdowns as…

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Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 3: A Nuclear Alliance as the Ultimate Backstop to Grey Zone Coercion

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Emerging Threats, Strategic Adversariesalliances, catastrophic conflict. , coercion, conventional responses, cyber operations, Deterrence, Disinformation campaigns, economic coercion, escalation management, extended deterrence, grey-zone, Indo-Pacific, maritime harassment, military provocations, Non-proliferation, nuclear alliance, Nuclear Deterrence, political resolve, security guarantees, stability, strategic competition, strategic environment

Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 3: A Nuclear Alliance as the Ultimate Backstop to Grey Zone Coercion

Natalie Treloar0 Comments

Published: March 26, 2026 Strategic competition in the Indo-Pacific increasingly occurs in the grey zone, the space between routine statecraft and open armed conflict. China, North Korea, Russia, and Iran…

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A Blueprint for Deterring War Over Taiwan

Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Emerging Threats, Strategic AdversariesAlan Dowd, alliances, Army Rotational Force-Philippines, ATACMS missiles, Australia, B-52s, Britain, CENTCOM, China, cold war, defense budget, Defense Spending, Deterrence, F-16V fighters, F-35s, France, Global Security Review, HIMARS systems, INDOPACOM, Israel, Japan, military options, military spending, Norway, Okinawa, Operation Epic Fury, Palau, Patriot systems, porcupine defense, PRC, Sagamore Institute, security, strategic ambiguity, strategic clarity, Taiwan, Taiwan Strait, Task Force-Philippines, Typhon missile systems, United States, World War I, World War II, Xi Jinping

A Blueprint for Deterring War Over Taiwan

Alan Dowd0 Comments

Published: March 23, 2026 Two parties have watched Operation Epic Fury (OEF) from a distance. China has been taking notes. The United States Indo-Pacific Command (INDOPACOM) has tracked munitions consumption…

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