Topic:extended deterrence — Global Security Review %

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Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 4: Blueprint for an Indo-Pacific Nuclear Alliance

Natalie Treloar0 Comments

Published: April 9, 2026 The Indo-Pacific is rapidly emerging as the central theatre of global strategic competition. Unlike the Cold War in Europe, where nuclear deterrence involved two superpowers across…

Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Emerging Threats, Strategic Adversariesadversaries, allies, Arms Race, Artemis II, budget, China, Concurrency, congress, credibility, Deterrence, dynamic parity, Execution, extended deterrence, Force Planning, military, modernization, Multipolar , National Strategic Deterrence Fund, nuclear, pentagon, Reciprocity, Russia, strategic, Sufficiency, tactical, Trade, warheads

Reciprocity in Deterrence, Not Just Trade

Joseph H. Lyons0 Comments

Published: April 2, 2026 On December 23, 2025, the Pentagon released its annual 2025 China Military Power Report to Congress—a reminder that America is still trying to deter tomorrow with…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Emerging Threats, Strategic Adversariesalliances, catastrophic conflict. , coercion, conventional responses, cyber operations, Deterrence, Disinformation campaigns, economic coercion, escalation management, extended deterrence, grey-zone, Indo-Pacific, maritime harassment, military provocations, Non-proliferation, nuclear alliance, Nuclear Deterrence, political resolve, security guarantees, stability, strategic competition, strategic environment

Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 3: A Nuclear Alliance as the Ultimate Backstop to Grey Zone Coercion

Natalie Treloar0 Comments

Published: March 26, 2026 Strategic competition in the Indo-Pacific increasingly occurs in the grey zone, the space between routine statecraft and open armed conflict. China, North Korea, Russia, and Iran…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Defense & Security, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic Adversariesalliance cohesion, AUKUS, burden sharing, catastrophic war, China, declaratory policy, Deterrence, escalation management, extended deterrence, grey-zone coercion, Indo-Pacific, large-scale conventional war, military modernization, multi-nuclear dynamics, nuclear alliance, nuclear attack, Nuclear Deterrence, nuclear expansion, nuclear sharing, Pacific Defense Pact, Quad, Russia, strategic competition, strategic consultation

Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact: Why the Indo-Pacific Requires a Nuclear Alliance

Natalie Treloar0 Comments

Published: March 5, 2026 The Indo-Pacific is entering a far more dangerous strategic era. Military modernization, grey-zone coercion, and rapid nuclear expansion are reshaping the regional balance of power. Most…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Emerging Threats, Strategic Adversariesalliance unity, civil-military coordination, cumulative stress , cyber operations, demographic constraints, deterrence planning, energy infrastructure resilience, extended deterrence, Hypersonic Weapons, Indo-Pacific region, institutional endurance, institutional stress, interoperability, late-phase failure, logistics governance, military effectiveness, modernization programs, Nuclear Deterrence, operational performance, personnel systems, prolonged conflict, resilience, space-based surveillance, strategic credibility, strategic deterrence, technological developments

Late-Phase Failure and the Erosion of Military Effectiveness in Prolonged Conflict

Andrey Koval0 Comments

Contemporary defense analysis largely focuses on the opening phases of conflict. Initial force posture, technological advantage, and early operational momentum dominate planning assumptions. However, experience from recent high-intensity wars suggests…

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Diplomacy in Great Power Competition and the Limits of Economic Statecraft

Hafiz Ibrahim1 Comment

As contemporary rivals, the United States and China echo historical patterns of major competition between an established and a rising power, described within Graham Allison's article, “The Thucydides Trap: Are…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Government & Politics, Strategic Adversaries2022 U.S. National Defense Strategy, adversary military modernization, aerial fleet demands, ammunition ship cycling, Australia–U.S. cooperation, basing scarcity, carrier-based aerial refueling, China strategic depth advantage, Chinese nuclear arsenal growth, coercive actions, Cold War deterrence lessons, combat logistics forces, conventional forward deployment, conventional munitions stockpiles, conventional war in Europe, credibility of deterrence, deep hinterland, deterrence operations, dispersed allies and partners, extended deterrence, Extended nuclear deterrence, force posturing, forward-deployed U.S. forces, forward-deployed U.S. nuclear weapons, fuel stockpiles, Great Power Competition, high-value bases, Indo-Pacific security, integrated air and missile defense (IAMD), Japan–U.S. cooperation, limited defensible terrain, limited strategic depth in Indo-Pacific, logistics stress, missile defense pre-positioning, missile launch rates, mutual defense treaty, NATO commitments, neutral/non-aligned states, normalization of nuclear threats, North Korean nuclear arsenal growth, nuclear alliance responsibilities, Nuclear arms control, nuclear competition, open-ocean battlespace, Pacific coast infrastructure, People’s Republic of China (PRC), pre-positioning capabilities, rear bases to forward reload areas, regional rules-based order, resupply and transit times, sensor resource allocation, strategic competitor, strategic depth, sustaining operations over prolonged conflict, target concentration, targeting dilemmas for China, vertical proliferation of defenses, Western Pacific theater

Extended Deterrence and Strategic Depth

Robert Peters & Christine M. Leah1 Comment

The world is entering a new age of nuclear competition, characterized by the breakdown of nuclear arms control and the return of great power competition and conventional war to Europe.…

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The Artificial Intelligence (AI) Arms Race in South Asia

Vaibhav Chhimpa0 Comments

When India’s AI-powered missile defense system intercepted a simulated hypersonic threat in 2023, American analysts were surprised by the ethical framework guiding its development. In South Asia, rapid AI adoption…

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Making Nuclear Blackmail Great Again

Peter Huessy0 Comments

After World War I, the United States and its allies sought arms control solutions to what were political problems. Proposals such as a ban on war and restrictions on the…

Archive, Bonus Reads, Defense & Security, Strategic Adversariesactivities, aggression containment, alliance cooperation, allies, American warfighter, burden sharing, China, comparative analysis, counterterrorism, credible deterrence, decision analysis, Defense Spending, deterrence framework, deterrence strategy, DPRK, Energy Security, extended deterrence, global engagement, Gulf States, hamas, homeland defense, Indo-Pacific, industrial base, interests, Iran, Israel, kinetic operations, Middle East, military assets, military strikes, mutual defense treaties, National defense, national defense strategy, National Security, nonproliferation, North Korea, nuclear proliferation, Nuclear Weapons, objectives, Partners, proliferation control, proxy networks, regional deterrence, regional stability, Russia, sanctions, security cooperation, sovereignty, Straits of Hormuz, strategic shifts, threat scenarios, transnational threats, two-front war, U.S. military power, U.S. policy, United States, uranium enrichment

Deterrence of North Korea and Iran: Interests-Objectives-Analysis Framework

Nathan Heath0 Comments

On June 22, the United States struck multiple Iranian nuclear sites, marking a tipping point in its deterrence of the Islamic Republic’s nuclear ambitions. It was no longer enough to…

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A Nuclear Umbrella in Peril: Lessons from North Korea’s Escalation Scenarios

Ju Hyung Kim0 Comments

What happens when the world’s most powerful nuclear arsenal blinks in the face of a nuclear strike? In a recent Atlantic Council “Guardian Tiger” exercise, the United States faced precisely…