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Defense & Security

The Cauldron Never Empties: Synthetic Narratives that Create Strategic Opportunity

The Cauldron Never Empties: Synthetic Narratives that Create Strategic Opportunity

Published: October 19, 2026 The most dangerous Russian information operation may not begin with a lie. It may begin with something true. A legitimate news report. An authentic photograph. A…
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Managing Organizational Risk in Nuclear Command, Control, and Communications (NC3) Modernization

Managing Organizational Risk in Nuclear Command, Control, and Communications (NC3) Modernization

Published: October 15, 2026 Digital modernization is shaped by numerous interacting variables, including how and why organizations make decisions, leadership preferences, technical considerations, and individual user behavior. System vulnerabilities can…
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The Politics of Global AI Governance

The Politics of Global AI Governance

Published: October 13, 2026  The growing gap between rapid advances in artificial intelligence (AI) and inadequate verification mechanisms has created several challenges for the technology. In this context, global AI…
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North Korea Has Options

North Korea Has Options

Published: October 12, 2026 In 2017, two people unknowingly working as proxies for North Korean intelligence approached Kim Jong Nam at the Kuala Lumpur International Airport. In what they thought…
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The Political Power Battle in Tehran

The Political Power Battle in Tehran

Published: October 1, 2026 As Iran signals its willingness to pursue fighting, one of the most important power struggles to watch in the Middle East today is not between Iran…
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Resilience Never Activated, Deters No One

Resilience Never Activated, Deters No One

Published: September 28, 2026 Deterrence by denial rests on a practical promise. An attack on a state’s infrastructure will not produce the effect an adversary expects. Resilience contributes to that…
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China’s Long-Range Missiles, Russia’s Arctic Bastion, and the Alaskan Gap

China’s Long-Range Missiles, Russia’s Arctic Bastion, and the Alaskan Gap

Published: September 24, 2026   The Cold War made the High North a proving ground for nuclear strategy. Even though the powers and weapons have changed, the same geography matters again.…
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Large Language Models Will Not Enhance National Security Decision Making

Large Language Models Will Not Enhance National Security Decision Making

Published: September 22, 2026 Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, launched the first conversational large language model (LLM), ChatGPT, in late 2022 with only a short post on X. It has…
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The Swarm Matrix Asymmetric Deterrence, Reconstitution, and the Tech-Industrial Future of Peer Conflict

The Swarm Matrix Asymmetric Deterrence, Reconstitution, and the Tech-Industrial Future of Peer Conflict

Published: August 25, 2026 The geometric convergence of advanced software integration, affordable autonomous systems, and distributed manufacturing has broken the long-standing paradigm of capital-intensive, platform-focused power projection. Observations from today’s…
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Beyond the Body Count: Will Robotics Change the Grammar of War?

Beyond the Body Count: Will Robotics Change the Grammar of War?

Published:  August 11, 2026 Artificial intelligence (AI) is transforming warfare, but whether it is changing it for the better remains unsettled. AI-enabled systems can improve surveillance, targeting, defensive response, and force protection.…
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The Impossibility of Strategic Stability in a Multipolar Era: From Brittle Walls to Dynamic Resilience

The Impossibility of Strategic Stability in a Multipolar Era: From Brittle Walls to Dynamic Resilience

Published: July 27, 2026 For over a century, the primary objective of global diplomacy has been the pursuit of “stability.” From the Concert of Europe through the bipolar rigidity of the Cold War, stability was…
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Allied Autonomy Is Creating a New Seam in Extended Deterrence

Allied Autonomy Is Creating a New Seam in Extended Deterrence

Published:  July 23, 2026 In February 2026, more than 200 personnel from Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States gathered on Australia's east coast for the latest AUKUS Maritime Big…
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