Topic:escalation — Global Security Review %

AI & Deterrence, Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Emerging Threats, Strategic Adversariesartificial intelligence, attribution, command and control, critical infrastructure, critical vulnerabilities, cyber deterrence, Cyberattacks, Cyberspace, deconfliction mechanisms, democratic regimes, Deterrence, escalation, gray zone, irregular warfare, non-state actors, nuclear doctrine, nuclear escalation, nuclear threshold, offensive cyber capabilities, proportionality, second-strike capability, strategic cyberattacks, strategic stability, strategic threats, vital infrastructure

Hacking the Apocalypse: How Cyberattacks Could Trigger Nuclear Escalation

Gilles A. Paché0 Comments

Many of the world’s strategists still share the same conviction: as Kathryn Bigelow’s film A House of Dynamite (2025) dramatizes, nuclear escalation can only originate from a missile of unknown…

Archive, Diplomacy, Strategic Adversariesagreements, arms, arsenals, Asia, autonomous, ballistic, cold, commitments, compliance, control, crucial, Deterrence, escalation, Europe, forces, future, global, hypersonic, inspections, intermediate, international, largest, launched, limitations, missile, missiles, modernization, nations, powers, procedures, proliferation, range, reduce, regional, research, Russia, security, significant, soviet, states, strategic, systems, targeting, treaty, union, united, verification, weapons, withdrew

The Uncertain Future of Nuclear Deterrence and Proliferation

Nazia Sheikh0 Comments

The Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty was signed between the United States and the Soviet Union in 1987; it lasted until the United States withdrew in 2019. It contributed to…

Archive, Emerging Threats, Strategic Adversariesarmageddon, ceasefire, conflict, crisis, Deterrence, deterrents, Diplomacy, escalation, Europe, Medvedev, NATO, negotiations, nuclear, peace, Putin, Russia, sanctions, security, strategic, submarines, tactical, Trump, Ukraine, war, weapons

Nuclear Danger Remains in Ukraine Peace Settlement

Stephen Cimbala0 Comments

The Alaska summit between Presidents Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin on August 15, 2025, together with the follow-on meetings in Washington, DC, with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and European heads…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Diplomacy, Government & Politicsallies, America, American, capability, defeat, Deterrence, deterrent, enhanced, escalation, Here’s the comma-separated list of the top 20 keywords from the document: **nuclear, military, Moscow, nation, NATO, Russian, theater, threats, Ukraine, use

Restoring Ukraine Sovereignty Requires Restoring Deterrence

Peter Huessy0 Comments

The impact on American security from the Ukraine conflict, especially the impact on the nuclear and extended deterrent for the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) are significant. A key part…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Strategic Adversariesalliance, bombers, China, coercion, conventional, credibility, crisis, Deterrence, escalation, escalation scenarios, extended deterrence, Guardian Tiger, Indo-Pacific, Japan, missile defense, North Korea, nuclear, nuclear threshold, nuclear umbrella, preemptive, proliferation, retaliation, signaling, South Korea, strategic, strike, submarines, tactical, Taiwan, United States

A Nuclear Umbrella in Peril: Lessons from North Korea’s Escalation Scenarios

Ju Hyung Kim0 Comments

What happens when the world’s most powerful nuclear arsenal blinks in the face of a nuclear strike? In a recent Atlantic Council “Guardian Tiger” exercise, the United States faced precisely…

Archive, Strategic Adversariesadaptability, aircraft, algorithmic, algorithms, Armenia, asymmetric, Azerbaijan, bandwidth, bayraktar, conventional, Deterrence, drones, escalation, hybrid, innovation, integration, loitering, munitions, precision, proliferation, resilience, retaliation, strategic, superpowers, tactical, visibility, warfare

Drones and the Death of Deterrence: Lessons from Nagorno-Karabakh

Vikramaditya Shrivastava0 Comments

Drones did not change how wars are fought; they changed who can win them. In 2020, Azerbaijan used drones to dismantle Armenia’s defenses in Nagorno-Karabakh with chilling efficiency. Tanks, artillery,…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Bonus Reads, Strategic Adversariesautonomous systems, Defense Spending, Deterrence, drones, escalation, escalation management, global security, homeland defense, innovation, Military Strategy, multidomain conflicts, National Security, non-nuclear options, nuclear strategy, precision strikes, signaling frameworks, strategic agility, strategic impact, technology, Ukraine, warfare

Ghosts in the Skies: How Ukraine’s Drone Tactics Recast Modern Deterrence

Brandon Toliver4 Comments

What happens to nuclear deterrence when a non-nuclear state strikes deep into a nuclear-armed adversary? The stark reality is that the world does not collapse, but the era of conventional…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferationair combat, ceasefire, cyclical deterrence failures, Dassault Aviation, escalation, Heron drone, India, Indian Air Force, J-10C, Kashmir dispute, MiG-29, missile strikes, nuclear escalation, Nur Khan Airbase, Operation Bunyanum Marsoos, Operation Sindoor, Pahalgam terror attack, Pakistan, Pakistani Air Force, peace, Rafale, South Asia stability, Su-30, Trump administration, United States

Pakistan’s Response to Operation Sindoor

Nawal Nawaz0 Comments

After publicly asserting that the government of Pakistan was involved in the April 21, 2025, Pahalgam terror attack in Kashmir, India launched a barrage of missile strikes on nine sites…

Archive, Defense & Security, Emerging Threats, Strategic AdversariesAGM-183 ARRW, ambiguity, Arms Control, Avangard, coercive tool, confidence-building measures, conventional payloads, conventional prompt strike, defense, Deterrence, DF-17, escalation, first-strike role, FOBs, fractional orbital bombardment system, glide phase interceptor, global balance of power, hypersonic cruise missiles, hypersonic glide vehicles, Hypersonic Weapons, interceptor systems, international cooperation, international norms, long-range hypersonic weapon, Mach 5, military doctrines, miscalculations, missile defense, North Korea, nuclear payloads, nuclear strategy, radar detection, regulations, space-based tracking systems, SS-19, strategic adaptation, strategic competition, strategic security, strategic stability, transparency, warning times, Zircon

Hypersonic Weapons: Are We Entering a New Era of Vulnerability?

Brandon Toliver25 Comments

The advent of hypersonic weapons, with their unparalleled speed and maneuverability, ignited a global debate about the future of strategic security. Some argue these weapons unwittingly ushered in an era…

Archive, EAR Report, Strategic AdversariesArms Control, arms control agreements, Biden administration, Budapest Memorandum, CBM, China, Christian Science Monitor, cold war, conventional-nuclear integration, defense budget, Defense Spending, Deterrence, Elbridge Colby, escalation, Estonia intelligence, ethical dilemmas, extended deterrence, geopolitical shifts, INF Treaty, Iran, Iron Dome, MAD, military buildup, military competition, Minuteman III, missile defense, missile defense capabilities, missileers, mutual assured destruction, National Security, NATO, NATO alliance, New START, North Korea, Nuclear arms control, nuclear arms race, nuclear command and control, nuclear conflict, Nuclear Deterrence, nuclear deterrence credibility, nuclear deterrence system, nuclear doctrine, nuclear escalation, nuclear escalation ladder, Nuclear force, nuclear force execution policies, nuclear modernization, nuclear policy, nuclear proliferation, nuclear stability, nuclear strategy, nuclear threats, nuclear triad, nuclear umbrella, nuclear war, nuclear warfare, nuclear warfighting force, Nuclear Weapons, nuclear weapons development, nuclear winter, nuclear winter propaganda, Posture Commission, Reagan, Russia, Russian threat, SDI, SecDef Hegseth, self-reliance, Senator McConnell, Sentinel program, Space Development Agency, strategic deterrence, tax legislation, Ted Postol, Terrorism, Ukraine, US security policy, US-ROK deterrent

ICBM EAR Report for 22 Feb 2025

Peter Huessy0 Comments

This report, prepared by Peter Huessy for the week of February 22, 2025, covers various aspects of nuclear deterrence, defense budget developments, and geopolitical threats. Key topics include the Biden…

Archive, Bonus Reads, EAR Report, Emerging Threats, Strategic AdversariesAbraham Accords, aircraft, Appropriations, artillery shells, Assad regime, battleground states, China, congress, continuing resolution, CSIS, defense appropriations, defense budget, defense funding, Defense Nuclear Facilities Safety Board, defense policy, defense policy bill, Defense Production Act, Defense Spending, defense strategy, defense-related activities, Deterrence, environmental regulations, escalation, escalation dominance, extremist organization, fast breeder reactors, gender-affirming care, House, IISS, Indo-Pacific, Iran, Los Alamos, military, military veterans, modernization, National Security, national security programs, NATO, NATO expansion, natural gas, NDAA, NNSA, North Korea, nuclear age, nuclear arms race, nuclear arsenal, nuclear brinksmanship, nuclear deterrent, nuclear enterprise, nuclear modernization, nuclear proliferation, nuclear testing, nuclear threats, nuclear treaties, nuclear warheads, Nuclear Weapons, Oil, Palantir, pentagon, plutonium, precision-guided munitions, Reagan Defense Forum, Rocky Flats, Rosatom, Russia, Savannah River, security, Senate, stockpile stewardship, strategic competitors, strategic developments, strategic environment, strategic risk, submarines, Syria, Taiwan, Taiwan conflict, transition team, Trump, Ukraine, wargaming, wartime footing, world war III, Xi Jinping

ICBM EAR Report December 8th

Peter Huessy0 Comments

Executive Summary: Week of December 8, 2024 This report asserts that the United States is at a critical inflection point in global security, facing mounting threats from an increasingly assertive…