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escalation

Deterrence Without Resolve Is No Deterrence at All

Deterrence Without Resolve Is No Deterrence at All

Published: May 12, 2026 There is a comforting fiction at the heart of much contemporary strategic thinking: conventional military capabilities can substitute for nuclear deterrence without requiring the same political…
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Yes, You Can Be a Feminist and Still Support Nuclear Deterrence

Yes, You Can Be a Feminist and Still Support Nuclear Deterrence

Published: May 4, 2026 In 1987, acclaimed feminist researcher Carol Cohn released a scathing gendered critique of Cold War nuclear deterrence. Cohn argued that the ‘technostrategic,’ masculinized language used to…
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Silent Signals: Russian and Chinese Conventional Threats to NC3 and U.S. Extended Deterrence in Australia

Silent Signals: Russian and Chinese Conventional Threats to NC3 and U.S. Extended Deterrence in Australia

Published: April 27, 2026 Introduction Russia’s recent deployment of a conventionally armed, diesel-powered submarine to Indonesia should not be dismissed as routine naval activity. It is a calculated strategic signal.…
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The AI Revolution’s Outsized Impact on Deterrence

The AI Revolution’s Outsized Impact on Deterrence

The impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on national security at large and deterrence specifically cannot be overstated. The business leaders competing in the field of AI, like Sam Altman, Elon…
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Hacking the Apocalypse: How Cyberattacks Could Trigger Nuclear Escalation

Hacking the Apocalypse: How Cyberattacks Could Trigger Nuclear Escalation

Many of the world’s strategists still share the same conviction: as Kathryn Bigelow’s film A House of Dynamite (2025) dramatizes, nuclear escalation can only originate from a missile of unknown…
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The Uncertain Future of Nuclear Deterrence and Proliferation

The Uncertain Future of Nuclear Deterrence and Proliferation

The Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty was signed between the United States and the Soviet Union in 1987; it lasted until the United States withdrew in 2019. It contributed to…
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Nuclear Danger Remains in Ukraine Peace Settlement

Nuclear Danger Remains in Ukraine Peace Settlement

The Alaska summit between Presidents Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin on August 15, 2025, together with the follow-on meetings in Washington, DC, with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and European heads…
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Restoring Ukraine Sovereignty Requires Restoring Deterrence

Restoring Ukraine Sovereignty Requires Restoring Deterrence

The impact on American security from the Ukraine conflict, especially the impact on the nuclear and extended deterrent for the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) are significant. A key part…
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A Nuclear Umbrella in Peril: Lessons from North Korea’s Escalation Scenarios

A Nuclear Umbrella in Peril: Lessons from North Korea’s Escalation Scenarios

What happens when the world’s most powerful nuclear arsenal blinks in the face of a nuclear strike? In a recent Atlantic Council “Guardian Tiger” exercise, the United States faced precisely…
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Drones and the Death of Deterrence: Lessons from Nagorno-Karabakh

Drones and the Death of Deterrence: Lessons from Nagorno-Karabakh

Drones did not change how wars are fought; they changed who can win them. In 2020, Azerbaijan used drones to dismantle Armenia’s defenses in Nagorno-Karabakh with chilling efficiency. Tanks, artillery,…
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Ghosts in the Skies: How Ukraine’s Drone Tactics Recast Modern Deterrence

Ghosts in the Skies: How Ukraine’s Drone Tactics Recast Modern Deterrence

What happens to nuclear deterrence when a non-nuclear state strikes deep into a nuclear-armed adversary? The stark reality is that the world does not collapse, but the era of conventional…
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Pakistan’s Response to Operation Sindoor

Pakistan’s Response to Operation Sindoor

After publicly asserting that the government of Pakistan was involved in the April 21, 2025, Pahalgam terror attack in Kashmir, India launched a barrage of missile strikes on nine sites…
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