Topic:Arms Control — Global Security Review %

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic AdversariesArms Control, Arms Race, artificial intelligence, China, cyber operations, Deterrence, global security, inspections, missile defense, national technical means, New START, nuclear arsenal, nuclear forces, nuclear modernization, precision weapons, predictability, Russia, space systems, stability, strategic deterrence, strategic stability, tactical nuclear weapons, transparency, treaty, U.S., verification

No Treaty, No Panic: Deterrence and Stability After New START

Curtis McGiffin0 Comments

The expiration of the New START Treaty on February 5, 2026 has fueled concerns that, absent formal limits, uncertainty surrounding U.S. and Russian nuclear forces could generate instability and elevate…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Emerging Threats, Strategic AdversariesArms Control, Article VI disarmament obligations, artificial intelligence-enabled command systems, centrifuges, Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT), data sharing, diplomatic strain, Fordow facility, Hwasong-20 missile, hypersonic delivery vehicles, ICBMs, inspection regime, International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Iran nuclear program, MIRVs, missile factories, modernization, multipolar competition, New start treaty, North Korea nuclear development, NPT Review Conference, nuclear alert status, nuclear arsenals, Nuclear Deterrence, nuclear threshold lowering, Nuclear Weapons, treaty expiration, Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT), U.S.-Russia strategic stability, Ukraine conflict, unintended escalation, uranium enrichment, verification mechanisms, Yongbyon facility

The Dawn of 2026 and Challenges to Non-Proliferation

Harsa Kakar1 Comment

The year 2026 arrives with looming threats of nuclear weapon employment more than ever, as the world is faced with eroding arms control agreements and the global environment seems increasingly…

Archive, Defense & Security, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic Adversaries1997 Russia–Ukraine treaty, abducted Ukrainian children, Arms Control, Board of Peace, Budapest Memorandum (1994), ceasefire terms, constitutional neutrality (no NATO), demilitarized buffer zone, deterrence in Europe, deterrent value of nuclear weapons, Dnieper River access, drone attacks, education programs and “Nazi ideology” claims, elections within 100 days, European fighter jets in Poland, filtration camps, force and coercion, forced transfers, G8 invitation, global economy, Helsinki Final Act, humanitarian committee, missile strikes and escalation clauses, multinational force in Ukraine, NATO expansion, NATO open-door policy, NATO security assistance and training, NATO troop basing in Ukraine, NATO unity, non-aggression agreement, non-nuclear state status, nuclear nonproliferation, occupied territories, OSCE monitoring, partition, prisoners and hostages, reintegration of Russia, Reuters, Russian aggression, sabotage operations, security guarantees, stable and peaceful Europe, START Treaty, territorial integrity, transatlantic bond, Trump administration, Ukraine peace plan (28-point), Ukraine sovereignty, Ukrainian Armed Forces cap (600, UN Charter, US–Europe compromise plan, US–NATO role, US–Russian security taskforce, war crimes, wartime amnesty

Points, Counterpoints, and Starting Points

Alan Dowd0 Comments

The 28-point Ukraine peace plan the Trump administration recently delivered is highly problematic for a number of reasons. The document’s starting point, endpoint, and very premise raise concern for anyone…

Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Bonus Reads, Defense & Security, Strategic Adversariesaggression, American resolve, Arms Control, China, Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty, CTBT, Department of Energy, Department of War, Deterrence, hydrostatic tests, multilateral negotiations, National Nuclear Security Agency, New START, nuclear arsenal, nuclear modernization, nuclear testing, nuclear weapons policy, nuclear yield, President Trump, reciprocal measures, Russia, strategic competition, Taiwan, Truth Social, Ukraine war, zero yield

Understanding President Trump’s Truth Social Post on Nuclear Testing?

Adam Lowther0 Comments

On October 30, 2025, President Donald Trump posted to Truth Social, “The United States has more nuclear weapons than any other country. This was accomplished, including a complete update and…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Strategic AdversariesAgni-Prime, air defense systems, Arms Control, Balochistan Think Tank Network, BUITEMS Quetta, bunker-buster missile, Cold Start doctrine, confidence-building measures, conventional superiority, conventional warfare, counterforce capability, crisis management, cyber warfare, deterrence stability, escalation dominance, full-spectrum deterrence, India, India-Pakistan conflict, international diplomacy, limited war, Military Doctrine, military modernization, missile defense, Nuclear Deterrence, nuclear escalation, nuclear posture, nuclear-capable missiles, Operation Sindoor, Pakistan, rail-based launcher, regional stability, retaliatory capability, security dilemma, South Asia, space capabilities, strategic affairs, strategic autonomy, strategic signaling, technological development

India’s Strategy of Escalation Dominance

Sher Ali Kakar & Atta Ullah0 Comments

Recent, statements by Indian Air Force Chief Marshal AP Singh and Indian Army Chief General Upendra Dwivedi reflect how India’s military doctrine is transforming, which, in recent years, has undergone…

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The Artificial Intelligence (AI) Arms Race in South Asia

Vaibhav Chhimpa0 Comments

When India’s AI-powered missile defense system intercepted a simulated hypersonic threat in 2023, American analysts were surprised by the ethical framework guiding its development. In South Asia, rapid AI adoption…

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Making Nuclear Blackmail Great Again

Peter Huessy0 Comments

After World War I, the United States and its allies sought arms control solutions to what were political problems. Proposals such as a ban on war and restrictions on the…

Archive, Strategic AdversariesArms Control, Arms Race, Article VI, AUKUS deal, biases, bilateral arms control, China, Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty (CTBT), conference on disarmament (CD), confidence-building measures (CBMs), conventional imbalance, crisis management, Deterrence, deterrent credibility, disarmament deception syndrome (DDS), discriminatory norms, emerging technologies, France, geopolitical landscape, global zero (GZ), India, Iran nuclear pursuit, Israel, modernization, multilateral treaties, National Security, Negative Security Assurances, non-nuclear weapon states, North Korea, North Korea withdrawal, nuclear arms race, nuclear disarmament, Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), nuclear proliferation, Nuclear Supplier Group (NSG), nuclear umbrella, nuclear weapon states, Pakistan, positive security assurances, prestige-driven ambitions, Russia, security betrayal trap (SBT), South Asia, space-based capabilities, strategic chain, strategic stability, Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPNW), Ukraine paradox, United Kingdom, United States

Illogic of Nuclear Disarmament in the Contemporary Era

Sher Ali Kakar & Atta Ullah1 Comment

Since the beginning of the nuclear age, the international community consistently made efforts toward disarmament. However, the world saw both vertical and horizontal nuclear proliferation. Nuclear-armed states are modernizing…

AI & Deterrence, Archive, Strategic AdversariesAmerican Deterrence, American nuclear posture, Arms Control, drones, first-strike, monitoring, Nuclear Deterrence, sUAS, surveillance, UAS

The Role of Drones in Nuclear Deterrence

Stephen Cimbala & Adam Lowther0 Comments

Although the war in Ukraine firmly established the utility of drones in warfare, the relationship between drones and nuclear deterrence is still a largely unsettled topic. Suggesting that they…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Defense & Security, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Diplomacy, Emerging Threats, Strategic AdversariesAfghanistan, Arms Control, Atomic, China, cold war, Deterrence, global security, Hezbollah, ICBM, India, Iran, Israel, Japan, Middle East, National Security, Nuclear Deterrence, Nuclear Weapons, Russia, security, Syria, Taliban, Terrorism, Title 22, UN

Deterring Nuclear Terrorism in the Era of Great Power Competition

Alexis Schlotterback0 Comments

As the Cold War ended and new counterterrorism priorities took root in the 2000s, the threat of nuclear terrorism cemented itself as the ultimate catastrophic scenario. Dick Cheney famously stated…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Emerging Threats, Strategic Adversariesadversary behavior, Arms Control, China, deeply buried targets, Deterrence, firing systems, geopolitical developments, high explosives, hypersonic delivery, life-extension programs, Limited Test Ban Treaty, low-yield test, moratorium, Nevada test sites, new warhead designs, nonproliferation norms, novel nuclear systems, nuclear arsenal, nuclear testing, nuclear-armed adversary, plutonium pits, policy shift, radioactive containment, Russia, safety, Stockpile Stewardship Program, strategic behavior, strategic surprise, technical challenges, testing infrastructure, Threshold Test Ban Treaty, warhead reliability

It Is Time to Test Again

James Ragland & Joel Karasik0 Comments

The United States has observed a moratorium on nuclear explosive testing since 1992, relying instead on the Stockpile Stewardship Program in place of full-scale detonations to ensure the safety, security,…