We want to make sure you get the best viewing experience for the content you are viewing.  Our goal is to improve each visit with data that creates this experience for you and those you share it with. We appreciate your continued readership.     

Archive

and archival of older posts and previous categories.

The Political Power Battle in Tehran

The Political Power Battle in Tehran

Published: October 1, 2026 As Iran signals its willingness to pursue fighting, one of the most important power struggles to watch in the Middle East today is not between Iran…
Read More
Iran Shows Why Nuclear Deterrence Still Matters

Iran Shows Why Nuclear Deterrence Still Matters

Published:  September 29, 2026 The 2026 United States’ war against Iran is a matter of international and domestic political controversy. Regardless of its outcome, the trajectory already suggests important lessons…
Read More
Resilience Never Activated, Deters No One

Resilience Never Activated, Deters No One

Published: September 28, 2026 Deterrence by denial rests on a practical promise. An attack on a state’s infrastructure will not produce the effect an adversary expects. Resilience contributes to that…
Read More
China’s Long-Range Missiles, Russia’s Arctic Bastion, and the Alaskan Gap

China’s Long-Range Missiles, Russia’s Arctic Bastion, and the Alaskan Gap

Published: September 24, 2026   The Cold War made the High North a proving ground for nuclear strategy. Even though the powers and weapons have changed, the same geography matters again.…
Read More
Large Language Models Will Not Enhance National Security Decision Making

Large Language Models Will Not Enhance National Security Decision Making

Published: September 22, 2026 Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, launched the first conversational large language model (LLM), ChatGPT, in late 2022 with only a short post on X. It has…
Read More
Explainability, Not Speed, Will Define the Next Military AI Race

Explainability, Not Speed, Will Define the Next Military AI Race

Published: September 21, 2026  A soldier who fires on a target must be able to reason “why” afterward. Similarly, a commander who authorizes a strike must be able to justify…
Read More
Exporting Ukraine’s Lessons: The Risks of Transferring the Wrong Lessons to the Asia-Pacific

Exporting Ukraine’s Lessons: The Risks of Transferring the Wrong Lessons to the Asia-Pacific

Published: September 15, 2026 Having observed the war from within the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, one is struck by two simultaneous situations: the extraordinary tactical adaptation…
Read More
China’s Dual-Capable Missiles and Inadvertent Nuclear Escalation

China’s Dual-Capable Missiles and Inadvertent Nuclear Escalation

Published: September 14, 2026 China's expanding force of dual-capable missiles is creating a growing source of ambiguity in U.S.-China deterrence. The People's Liberation Army Rocket Force (PLARF) operates conventional and…
Read More
The Return of Nuclear Hedging

The Return of Nuclear Hedging

Published: September 8, 2027 To many, the end of the Cold War signaled hope for a more restrained nuclear era. As the rivalry between the US and USSR settled in…
Read More
Turkey, Israel and the Dangerous Vacuum in Post-Assad Syria

Turkey, Israel and the Dangerous Vacuum in Post-Assad Syria

Published: September 7, 2026 The strikes at Abu al-Duhur matter less for what happened than for what they revealed. Strip away the incident report and what is left is familiar…
Read More
Why the Middle East Needs a New Collective Defense Arrangement After the Iran War 

Why the Middle East Needs a New Collective Defense Arrangement After the Iran War 

Published: September 1, 2026  The Iran War may eventually end through a ceasefire, an interim agreement, or a broader diplomatic settlement. Regardless of how the fighting stops, one thing has become impossible to ignore.…
Read More
Nuclear Deterrence and the Midterm Elections

Nuclear Deterrence and the Midterm Elections

Published: August 31, 2926 As the United States heads toward another set of midterm Congressional elections in November 2026, issues related to nuclear weapons, including deterrence, arms control, and nonproliferation, will be important. Whether candidates will…
Read More