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Archive

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Ballistic Missile Defense: The Illusion of an Impenetrable Shield

Ballistic Missile Defense: The Illusion of an Impenetrable Shield

Published: November 10, 2026  The proliferation of advanced missile defenses by regional actors has triggered the expansion of missile defense systems. The expiration of New Start in February 2026 launched…
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The African Union Disarmament Architecture: Balancing Autonomy and Proliferation Risks 

The African Union Disarmament Architecture: Balancing Autonomy and Proliferation Risks 

Published:  November 9, 2026 Africa is navigating a pivotal postcolonial transition driven by a deliberate pursuit of strategic and energy autonomy to sustain its rapid demographic and industrial expansion. A…
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When Human Approval Fails: Runtime Authority Governance for Autonomous Deterrence

When Human Approval Fails: Runtime Authority Governance for Autonomous Deterrence

Published:  November 5, 2026 A commander approves an autonomous defensive engagement while the target is inside an authorized area. Two seconds later, before the system acts, an allied aircraft enters…
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Survival Is Not Victory: How Iran Is Trying to Outlast a Militarily Superior Coalition

Survival Is Not Victory: How Iran Is Trying to Outlast a Militarily Superior Coalition

Published: November 3, 2026 The renewed early September exchange of attacks between Iran and the US, including US strikes on three Iranian tankers after missiles targeted American warships, has not…
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Armenia’s AI Strategy and Emerging Power Shifts in the Caucasus

Armenia’s AI Strategy and Emerging Power Shifts in the Caucasus

Published:  October 29, 2026  Armenia’s rapid turn towards artificial intelligence (AI) is reshaping the strategic landscape of the South Caucasus. The country’s pursuit of advanced computing capacity, defense‑oriented innovation, and…
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The Next Chapter of Unmanned Warfare Has Arrived

The Next Chapter of Unmanned Warfare Has Arrived

Published:  October 27, 2026 Drone warfare is expanding from the skies to the seas, and the United States must be ready. The Russia-Ukraine war, which has become synonymous with aerial…
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Pakistan’s Functional Approach to Regulating LAWS

Pakistan’s Functional Approach to Regulating LAWS

Published: October 26, 2026 International humanitarian law (IHL) takes an “effect-based” approach to regulating/banning Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems (LAWS). This “outcome-driven,” or result-oriented, approach is based on real-world results of…
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White Hulls, Gray Zones: China, Russia, and a Habituated World

White Hulls, Gray Zones: China, Russia, and a Habituated World

Published: October 22, 2026  Pale hulls painted with “China Coast Guard” cut the waters around Taiwan, the Philippines, near Alaska, and across the deep blue of the Pacific. Such actions…
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Cyber Deterrence Begins with the Power to Disconnect

Cyber Deterrence Begins with the Power to Disconnect

Published: 20 October 2026 On August 26, President Donald Trump declared a national emergency over foreign actors exploiting vulnerabilities in the U.S. bulk-power system. The order framed the problem as…
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The Cauldron Never Empties: Synthetic Narratives that Create Strategic Opportunity

The Cauldron Never Empties: Synthetic Narratives that Create Strategic Opportunity

Published: October 19, 2026 The most dangerous Russian information operation may not begin with a lie. It may begin with something true. A legitimate news report. An authentic photograph. A…
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Managing Organizational Risk in Nuclear Command, Control, and Communications (NC3) Modernization

Managing Organizational Risk in Nuclear Command, Control, and Communications (NC3) Modernization

Published: October 15, 2026 Digital modernization is shaped by numerous interacting variables, including how and why organizations make decisions, leadership preferences, technical considerations, and individual user behavior. System vulnerabilities can…
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The Politics of Global AI Governance

The Politics of Global AI Governance

Published: October 13, 2026  The growing gap between rapid advances in artificial intelligence (AI) and inadequate verification mechanisms has created several challenges for the technology. In this context, global AI…
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