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resilience

Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 2: Gray zone campaigns and activities conducted by China, North Korea, and Russia in the Indo-Pacific

Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 2: Gray zone campaigns and activities conducted by China, North Korea, and Russia in the Indo-Pacific

Published: April 6, 2026 Strategic competition in the Indo-Pacific is increasingly taking place in the “gray zone”—the space between routine state competition and open warfare. Rather than relying solely on…
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Deterrence on Layaway: A Shutdown’s Quiet Assault on American Security

Deterrence on Layaway: A Shutdown’s Quiet Assault on American Security

Published: March 30, 2026 A nation does not need to lose a battle to look weak. Sometimes it only needs to miss a paycheck. Washington often treats budget shutdowns as…
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Late-Phase Failure and the Erosion of Military Effectiveness in Prolonged Conflict

Late-Phase Failure and the Erosion of Military Effectiveness in Prolonged Conflict

Contemporary defense analysis largely focuses on the opening phases of conflict. Initial force posture, technological advantage, and early operational momentum dominate planning assumptions. However, experience from recent high-intensity wars suggests…
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The Conversation Europe Never Wanted: Hypersonic Tensions and U.S. Defense Strategy

The Conversation Europe Never Wanted: Hypersonic Tensions and U.S. Defense Strategy

Picture a late-night briefing room in Europe. Screens glow. A map of western Ukraine fills the wall. A red arc appears, moving faster than anything else in the inventory of…
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The Artificial Intelligence (AI) Arms Race in South Asia

The Artificial Intelligence (AI) Arms Race in South Asia

When India’s AI-powered missile defense system intercepted a simulated hypersonic threat in 2023, American analysts were surprised by the ethical framework guiding its development. In South Asia, rapid AI adoption…
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This Week in Deterrence (September 15-19, 2025)

This Week in Deterrence (September 15-19, 2025)

This past week was maelstrom of activities in deterrence. We are seeing a shift of the forces reshaping deterrence across domains. Paramount is the urgency of integrating allied doctrine, accelerating…
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How US and Israeli Attacks on Iran Will Reshape the Future of Nuclear Proliferation

How US and Israeli Attacks on Iran Will Reshape the Future of Nuclear Proliferation

The recent joint US-Israel strikes on Iran’s nuclear enrichment facilities mark more than a tactical blow to Tehran, they represent a strategic turning point for nuclear aspirants worldwide. Fourteen GBU-57…
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Drones and the Death of Deterrence: Lessons from Nagorno-Karabakh

Drones and the Death of Deterrence: Lessons from Nagorno-Karabakh

Drones did not change how wars are fought; they changed who can win them. In 2020, Azerbaijan used drones to dismantle Armenia’s defenses in Nagorno-Karabakh with chilling efficiency. Tanks, artillery,…
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How Civilian Dual-Use Technologies Are Reshaping Global Security Policies

How Civilian Dual-Use Technologies Are Reshaping Global Security Policies

In August 2024, police in northern Germany chased a fleet of drones loitering over critical infrastructure: a decommissioned nuclear plant, a chemical facility, and a Baltic liquified natural gas (LNG)…
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Deterrence and NATO’s Emerging Security Environment

Deterrence and NATO’s Emerging Security Environment

The international security environment is deteriorating rapidly and becoming increasingly dangerous and uncertain. China, Iran, North Korea, and Russia pose a threat to Western interests in multiple domains. Among them…
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Escalation Dominance Is a Flawed Framework

Escalation Dominance Is a Flawed Framework

The argument for “escalation dominance” as a cornerstone of US deterrence policy, presented in Joe Buff’s recent Global Security Review article, relies on outdated Cold War logic that fails to…
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Six Hours of Crisis: Martial Law, Democracy, and Leadership in South Korea

Six Hours of Crisis: Martial Law, Democracy, and Leadership in South Korea

Korea was referred to as the “Land of the Morning Calm” and the “Hermit Kingdom” by those who founded it centuries ago. These titles reflect the nation's historical isolation and…
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