Topic:strategic stability — Global Security Review %

Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic AdversariesChina, crisis stability, crisis-management mechanisms, data exchanges, Great Power Competition, hypersonic glide vehicles, inspections, long-range conventional strike, missile defenses, modular agreements, non-strategic nuclear weapons, nonproliferation regime, nuclear-powered cruise missiles, One moment, political commitments, strategic stability, transparency, trilateral frameworks, U.S.–Russian nuclear arms control, verification, working through the calculations for this response in more detail.New START

Beyond New START: Prospects for U.S.–Russian Nuclear Arms Control

Stephen Cimbala0 Comments

Published: April 14, 2026 For more than half a century, U.S.–Russian nuclear arms control has served as a central mechanism for managing strategic competition. Beginning with the 1972 Strategic Arms…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic AdversariesAlpha-India Consultancy, Australia, B-1B Lancer, B-2 Spirit, B-21 raider, B-52 Stratofortress, B61 nuclear bombs, China, Deterrence, distributed deterrence, dual-capable platforms, extended deterrence, F-35A Lightning II, flashpoints, forward deployment, gravity bombs, hosting arrangements, Indo-Pacific, Indo-Pacific Studies Center, intercontinental ballistic missile launchers, Japan, land-based missile launchers, Long-Range Stand-Off nuclear cruise missiles, maritime distances, National Institute for Deterrence Studies. , NATO, North Korea, nuclear alliance, nuclear forces, nuclear protection, nuclear sea-launched cruise missiles, nuclear-armed adversaries, Open Nuclear Network., Philippines, regional allies, Russia, second-strike capability, South China Sea, South Korea, sovereign nuclear capabilities, strategic architecture, strategic competition, strategic stability, submarine-based systems, submarine-launched ballistic missiles, Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons, United States

Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 4: Blueprint for an Indo-Pacific Nuclear Alliance

Natalie Treloar0 Comments

Published: April 9, 2026 The Indo-Pacific is rapidly emerging as the central theatre of global strategic competition. Unlike the Cold War in Europe, where nuclear deterrence involved two superpowers across…

AI & Deterrence, Archive, Emerging Threats, Strategic AdversariesAI, algorithmic bias, artificial intelligence, autonomous weapons, civilian casualties, confidence-building measures, emerging military technologies, false nuclear alarms, full autonomy, Gaza conflict, global peace and security, human out of the loop, IHL, international humanitarian law, international verification mechanisms, LAWS, Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems, Meaningful Human Control, MHC, Military Technology, moratorium, Nuclear Deterrence, Resolution A/RES/79/62, South Asian nuclear deterrence, strategic stability, strategic stability dynamics, Ukraine conflict, UN CCW, UN Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons, UN General Assembly

Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems: A New Battlefield Reality

Jawad Ali Shah0 Comments

Published: March 31, 2026 Technological advances and rising military expenditures in recent years have accelerated the development of Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems (LAWS). Though this technology is still in its…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic AdversariesArms Control, Arms Race, artificial intelligence, China, cyber operations, Deterrence, global security, inspections, missile defense, national technical means, New START, nuclear arsenal, nuclear forces, nuclear modernization, precision weapons, predictability, Russia, space systems, stability, strategic deterrence, strategic stability, tactical nuclear weapons, transparency, treaty, U.S., verification

No Treaty, No Panic: Deterrence and Stability After New START

Curtis McGiffin0 Comments

The expiration of the New START Treaty on February 5, 2026 has fueled concerns that, absent formal limits, uncertainty surrounding U.S. and Russian nuclear forces could generate instability and elevate…

AI & Deterrence, Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Emerging Threats, Strategic AdversariesAI models, AI race, AI talent competition., artificial intelligence (AI), China, code theft, command-and-control systems, Cyberattacks, Deterrence, EMP strike, escalation, global diplomacy, grey zone operations, Manhattan Project moment, micro-attacks, National Security, near-peer adversary, Nuclear Weapons, power grid, strategic stability, superintelligence, surprise attacks, system isolation, United States, wargaming

The AI Revolution’s Outsized Impact on Deterrence

Robert Kittinger0 Comments

The impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on national security at large and deterrence specifically cannot be overstated. The business leaders competing in the field of AI, like Sam Altman, Elon…

Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Strategic Adversaries2025 National Security Strategy (NSS), allies and partners, America First, arms sales, balance of power, burden sharing, capacity building, critical minerals, Deterrence, Economic Security, energy dominance, Great Power Competition, high-tech innovation, Indo-Pacific, industrial capacity, military overmatch, non-interventionism, nuclear arsenal modernization, nuclear deterrent, peace through strength, reindustrialization, sovereignty, strategic restraint, strategic stability, technological preeminence

The Case for Deterrence: What the 2025 NSS Gets Right

Curtis McGiffin0 Comments

After ten months in office, the Trump administration has released its 2025 National Security Strategy (NSS), marking a clear shift toward an "America First" approach that emphasizes core U.S. national…

AI & Deterrence, Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Emerging Threats, Strategic Adversariesartificial intelligence, attribution, command and control, critical infrastructure, critical vulnerabilities, cyber deterrence, Cyberattacks, Cyberspace, deconfliction mechanisms, democratic regimes, Deterrence, escalation, gray zone, irregular warfare, non-state actors, nuclear doctrine, nuclear escalation, nuclear threshold, offensive cyber capabilities, proportionality, second-strike capability, strategic cyberattacks, strategic stability, strategic threats, vital infrastructure

Hacking the Apocalypse: How Cyberattacks Could Trigger Nuclear Escalation

Gilles A. Paché0 Comments

Many of the world’s strategists still share the same conviction: as Kathryn Bigelow’s film A House of Dynamite (2025) dramatizes, nuclear escalation can only originate from a missile of unknown…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Emerging Threats, Strategic Adversariesadversarial attacks, AI Arms Race, AI diplomacy, AI ethics, AI governance, AI in defense, AI interoperability, AI policy, AI regulation, AI risk assessment, AI safety, AI Scientific Panel, AI strategy, AI verification, algorithm certification, algorithmic accountability, Arms Control, artificial intelligence, audit trail, autonomous systems, autonomous weapons, bias mitigation, Carnegie Endowment, civilian control, confidence-building measures, Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons, cryptographic logging, defense innovation, Deterrence, deterrence credibility, dual-use technology, emerging technology, escalation control, ETAI Framework, ethical AI, ethical governance, explainability, export controls, extended deterrence, fairness, Global Dialogue on AI Governance, global norms, governance frameworks, human oversight, human-machine teaming, Hypersonic Weapons, iCET, India, India-US partnership., Indo-Pacific security, INDUS-X, international cooperation, international peace and security, machine learning, military AI, National Security, National Strategy for AI, Pakistan, privacy, Quad, red-team exercises, reliability, resilience, responsible AI, Responsible AI Certification, security, South Asia, strategic stability, transparency, trustworthiness, UN General Assembly, UNIDIR, US-India collaboration

The Artificial Intelligence (AI) Arms Race in South Asia

Vaibhav Chhimpa0 Comments

When India’s AI-powered missile defense system intercepted a simulated hypersonic threat in 2023, American analysts were surprised by the ethical framework guiding its development. In South Asia, rapid AI adoption…

Archive, Strategic AdversariesArms Control, Arms Race, Article VI, AUKUS deal, biases, bilateral arms control, China, Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty (CTBT), conference on disarmament (CD), confidence-building measures (CBMs), conventional imbalance, crisis management, Deterrence, deterrent credibility, disarmament deception syndrome (DDS), discriminatory norms, emerging technologies, France, geopolitical landscape, global zero (GZ), India, Iran nuclear pursuit, Israel, modernization, multilateral treaties, National Security, Negative Security Assurances, non-nuclear weapon states, North Korea, North Korea withdrawal, nuclear arms race, nuclear disarmament, Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), nuclear proliferation, Nuclear Supplier Group (NSG), nuclear umbrella, nuclear weapon states, Pakistan, positive security assurances, prestige-driven ambitions, Russia, security betrayal trap (SBT), South Asia, space-based capabilities, strategic chain, strategic stability, Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPNW), Ukraine paradox, United Kingdom, United States

Illogic of Nuclear Disarmament in the Contemporary Era

Sher Ali Kakar & Atta Ullah1 Comment

Since the beginning of the nuclear age, the international community consistently made efforts toward disarmament. However, the world saw both vertical and horizontal nuclear proliferation. Nuclear-armed states are modernizing…

Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Bonus Reads, Defense & Security, Strategic AdversariesAmerican nuclear posture, Arms Race, ballistic missiles, Berlin, China, cold war, Cuba, Defense Spending, Deterrence, Diplomacy, escalation risks, extended deterrence, global stability, humanitarian impacts, INF Treaty, Iran, Katerina Canyon, mutually assured destruction, NATO, nonproliferation, North Korea, Nuclear dominance, nuclear modernization, public opinion, Quds Force, RAND study, Russia, slcm-n, space-based interceptors, START Treaty, strategic stability

Exposing Willful Blindness: American Strength Is Nonnegotiable

Brandon Toliver10 Comments

Katerina Canyon’s op-ed, “From Deterrence to Diplomacy: Why Nuclear Dominance Is a Dangerous Illusion,” calls for restraint and diplomacy rather than a robust nuclear arsenal. While her concerns over escalation…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & NonproliferationASEAN, AUKUS, Australia, China, Collins-class submarines, cruise missile, Deterrence, Euro-Atlantic, Extended nuclear deterrence, Henderson shipyard, HMAS Stirling, Indo-Pacific, NATO, Nuclear Planning Group, nuclear-armed, nuclear-powered submarines, precision strike capability, rotational presence, Russia, self-defense, slcm-n, SSN-AUKUS, strategic stability, submarine arms race, US Navy, Virginia-class submarines

SLCM-N, the Virginia-Class Submarine, and AUKUS

Natalie Treloar4 Comments

The sea-launched cruise missile–nuclear (SLCM-N) is a planned nuclear-armed cruise missile that is intended for deployment on US Navy submarines, potentially Virginia-class attack submarines, by 2034. Under Australia-UK-US (AUKUS) Pillar…