Strategic Adversaries — Global Security Review Strategic Adversaries %

Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Defense & Security, Emerging Threats, Geopolitics in Deterrence, Strategic AdversariesArms Race, ballistic missile defense, countermeasures, Deterrence, deterrence by denial, drones, hypersonic missiles, illusion of invulnerability, interceptor inventories, layered air defense, missile stockpiles, mutual vulnerability, offence-defense balance, offensive adaptation, Patriot, saturation attacks, strategic risk, strategic stability, Survivability, THAAD

Ballistic Missile Defense: The Illusion of an Impenetrable Shield

Atiqa Tariq0 Comments

Published: November 10, 2026 The proliferation of advanced missile defenses by regional actors has triggered the expansion of missile defense systems. The expiration of New Start in February 2026 launched…

AI & Deterrence, Archive, Strategic AdversariesAI assurance, audit records, authorization validity, autonomous deterrence, autonomous weapons, command authority, context-aware authorization, degraded communications, developmental testing, engagement control, escalation management, fallback modes, human authorization, human judgment, independent control mechanisms, military artificial intelligence, mission limits, preauthorized rules, real-time monitoring, runtime authority governance, sensor evidence, strategic deterrence

When Human Approval Fails: Runtime Authority Governance for Autonomous Deterrence

Burak Oktenli0 Comments

Published: November 5, 2026 A commander approves an autonomous defensive engagement while the target is inside an authorized area. Two seconds later, before the system acts, an allied aircraft enters…

Archive, Defense & Security, Emerging Threats, Strategic AdversariesAxis of Resistance, drones, economic pressure, Gulf States, Iran, Israel, maritime coercion, military escalation, missiles, naval mines, negotiated settlement, oil exports, political denial, regional proxies, sanctions evasion, sea denial, shipping disruption, Strait of Hormuz, strategic endurance, United States

Survival Is Not Victory: How Iran Is Trying to Outlast a Militarily Superior Coalition

Mohamed ELDoh0 Comments

Published: November 3, 2026 The renewed early September exchange of attacks between Iran and the US, including US strikes on three Iranian tankers after missiles targeted American warships, has not…

AI & Deterrence, Archive, Defense & Security, Strategic AdversariesAI infrastructure, AI strategy, Armenia, artificial intelligence, asymmetric defense, autonomous systems, Azerbaijan, Blackwell GPUs, defense innovation, Deterrence, Firebird AI Factory, geopolitical realignment, intelligence analysis, Iran, military modernization, Nagorno-Karabakh, National Security, NVIDIA, regional power shifts, regional stability, Russia, South Caucasus, technological diversification, Turkey, Western technology partnerships

Armenia’s AI Strategy and Emerging Power Shifts in the Caucasus

Vikramaditya Shrivastava0 Comments

Published: October 29, 2026 Armenia’s rapid turn towards artificial intelligence (AI) is reshaping the strategic landscape of the South Caucasus. The country’s pursuit of advanced computing capacity, defense‑oriented innovation, and…

AI & Deterrence, Archive, Defense & Security, Emerging Threats, Strategic Adversariesamphibious landings, autonomous maritime warfare, autonomous military platforms, Black Sea, CJADC2, contested logistics, defense acquisition, distributed operations, drone boats, expendable systems, Israel, joint all-domain command and control, logistics resupply, Manned-Unmanned Teaming, naval drones, one-way attack drones, Pacific war, Russia-Ukraine war, surveillance, Taiwan, U.S. Navy, Ukraine, Unmanned Surface Vessels (USVs), Unmanned warfare

The Next Chapter of Unmanned Warfare Has Arrived

Michael Connor & Yoni Tobin0 Comments

Published: October 27, 2026 Drone warfare is expanding from the skies to the seas, and the United States must be ready. The Russia-Ukraine war, which has become synonymous with aerial…

Archive, Emerging Threats, Strategic AdversariesAlaska, Aleutian Islands, Arctic, Baltic Sea, Batanes, BRP Sierra Madre, China Coast Guard, China-Russia coordination, coast guard militarization, Estonia, Gray Zone Tactics, Gulf of Finland, Hybrid Warfare, Indo-Pacific, international legitimacy, Japan Coast Guard, Kaliningrad, Lake Peipus, maritime coercion, maritime law, maritime security, Narva River, Philippines, Russian FSB Border Service, Senkaku Islands, shadow fleet, South China Sea, sovereignty claims, Taiwan Strait, territorial waters

White Hulls, Gray Zones: China, Russia, and a Habituated World

Jack Lindstrom0 Comments

Published: October 22, 2026 Pale hulls painted with “China Coast Guard” cut the waters around Taiwan, the Philippines, near Alaska, and across the deep blue of the Pacific. Such actions…

Archive, Emerging Threats, Strategic AdversariesCISA, coercive dependence, containment, containment time, control-plane security, critical infrastructure, cyber decoys, cyber deterrence, cyber intrusion, cyber resilience, deterrence by denial, evidence-based reconnection, incident isolation, independent control paths, mission continuity, National Security, NIST, operational technology, pre-positioning, recovery assurance, selective disconnection, separation of duties, trusted recovery, trusted recovery time, Volt Typhoon

Cyber Deterrence Begins with the Power to Disconnect

Burak Oktenli0 Comments

Published: 20 October 2026 On August 26, President Donald Trump declared a national emergency over foreign actors exploiting vulnerabilities in the U.S. bulk-power system. The order framed the problem as…

AI & Deterrence, Archive, Bonus Reads, Defense & Security, Emerging Threats, Strategic Adversariesartificial intelligence, attribution, cognitive warfare, counterfeit media, credibility, decision-making, democratic institutions, Disinformation, fabricated personas, foreign information manipulation and interference, information manipulation, misinformation, narrative reframing, propaganda, Russian information operations, societal resilience, strategic ambiguity, synthetic narratives, Ukraine, verification

The Cauldron Never Empties: Synthetic Narratives that Create Strategic Opportunity

Greg Sharpe0 Comments

Published: October 19, 2026 The most dangerous Russian information operation may not begin with a lie. It may begin with something true. A legitimate news report. An authentic photograph. A…

AI & Deterrence, Archive, Defense & Security, Emerging Threats, Geopolitics in Deterrence, Strategic Adversariesadvanced semiconductors, AI Act, AI safety, artificial intelligence regulation, capacity building, China, compute infrastructure, data governance, digital infrastructure, European Union, export controls, Generative AI, geopolitical competition, Global AI governance, Global South, global supply chains, institutional influence, international organizations, multilateralism, polycentric governance, private-sector power, regulatory fragmentation, structural dependence, technical standards, technological sovereignty, UN Global Digital Compact, United States

The Politics of Global AI Governance

Shaza Arif0 Comments

Published: October 13, 2026 The growing gap between rapid advances in artificial intelligence (AI) and inadequate verification mechanisms has created several challenges for the technology. In this context, global AI…

Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Defense & Security, Geopolitics in Deterrence, Strategic Adversariesartificial intelligence, artillery, biological weapons, chemical weapons, coercive leverage, covert delivery, crisis escalation, CRISPR, cyber operations, Deterrence, dual-use infrastructure, gene editing, Kim Jong Nam assassination, Kim Jong Un, military logistics, Pacific security, Pyongyang. , rockets, Russia–North Korea relations, special forces, theater nuclear posture, VX nerve agent, weapons of mass destruction

North Korea Has Options

Nathan A. Heard0 Comments

Published: October 12, 2026 In 2017, two people unknowingly working as proxies for North Korean intelligence approached Kim Jong Nam at the Kuala Lumpur International Airport. In what they thought…

Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Emerging Threats, Strategic Adversariesadversaries, Aegis, Arms Control, Arms Race, ballistic missiles, China, Congressional Budget Office, countermeasures, cruise missiles, Defense Spending, Deterrence, directed energy weapons, escalation risk, Golden Dome, Government Accounting Office, Ground-Based Midcourse Defense, hypersonic missiles, interceptors, international affairs, Iran, Iron Dome, lasers, military escalation, Military Technology, missile defense, national defense strategy, National Security, New START, non-kinetic capabilities, North Korea, nuclear arsenal, nuclear threats, opportunity cost, Patriot, Russia, security policy, space-based sensors, Star Wars, Strategic Defense Initiative, THAAD, vulnerability

Would Golden Dome Make America Safer?

Darrell Allen0 Comments

Published: October 5, 2026 In February 2022, days after Russian forces crossed into Ukraine, Putin placed his nuclear arsenal on high alert and warned that any nation interfering would face…