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Israel

A Counterintelligence Profile: Are High-Fliers Ready?

A Counterintelligence Profile: Are High-Fliers Ready?

Published: May 7, 2026 For the geopolitics of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), it is a time of great anxiety. With the non-Arab actors engaging in another tense…
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The Pitfalls of Offensive Counterproliferation

The Pitfalls of Offensive Counterproliferation

Published: April 30, 2026 The nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) was intended to limit the spread of nuclear weapons, and it has achieved remarkable success. Since the treaty was entered into…
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Trumping NATO

Trumping NATO

Published: April 28, 2026 Amid U.S. involvement in a war against Iran, President Donald J. Trump has decided to double down on previous public expressions of disregard and distrust toward…
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Nuclear Deterrence in the Age of Emerging Technologies

Nuclear Deterrence in the Age of Emerging Technologies

Published: April 21, 2026 The amalgamation of emerging technologies and nuclear weapons systems is significantly impacting the landscape of strategic stability. The primary problem associated with such technologies is their…
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A Blueprint for Deterring War Over Taiwan

A Blueprint for Deterring War Over Taiwan

Published: March 23, 2026 Two parties have watched Operation Epic Fury (OEF) from a distance. China has been taking notes. The United States Indo-Pacific Command (INDOPACOM) has tracked munitions consumption…
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Snapback Sanctions: The Collapse of Western Diplomacy with Iran

Snapback Sanctions: The Collapse of Western Diplomacy with Iran

On September 28, 2025, the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) re-imposed previously lifted sanctions against Iran. The move occurred when the European powers triggered the “snapback” mechanism of the Joint…
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Illogic of Nuclear Disarmament in the Contemporary Era

Illogic of Nuclear Disarmament in the Contemporary Era

  Since the beginning of the nuclear age, the international community consistently made efforts toward disarmament. However, the world saw both vertical and horizontal nuclear proliferation. Nuclear-armed states are modernizing…
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Deconstructing Deterrence

Deconstructing Deterrence

Since October 7, 2023, the term “deterrence” has circulated with increased frequency. There is one problem: as it is currently defined and understood, deterrence does not work. The Oxford Essential…
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Deterring Nuclear Terrorism in the Era of Great Power Competition

Deterring Nuclear Terrorism in the Era of Great Power Competition

As the Cold War ended and new counterterrorism priorities took root in the 2000s, the threat of nuclear terrorism cemented itself as the ultimate catastrophic scenario. Dick Cheney famously stated…
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Forecasting an Imminent Israeli Strike on Iran

Forecasting an Imminent Israeli Strike on Iran

Multiple converging factors point toward a high probability of a renewed and more expansive Israeli strike against Iran within the coming months, most likely between September and October 7, 2025,…
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Results in Iran

Results in Iran

In the early morning hours of June 22, 2025, American aircraft engaged in direct operations against three Iranian nuclear facilities: Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan. These attacks involved 125 aircraft and…
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