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Allies & Extended Deterrence

Allies and Extended Deterrence

NATO 3.0 and the Nuclear Arsenal It Requires

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Emerging Threatsalliance security, American nuclear umbrella, Article 6, assured destruction, British arsenal, burden sharing, China, cold war, conventional defense, conventional forces, crisis stability, Defense Spending, Deterrence, escalation management, European defense, extended deterrence, flexible response, forward deterrence, France, French arsenal, global security, high-yield nuclear weapons, interoperability, low-yield nuclear weapons, massive retaliation, military growth, NATO 3.0, NATO allies, North Korea, nuclear arsenal, nuclear capability, nuclear guarantor, nuclear posture, Nuclear Weapons, Poland, Russia, Russian stockpile, strategic partner, strategic stability, theater warfighting, transatlantic alliance, U.S. strategic recalibration

NATO 3.0 and the Nuclear Arsenal It Requires

Curtis McGiffin0 Comments

Published: July 6, 2026 Contemporary disagreements between the U.S. and its NATO allies have intensified over political, economic, and security issues. Disputes over trade, tariffs, defense spending, and expeditionary support reveal an unhealthy frustration with burden-sharing demands and…

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From Triad to Tetrad: Recent Developments in Russia’s Strategic Nuclear Forces

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Defense & Security, Emerging Threats, Strategic Adversaries9M730 Burevestnik (Skyfall), air-launched cruise missiles (ALCMs), and communications (NC3), Avangard hypersonic glide vehicle, ballistic missile submarines (SSBNs), control, Cosmos 2553, fractional orbital bombardment system (FOBS), intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), medium Earth orbit (MEO), missile defense (Golden Dome), Multiple-Orbit Bombardment System (MOBS), nuclear anti-satellite capability, nuclear command, nuclear triad, Poseidon (Kanyon) UUV, RS-28 Sarmat, strategic bombers, strategic nuclear forces, submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs)

From Triad to Tetrad: Recent Developments in Russia’s Strategic Nuclear Forces

Wannes Verstraete0 Comments

Published: June 25, 2026 Traditionally, major nuclear powers have developed and deployed strategic nuclear forces across three legs. This configuration, known as a nuclear triad, includes land-, sea-, and air-based…

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An Indo-Pacific Nuclear Alliance Closes the Deterrence Gap Faster than Conventional

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Emerging Threats, Strategic AdversariesChina, conventional forces, conventional rearmament, credibility, deterrence gap, distributed basing, escalation, extended deterrence, integrated nuclear planning, layered deterrence, NATO, North Korea, nuclear alliance, nuclear coercion, Nuclear Deterrence, nuclear sharing, One moment, Russia, signaling, Survivability

An Indo-Pacific Nuclear Alliance Closes the Deterrence Gap Faster than Conventional

Natalie Treloar0 Comments

Published: June 15, 2026 The Indo-Pacific is entering a period of acute strategic imbalance. China’s rapid military modernization across nuclear, conventional, cyber, and space domains has outpaced the ability of regional powers to…

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The North Sea Route as an Alternative to the Hormuz-Red Sea Conundrum

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Strategic AdversariesArctic Exception, Arctic ice, Arctic infrastructure, Asia, Bab al-Mandab, Bering Strait, China, drone attacks, EEZ, energy needs, energy resilience, Energy Security, energy transition, equity participation, Europe, Exclusive Economic Zones, fertilizer prices, food security, geopolitical pressure, global energy security, Gulf of Aden, Harbin agreement, Hormuz, houthis, icebreakers, IMEC, India, India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor, international law, island base, liquified natural gas, LNG, Malacca Strait, marine pollution, maritime routes, Middle East crisis, military access, North Sea Route, NSR, oil and gas, oil imports, Oman, Oman ports, Philippines, political instability, Putin, red sea, round-the-year operations, Russia, Sanaa, ship-building, shipping, shipping capacity, Singapore, South Korea, Strait of Hormuz, strategic trade, Suez Canal, Tehran, Thailand, trade corridor, U.S., UNCLOS, United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, Vietnam, Xi Jinping, Yamal project

The North Sea Route as an Alternative to the Hormuz-Red Sea Conundrum

R.N. Prasher0 Comments

Published: June 11, 2026 The Strait of Hormuz crisis and the continuing crisis in the Bab al-Mandab Strait have shown that narrow maritime passages can and will be used as political weapons in future conflicts. The state…

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Trump Wants NATO Allies to Step Up-Can France Lead the Way

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Strategic Adversariesallied countries, Arms Control, burden sharing, Deterrence, Emmanuel Macron, escalation control, European defense, European Security, fertilizer, flexible response, force de dissuasion, forward deterrence, fossil fuels, France, Germany, global supply chains, Iran, joint exercises, Long Range Stand Off missile, military exercises, Military Strategy, NATO, NATO bases, non-strategic nuclear weapons, nuclear command and control, Nuclear Deterrence, nuclear escalation, Nuclear force, nuclear posture, nuclear sea-launched cruise missile, nuclear umbrella, nuclear war planning, nuclear-armed aircraft, Operation Epic Fury, political isolation, Putin, Russia, slcm-n, Strait of Hormuz, strategic bombers, submarine-launched ballistic missiles, theater nuclear weapons, Trump, U.S. Military, U.S. nuclear triad, U.S.-France relations, Ukraine, United Kingdom, Western Europe, Zelensky

Trump Wants NATO Allies to Step Up-Can France Lead the Way

Stephen Cimbala0 Comments

Published: June 9, 2026 President Donald Trump has repeatedly criticized U.S. European allies for their alleged failure to assume a larger share of the responsibility for NATO deterrence and defense.…

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Turkey’s ICBM: Ambition for Autonomy

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Government & Politics, Strategic Adversariesalliance priorities, alliance reliance, America, American nuclear commitment, arms dependence, arms embargoes, arms supplier., autonomy, ballistic missile, civilian space, command and control, defense self-sufficiency, Deterrence, deterrent capabilities, domestic aerospace, drone, eastern Mediterranean, escalation risks, EU, foreign defense suppliers, forward deterrence, France, geopolitical power, Germany, ICBM, instability, Iran, Iraq, long-range ballistic capabilities, long-range strike, military power, Military Technology, missile, missile ambitions, missile security, national sovereignty, National Technology Initiative, NATO, NATO Europe, Non-Proliferation Treaty, nuclear arsenal, nuclear delivery capability, Nuclear Deterrence, nuclear warhead, Nuclear Weapons, operational freedom, payload, Poland, power projection, precision guidance, reentry vehicle, regional influence, rocket propulsion, Russia, sanctions, satellite-launch, Somalia, sovereignty, spaceport, state security, strategic ambitions, strategic autonomy, strategic calculations, strategic independence, Syria, technological progress, Ukraine, Western security, Yildirimhan

Turkey’s ICBM: Ambition for Autonomy

Curtis McGiffin0 Comments

Published: May 26, 2026 At the recent SAHA Expo 2026, Turkey unveiled a mock-up of the Yildirimhan (Thunderbolt) and released details about the long-range, four-engined, liquid-fueled ballistic missile. The designation…

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Deterrence Without Resolve Is No Deterrence at All

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Strategic Adversariesadversary, alliances, Alpha-India Consultancy, ambiguity, Australia, autonomous systems, capability acquisition, capability development, conventional deterrence, credibility, declaratory policy, encroachment, escalation, escalation risks, extended deterrence, forceful response, grey-zone coercion, Indo-Pacific, Indo-Pacific Studies Center, ISR, long-range strike, maritime assets, messaging, military capabilities, National Institute for Deterrence Studies. , Nuclear Deterrence, Open Nuclear Network., perception, political resolve, political will, Red Line, resolve, sea mines, self-reliance, strategic competition, strategic failure, strategic signaling, strategic surprise, U.S. nuclear guarantees, undersea infrastructure, undersea warfare

Deterrence Without Resolve Is No Deterrence at All

Natalie Treloar0 Comments

Published: May 12, 2026 There is a comforting fiction at the heart of much contemporary strategic thinking: conventional military capabilities can substitute for nuclear deterrence without requiring the same political…

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From Bilateralism to Multilateralism: Washington’s Push for Strategic Stability Through the P5

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Challenging Disarmament Disinformation, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Emerging Threats, Strategic AdversariesArms Race, Article 6, bilateralism, Centre for International Strategic Studies, CFR-600 reactors, China, consultative platform, fissile material, global nuclear order, multilateralism, multipolar nuclear landscape, New START, non-strategic nuclear weapons, NPT, Nuclear arms control, nuclear arsenal, nuclear deterrent, nuclear disarmament, nuclear risks, nuclear weapon states, P5, Poseidon torpedo, regional strategic stability., Russia, Skyfall cruise missile, strategic parity, strategic stability, theatre nuclear weapons, Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, Trump administration, United States

From Bilateralism to Multilateralism: Washington’s Push for Strategic Stability Through the P5

Nawal Nawaz0 Comments

Published: May 5, 2026 With the New START’s expiration on February 5, 2026, the world has entered a new era in nuclear arms control, reflecting the evolving realities of the…

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Trumping NATO

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Defense & Security, Economics & Trade, Geopolitics in Deterrence, Strategic Adversariesaggression, Arms Control, China, conventional war-fighting, Crimea, crinks, defense, Deterrence, drone warfare, European allies, European Security, Finland, France, gas prices, global stability, Here is a comma separated list of keywords extracted from the paper:Trump, Iran war, Israel, Ivo Daalder, Macron, Middle East, Military Strategy, Military support, military-industrial complex, NATO, North Korea, nuclear deterrent, oil prices, Operation Epic Fury, public opinion, Russia, shipping, Strait of Hormuz, Sweden, Truth Social, U.S. withdrawal, Ukraine, Vladimir Putin, Volodymyr Zelensky, world peace

Trumping NATO

Stephen Cimbala1 Comment

Published: April 28, 2026 Amid U.S. involvement in a war against Iran, President Donald J. Trump has decided to double down on previous public expressions of disregard and distrust toward…

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Silent Signals: Russian and Chinese Conventional Threats to NC3 and U.S. Extended Deterrence in Australia

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Emerging Threats, Strategic Adversariesalliance integration, anti-submarine warfare, ASW, AUKUS, Australia, China, communications, conventional threats, cyber defense, cyber operations, deterrence coherence, diesel-electric submarines, Doctrine, early warning, escalation, escalation manipulation, grey-zone, Harold E. Holt, India, Indo-Pacific, Indo-Pacific nuclear alliance, infrastructure hardening, long-range strike, mobile systems, multi-domain threats, NC3, nuclear consultation, Nuclear Deterrence, Pine Gap, PLA Navy, policy adaptations, precision strike, redundancy, regional security, Russia, signals intelligence, space-based systems, strategic dialogue, strategic resilience, threshold management., U.S. extended deterrence, undersea surveillance

Silent Signals: Russian and Chinese Conventional Threats to NC3 and U.S. Extended Deterrence in Australia

Natalie Treloar0 Comments

Published: April 27, 2026 Introduction Russia’s recent deployment of a conventionally armed, diesel-powered submarine to Indonesia should not be dismissed as routine naval activity. It is a calculated strategic signal.…

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Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 4: Blueprint for an Indo-Pacific Nuclear Alliance

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic AdversariesAlpha-India Consultancy, Australia, B-1B Lancer, B-2 Spirit, B-21 raider, B-52 Stratofortress, B61 nuclear bombs, China, Deterrence, distributed deterrence, dual-capable platforms, extended deterrence, F-35A Lightning II, flashpoints, forward deployment, gravity bombs, hosting arrangements, Indo-Pacific, Indo-Pacific Studies Center, intercontinental ballistic missile launchers, Japan, land-based missile launchers, Long-Range Stand-Off nuclear cruise missiles, maritime distances, National Institute for Deterrence Studies. , NATO, North Korea, nuclear alliance, nuclear forces, nuclear protection, nuclear sea-launched cruise missiles, nuclear-armed adversaries, Open Nuclear Network., Philippines, regional allies, Russia, second-strike capability, South China Sea, South Korea, sovereign nuclear capabilities, strategic architecture, strategic competition, strategic stability, submarine-based systems, submarine-launched ballistic missiles, Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons, United States

Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 4: Blueprint for an Indo-Pacific Nuclear Alliance

Natalie Treloar0 Comments

Published: April 9, 2026 The Indo-Pacific is rapidly emerging as the central theatre of global strategic competition. Unlike the Cold War in Europe, where nuclear deterrence involved two superpowers across…

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From Shaheds to Strait Control: Why Iran Can Still Influence Global Trade

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic AdversariesAlabuga drone factory, defense industry , diplomatic solution, drones, economic pressure, energy prices, Geran-2, global trade, insurance premiums, Iran, merchant ships, military capability, missile stockpile, Modern warfare, Russia, Shahed-136, Strait of Hormuz, Ukraine, war effort

From Shaheds to Strait Control: Why Iran Can Still Influence Global Trade

Raphael Chiswick0 Comments

On Saturday, the 14th of March 2026, President Donald Trump stated that the United States had destroyed ‘100% of Iran’s military capability’. If there is one thing that the war…

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