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Allies & Extended Deterrence

Allies and Extended Deterrence

An Indo-Pacific Nuclear Alliance Closes the Deterrence Gap Faster than Conventional

An Indo-Pacific Nuclear Alliance Closes the Deterrence Gap Faster than Conventional

Published: June 15, 2026 The Indo-Pacific is entering a period of acute strategic imbalance. China’s rapid military modernization across nuclear, conventional, cyber, and space domains has outpaced the ability of regional powers to…
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The North Sea Route as an Alternative to the Hormuz-Red Sea Conundrum

The North Sea Route as an Alternative to the Hormuz-Red Sea Conundrum

Published:  June 11, 2026 The Strait of Hormuz crisis and the continuing crisis in the Bab al-Mandab Strait have shown that narrow maritime passages can and will be used as political weapons in future conflicts. The state…
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Trump Wants NATO Allies to Step Up-Can France Lead the Way

Trump Wants NATO Allies to Step Up-Can France Lead the Way

Published: June 9, 2026 President Donald Trump has repeatedly criticized U.S. European allies for their alleged failure to assume a larger share of the responsibility for NATO deterrence and defense.…
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Turkey’s ICBM: Ambition for Autonomy

Turkey’s ICBM: Ambition for Autonomy

Published: May 26, 2026 At the recent SAHA Expo 2026, Turkey unveiled a mock-up of the Yildirimhan (Thunderbolt) and released details about the long-range, four-engined, liquid-fueled ballistic missile. The designation…
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Deterrence Without Resolve Is No Deterrence at All

Deterrence Without Resolve Is No Deterrence at All

Published: May 12, 2026 There is a comforting fiction at the heart of much contemporary strategic thinking: conventional military capabilities can substitute for nuclear deterrence without requiring the same political…
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From Bilateralism to Multilateralism: Washington’s Push for Strategic Stability Through the P5

From Bilateralism to Multilateralism: Washington’s Push for Strategic Stability Through the P5

Published: May 5, 2026 With the New START’s expiration on February 5, 2026, the world has entered a new era in nuclear arms control, reflecting the evolving realities of the…
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Trumping NATO

Trumping NATO

Published: April 28, 2026 Amid U.S. involvement in a war against Iran, President Donald J. Trump has decided to double down on previous public expressions of disregard and distrust toward…
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Silent Signals: Russian and Chinese Conventional Threats to NC3 and U.S. Extended Deterrence in Australia

Silent Signals: Russian and Chinese Conventional Threats to NC3 and U.S. Extended Deterrence in Australia

Published: April 27, 2026 Introduction Russia’s recent deployment of a conventionally armed, diesel-powered submarine to Indonesia should not be dismissed as routine naval activity. It is a calculated strategic signal.…
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Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 4: Blueprint for an Indo-Pacific Nuclear Alliance

Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 4: Blueprint for an Indo-Pacific Nuclear Alliance

Published: April 9, 2026 The Indo-Pacific is rapidly emerging as the central theatre of global strategic competition. Unlike the Cold War in Europe, where nuclear deterrence involved two superpowers across…
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From Shaheds to Strait Control: Why Iran Can Still Influence Global Trade

From Shaheds to Strait Control: Why Iran Can Still Influence Global Trade

On Saturday, the 14th of March 2026, President Donald Trump stated that the United States had destroyed ‘100% of Iran’s military capability’. If there is one thing that the war…
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Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 2: Gray zone campaigns and activities conducted by China, North Korea, and Russia in the Indo-Pacific

Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 2: Gray zone campaigns and activities conducted by China, North Korea, and Russia in the Indo-Pacific

Published: April 6, 2026 Strategic competition in the Indo-Pacific is increasingly taking place in the “gray zone”—the space between routine state competition and open warfare. Rather than relying solely on…
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Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 3: A Nuclear Alliance as the Ultimate Backstop to Grey Zone Coercion

Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 3: A Nuclear Alliance as the Ultimate Backstop to Grey Zone Coercion

Published: March 26, 2026 Strategic competition in the Indo-Pacific increasingly occurs in the grey zone, the space between routine statecraft and open armed conflict. China, North Korea, Russia, and Iran…
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