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Allies & Extended Deterrence

Allies and Extended Deterrence

Deterrence Without Resolve Is No Deterrence at All

Deterrence Without Resolve Is No Deterrence at All

Published: May 12, 2026 There is a comforting fiction at the heart of much contemporary strategic thinking: conventional military capabilities can substitute for nuclear deterrence without requiring the same political…
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From Bilateralism to Multilateralism: Washington’s Push for Strategic Stability Through the P5

From Bilateralism to Multilateralism: Washington’s Push for Strategic Stability Through the P5

Published: May 5, 2026 With the New START’s expiration on February 5, 2026, the world has entered a new era in nuclear arms control, reflecting the evolving realities of the…
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Trumping NATO

Trumping NATO

Published: April 28, 2026 Amid U.S. involvement in a war against Iran, President Donald J. Trump has decided to double down on previous public expressions of disregard and distrust toward…
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Silent Signals: Russian and Chinese Conventional Threats to NC3 and U.S. Extended Deterrence in Australia

Silent Signals: Russian and Chinese Conventional Threats to NC3 and U.S. Extended Deterrence in Australia

Published: April 27, 2026 Introduction Russia’s recent deployment of a conventionally armed, diesel-powered submarine to Indonesia should not be dismissed as routine naval activity. It is a calculated strategic signal.…
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Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 4: Blueprint for an Indo-Pacific Nuclear Alliance

Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 4: Blueprint for an Indo-Pacific Nuclear Alliance

Published: April 9, 2026 The Indo-Pacific is rapidly emerging as the central theatre of global strategic competition. Unlike the Cold War in Europe, where nuclear deterrence involved two superpowers across…
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From Shaheds to Strait Control: Why Iran Can Still Influence Global Trade

From Shaheds to Strait Control: Why Iran Can Still Influence Global Trade

On Saturday, the 14th of March 2026, President Donald Trump stated that the United States had destroyed ‘100% of Iran’s military capability’. If there is one thing that the war…
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Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 2: Gray zone campaigns and activities conducted by China, North Korea, and Russia in the Indo-Pacific

Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 2: Gray zone campaigns and activities conducted by China, North Korea, and Russia in the Indo-Pacific

Published: April 6, 2026 Strategic competition in the Indo-Pacific is increasingly taking place in the “gray zone”—the space between routine state competition and open warfare. Rather than relying solely on…
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Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 3: A Nuclear Alliance as the Ultimate Backstop to Grey Zone Coercion

Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 3: A Nuclear Alliance as the Ultimate Backstop to Grey Zone Coercion

Published: March 26, 2026 Strategic competition in the Indo-Pacific increasingly occurs in the grey zone, the space between routine statecraft and open armed conflict. China, North Korea, Russia, and Iran…
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Is The Air Campaign Against Iran an Illegal Use of Force?

Is The Air Campaign Against Iran an Illegal Use of Force?

Published: March 12, 2026 Whenever the United States resorts to military force, the same question echoes through Washington and beyond: Did President Trump act within the law? Recent controversies surrounding…
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Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact: Why the Indo-Pacific Requires a Nuclear Alliance

Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact: Why the Indo-Pacific Requires a Nuclear Alliance

Published: March 5, 2026 The Indo-Pacific is entering a far more dangerous strategic era. Military modernization, grey-zone coercion, and rapid nuclear expansion are reshaping the regional balance of power. Most…
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Late-Phase Failure and the Erosion of Military Effectiveness in Prolonged Conflict

Late-Phase Failure and the Erosion of Military Effectiveness in Prolonged Conflict

Contemporary defense analysis largely focuses on the opening phases of conflict. Initial force posture, technological advantage, and early operational momentum dominate planning assumptions. However, experience from recent high-intensity wars suggests…
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Seizing the High Ground: The Case for U.S. Leadership in Space Mining

Seizing the High Ground: The Case for U.S. Leadership in Space Mining

Since the Cold War, space has served as a powerful symbol of American identity. It is an arena where national pride, technological daring, and the spirit of exploration converge. It…
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