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Emerging Threats

Emerging Threats

Iran’s Strategic Logic of Instability

Iran’s Strategic Logic of Instability

Published: July 31, 2026 The previously concluded and now cancelled US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) revealed a paradox at the heart of the Middle East security landscape. Both sides have…
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Space Fortitude: Applying the Lessons of Operation Fortitude to Space Deterrence and Warfighting

Space Fortitude: Applying the Lessons of Operation Fortitude to Space Deterrence and Warfighting

Published:  July 28, 2026 Throughout military history, few deception operations have rivaled the strategic brilliance of Operation Fortitude. Conducted before the Allied invasion of Normandy in June 1944, Fortitude did not seek to…
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The Impossibility of Strategic Stability in a Multipolar Era: From Brittle Walls to Dynamic Resilience

The Impossibility of Strategic Stability in a Multipolar Era: From Brittle Walls to Dynamic Resilience

Published: July 27, 2026 For over a century, the primary objective of global diplomacy has been the pursuit of “stability.” From the Concert of Europe through the bipolar rigidity of the Cold War, stability was…
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The Iran War and Nuclear Weapons: Paths Forward or Backward?

The Iran War and Nuclear Weapons: Paths Forward or Backward?

Published: July 14, 2026 The announcement of a mid-June 2026 agreement between the United States and Iran on a framework for resolving the conflict that began on February 28 promised immediate relief for…
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Information Influence in AI-Assisted Hybrid Warfare in the U.S. Industrial Complex

Information Influence in AI-Assisted Hybrid Warfare in the U.S. Industrial Complex

Published: July 7, 2026 Abstract Artificial Intelligence (AI)-assisted hybrid warfare increasingly relies on information-influence engineered to appear legitimate. The objective is not mass persuasion through provocatively aggressive propaganda, but the…
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NATO 3.0 and the Nuclear Arsenal It Requires

NATO 3.0 and the Nuclear Arsenal It Requires

Published: July 6, 2026  Contemporary disagreements between the U.S. and its NATO allies have intensified over political, economic, and security issues. Disputes over trade, tariffs, defense spending, and expeditionary support reveal an unhealthy frustration with burden-sharing demands and…
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Proxy Wars Threaten Energy Security in the Indo-Pacific Amid Regional Turmoil in The Middle East

Proxy Wars Threaten Energy Security in the Indo-Pacific Amid Regional Turmoil in The Middle East

Published: June 30, 2026 Persistent geopolitical instability surrounding the Strait of Hormuz has renewed the debate about Indo-Pacific energy security and the need to diversify supply sources. However, diversification alone may not eliminate strategic vulnerability, even…
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Redrawn Boundaries in the Eastern Mediterranean: Türkiye’s New Legal Moves

Redrawn Boundaries in the Eastern Mediterranean: Türkiye’s New Legal Moves

Published: June 29, 2026 An Exclusive Economic Zone does not grant absolute territorial sovereignty to a coastal state. However, it secures the exclusive rights of a coastal state to explore…
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From Triad to Tetrad: Recent Developments in Russia’s Strategic Nuclear Forces

From Triad to Tetrad: Recent Developments in Russia’s Strategic Nuclear Forces

Published: June 25, 2026 Traditionally, major nuclear powers have developed and deployed strategic nuclear forces across three legs. This configuration, known as a nuclear triad, includes land-, sea-, and air-based…
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Strategic Corruption and the Future of Hybrid Warfare

Strategic Corruption and the Future of Hybrid Warfare

Published: June 23, 2026 During the Cold War, deterrence centered on missiles, troop deployments, and nuclear escalation. Military power still matters enormously, but modern strategic competition increasingly unfolds far from conventional battlefields. Rival states…
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An Indo-Pacific Nuclear Alliance Closes the Deterrence Gap Faster than Conventional

An Indo-Pacific Nuclear Alliance Closes the Deterrence Gap Faster than Conventional

Published: June 15, 2026 The Indo-Pacific is entering a period of acute strategic imbalance. China’s rapid military modernization across nuclear, conventional, cyber, and space domains has outpaced the ability of regional powers to…
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Applying the Olympus Mons Problem-Solving Model to Defeat Iran in the Gray Zone

Applying the Olympus Mons Problem-Solving Model to Defeat Iran in the Gray Zone

Published: June 3, 2026 In an age of persistent great power competition, the fight for influence is the decisive precursor to any potential conflict. Adversaries like Iran, who cannot compete…
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