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Emerging Threats

Emerging Threats

Hollow Ranks & Ghost Soldiers: Nigeria’s Corruption-Fueled Security Collapse

Hollow Ranks & Ghost Soldiers: Nigeria’s Corruption-Fueled Security Collapse

Published: May 11, 2026 Nigeria’s worsening security crisis is, at its core, a story of military breakdown. The Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP) overran at least 15 military bases…
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From Bilateralism to Multilateralism: Washington’s Push for Strategic Stability Through the P5

From Bilateralism to Multilateralism: Washington’s Push for Strategic Stability Through the P5

Published: May 5, 2026 With the New START’s expiration on February 5, 2026, the world has entered a new era in nuclear arms control, reflecting the evolving realities of the…
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Silent Signals: Russian and Chinese Conventional Threats to NC3 and U.S. Extended Deterrence in Australia

Silent Signals: Russian and Chinese Conventional Threats to NC3 and U.S. Extended Deterrence in Australia

Published: April 27, 2026 Introduction Russia’s recent deployment of a conventionally armed, diesel-powered submarine to Indonesia should not be dismissed as routine naval activity. It is a calculated strategic signal.…
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Assessing the Credibility of Manned Platforms in Contemporary Drone-Rich Combat Environment

Assessing the Credibility of Manned Platforms in Contemporary Drone-Rich Combat Environment

Published: April 23, 2026 Proliferation of unmanned systems in modern warfare has popularized the notion that traditional platforms have reached the end of their operational relevance. Particularly, the Russia-Ukraine war…
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Nuclear Deterrence in the Age of Emerging Technologies

Nuclear Deterrence in the Age of Emerging Technologies

Published: April 21, 2026 The amalgamation of emerging technologies and nuclear weapons systems is significantly impacting the landscape of strategic stability. The primary problem associated with such technologies is their…
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Reciprocity in Deterrence, Not Just Trade

Reciprocity in Deterrence, Not Just Trade

Published: April 2, 2026 On December 23, 2025, the Pentagon released its annual 2025 China Military Power Report to Congress—a reminder that America is still trying to deter tomorrow with…
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Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems: A New Battlefield Reality

Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems: A New Battlefield Reality

Published:  March 31, 2026  Technological advances and rising military expenditures in recent years have accelerated the development of Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems (LAWS). Though this technology is still in its…
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Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 3: A Nuclear Alliance as the Ultimate Backstop to Grey Zone Coercion

Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 3: A Nuclear Alliance as the Ultimate Backstop to Grey Zone Coercion

Published: March 26, 2026 Strategic competition in the Indo-Pacific increasingly occurs in the grey zone, the space between routine statecraft and open armed conflict. China, North Korea, Russia, and Iran…
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Redefining Espionage: The Unseen War for Technological Dominance

Redefining Espionage: The Unseen War for Technological Dominance

Published: March 24, 2026 The international system is undergoing a profound global power shift characterized by the resurgence of great power competition and a broad diffusion of technical capabilities. This…
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A Blueprint for Deterring War Over Taiwan

A Blueprint for Deterring War Over Taiwan

Published: March 23, 2026 Two parties have watched Operation Epic Fury (OEF) from a distance. China has been taking notes. The United States Indo-Pacific Command (INDOPACOM) has tracked munitions consumption…
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State-Sponsored Trolls as An Emerging Threat

State-Sponsored Trolls as An Emerging Threat

Published: March 19, 2026 The digital public square has transformed how Americans encounter information, debate ideas, and form political identities. Social media platforms promise open dialogue, but their algorithms often…
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Why Ideology Matters in Irregular Warfare

Why Ideology Matters in Irregular Warfare

Published: March 17, 2026 Ideology matters, as I learned from surviving 18 years under the Chavista regime in Venezuela. The United States pretended otherwise for three decades, clinging to the…
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