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sanctions

Iran’s Strategic Logic of Instability

Iran’s Strategic Logic of Instability

Published: July 31, 2026 The previously concluded and now cancelled US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) revealed a paradox at the heart of the Middle East security landscape. Both sides have…
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The United States Did Not Lose the War Against Iran: The Harder Part is Postwar Peacemaking

The United States Did Not Lose the War Against Iran: The Harder Part is Postwar Peacemaking

Published: July 21, 2026 Recently, it has become fashionable in news commentary and in political pronouncements by members of Congress, among others, to claim that the United States’ conflict with…
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The Iran War and Nuclear Weapons: Paths Forward or Backward?

The Iran War and Nuclear Weapons: Paths Forward or Backward?

Published: July 14, 2026 The announcement of a mid-June 2026 agreement between the United States and Iran on a framework for resolving the conflict that began on February 28 promised immediate relief for…
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Turkey’s ICBM: Ambition for Autonomy

Turkey’s ICBM: Ambition for Autonomy

Published: May 26, 2026 At the recent SAHA Expo 2026, Turkey unveiled a mock-up of the Yildirimhan (Thunderbolt) and released details about the long-range, four-engined, liquid-fueled ballistic missile. The designation…
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The Pitfalls of Offensive Counterproliferation

The Pitfalls of Offensive Counterproliferation

Published: April 30, 2026 The nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) was intended to limit the spread of nuclear weapons, and it has achieved remarkable success. Since the treaty was entered into…
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BRICS: The Emerging Bloc That Threatens the Liberal International Order

BRICS: The Emerging Bloc That Threatens the Liberal International Order

How could a quiet sentence from Washington rattle an entire European nation? Newly installed in the Oval Office, Donald Trump caused Europe to hold its breath when, in one of…
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Diplomacy in Great Power Competition and the Limits of Economic Statecraft

Diplomacy in Great Power Competition and the Limits of Economic Statecraft

As contemporary rivals, the United States and China echo historical patterns of major competition between an established and a rising power, described within Graham Allison's article, “The Thucydides Trap: Are…
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Nuclear Danger Remains in Ukraine Peace Settlement

Nuclear Danger Remains in Ukraine Peace Settlement

The Alaska summit between Presidents Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin on August 15, 2025, together with the follow-on meetings in Washington, DC, with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and European heads…
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How Trade Disputes Threaten the Future of Arms Control

How Trade Disputes Threaten the Future of Arms Control

Global arms control regimes are built on the pillars of trust, dialogue, transparency, mutual respect, restraint, verification, and, most critically, consensus among great powers. However, leadership in this domain risks…
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US–Iran Talks: Unlikely to Succeed Absent a Military Strike

US–Iran Talks: Unlikely to Succeed Absent a Military Strike

Indirect US-Iran talks are ongoing, with the first round held in Muscat, the capital of Oman, on April 12. Based on what was announced, the primary focus for the United…
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Trump’s Disintegrated Deterrence and Lessons for Australia

Trump’s Disintegrated Deterrence and Lessons for Australia

The American approach to deterrence has undergone a significant transformation during the initial months of President Donald Trump’s second administration. Where President Joe Biden’s national security strategy was premised on…
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