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escalation risks

Turkey’s ICBM: Ambition for Autonomy

Turkey’s ICBM: Ambition for Autonomy

Published: May 26, 2026 At the recent SAHA Expo 2026, Turkey unveiled a mock-up of the Yildirimhan (Thunderbolt) and released details about the long-range, four-engined, liquid-fueled ballistic missile. The designation…
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Deterrence Without Resolve Is No Deterrence at All

Deterrence Without Resolve Is No Deterrence at All

Published: May 12, 2026 There is a comforting fiction at the heart of much contemporary strategic thinking: conventional military capabilities can substitute for nuclear deterrence without requiring the same political…
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Understanding the Third Nuclear Age: Why 2026 Matters

Understanding the Third Nuclear Age: Why 2026 Matters

Experts call the current state of the world the third nuclear age, embodied by various emerging technologies. It is characterized by expanding nuclear arsenals, diminishing arms control agreements, and technological…
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Exposing Willful Blindness: American Strength Is Nonnegotiable

Exposing Willful Blindness: American Strength Is Nonnegotiable

Katerina Canyon’s op-ed, “From Deterrence to Diplomacy: Why Nuclear Dominance Is a Dangerous Illusion,” calls for restraint and diplomacy rather than a robust nuclear arsenal. While her concerns over escalation…
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