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The North Sea Route as an Alternative to the Hormuz-Red Sea Conundrum

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Strategic AdversariesArctic Exception, Arctic ice, Arctic infrastructure, Asia, Bab al-Mandab, Bering Strait, China, drone attacks, EEZ, energy needs, energy resilience, Energy Security, energy transition, equity participation, Europe, Exclusive Economic Zones, fertilizer prices, food security, geopolitical pressure, global energy security, Gulf of Aden, Harbin agreement, Hormuz, houthis, icebreakers, IMEC, India, India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor, international law, island base, liquified natural gas, LNG, Malacca Strait, marine pollution, maritime routes, Middle East crisis, military access, North Sea Route, NSR, oil and gas, oil imports, Oman, Oman ports, Philippines, political instability, Putin, red sea, round-the-year operations, Russia, Sanaa, ship-building, shipping, shipping capacity, Singapore, South Korea, Strait of Hormuz, strategic trade, Suez Canal, Tehran, Thailand, trade corridor, U.S., UNCLOS, United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, Vietnam, Xi Jinping, Yamal project

The North Sea Route as an Alternative to the Hormuz-Red Sea Conundrum

R.N. Prasher0 Comments

Published: June 11, 2026 The Strait of Hormuz crisis and the continuing crisis in the Bab al-Mandab Strait have shown that narrow maritime passages can and will be used as political weapons in future conflicts. The state…

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Is America’s Foreign Policy Incoherent?

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Deterrence & Foreign PolicyAfghanistan, attack, Budapest, China, Czech, East Asia, Foreign Policy, Iron Curtain, Japan, nazis, Nuclear Deterrence, Poland, Russia, South Korea, Soviet Union, Ukraine, Vietnam, Weinberger Doctrine

Is America’s Foreign Policy Incoherent?

Michael Fincher0 Comments

American history is imbued with a long-standing skepticism of intervention and long-term commitments that began with George Washington’s farewell address. While there is wisdom in this view, it is even…

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Nuclear Deterrence Is Not a Theoretical Game

Archive, Strategic AdversariesArms Control, China, cold war, cuban missile crisis, North Korea, Nuclear Deterrence, Russia, three body problem, ussr, Vietnam

Nuclear Deterrence Is Not a Theoretical Game

Aaron Holland & Joe Buff0 Comments

During the Cold War, strategists used applied math for insights into nuclear strategy. Their techniques included game theory, macroeconomics, and systems analysis. These models, brilliant as their creators were, had…

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Renewed Tensions Between the Philippines and China in the South China Sea

DiplomacyChina, Philippines, Vietnam

Renewed Tensions Between the Philippines and China in the South China Sea

Jumel Gabilan Estrañero & Maria Kristina Decena Siuagan

Three days before the 121st Independence Day of the Philippines—June 12th, 2019—a Chinese-flagged vessel rammed a Filipino fishing boat in the Philippines' exclusive economic zone (EEZ) in the West Philippine…

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Two Ways for the United States to Deepen Diplomatic Engagement with ASEAN

DiplomacyASEAN, China, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Russia, Singapore, United States, Vietnam

Two Ways for the United States to Deepen Diplomatic Engagement with ASEAN

Chris Estep

The time has come to demonstrate again that the United States seeks to engage partners in Southeast Asia at the highest levels of government. As the region’s economic and security…

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United States-China Rivalry Will Dominate Geopolitics in East Asia

Defense & SecurityChina, Japan, Taiwan, United States, Vietnam

United States-China Rivalry Will Dominate Geopolitics in East Asia

Vincent Lofaso

Great power competition between the United States and China will define the geopolitical landscape of East Asia. The Indo-Pacific region will see a fundamental shift in the geopolitical status quo…

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How Chinese Exceptionalism Fuels an Expansionist Foreign Policy

Deterrence & Foreign PolicyChina, Europe, Japan, South China Sea, United States, Vietnam

How Chinese Exceptionalism Fuels an Expansionist Foreign Policy

Joshua Ball

China’s approach to international relations and foreign policy has been shaped by its geopolitical history. China's vast amounts of territory are inhabited by diverse groups of people—each with distinct cultural,…

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Emerging Economies Will Hold Increasing Amounts of Global Economic Power by 2050

Economics & TradeBrazil, Canada, China, Egypt, France, India, Indonesia, Italy, Mexico, Nigeria, Turkey, United Kingdom, United States, Vietnam

Emerging Economies Will Hold Increasing Amounts of Global Economic Power by 2050

Joshua Ball

By 2050, economies like Indonesia, Brazil, and Mexico are likely to be bigger than those of the United Kingdom and France. The seven largest emerging market countries could grow, on…

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Why China’s Internet Censorship Model Will Prevail Over Russia’s

Deterrence & Foreign PolicyChina, Ethiopia, Russia, Vietnam, Zimbabwe

Why China’s Internet Censorship Model Will Prevail Over Russia’s

Valentin Weber

Russia and China are in a race to export their respective censorship models to authoritarian regimes. Over the last few years, China and Russia have been quietly exporting their models…

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U.S. Aircraft Carrier Visits Vietnamese Port for First Time Since Vietnam War

Defense & SecurityChina, United States, Vietnam

U.S. Aircraft Carrier Visits Vietnamese Port for First Time Since Vietnam War

Joshua Ball

A U.S. Navy aircraft carrier has visited a Vietnamese port for the first time since the end of the Vietnam War in 1975. The visit is seen as a sign…

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The U.S. and Vietnam Are Expanding Areas of Military Cooperation

Defense & SecurityChina, Russia, United States, Vietnam

The U.S. and Vietnam Are Expanding Areas of Military Cooperation

Joshua Ball

As the U.S. shifts its national security priorities to confront a rising China and an assertive Russia, military cooperation with countries like Vietnam will be critical to deterring aggressive behavior.…

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Rising Debt, Corruption, and Unemployment Will Haunt China Throughout 2018

Economics & TradeChina, United States, Vietnam

Rising Debt, Corruption, and Unemployment Will Haunt China Throughout 2018

Joshua Ball

For the first time in years, the S&P has lowered China’s credit rating to an AA- with a negative outlook, as layoffs, inefficiencies, and high debt plague the country's growth…

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