Topic:escalation management — Global Security Review %

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Defense & Security, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic Adversariesalliance cohesion, AUKUS, burden sharing, catastrophic war, China, declaratory policy, Deterrence, escalation management, extended deterrence, grey-zone coercion, Indo-Pacific, large-scale conventional war, military modernization, multi-nuclear dynamics, nuclear alliance, nuclear attack, Nuclear Deterrence, nuclear expansion, nuclear sharing, Pacific Defense Pact, Quad, Russia, strategic competition, strategic consultation

Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact: Why the Indo-Pacific Requires a Nuclear Alliance

Natalie Treloar0 Comments

Published: March 5, 2026 The Indo-Pacific is entering a far more dangerous strategic era. Military modernization, grey-zone coercion, and rapid nuclear expansion are reshaping the regional balance of power. Most…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Government & Politics, Strategic Adversariesalliance design, burden sharing, credibility, defense investment, Deterrence, energy sovereignty, escalation anxiety, escalation management, European dependence, forward defense, high-intensity war, industrial capacity, NATO, Nord Stream, realism, regional deterrence, Russia invasion, Russian hydrocarbons, shared risk, strategic correction, strategic preparation, U.S. leadership, Ukraine, under-resourcing, Western assumptions

Ukraine and the Failure of Western Assumptions

Kirk Fansher0 Comments

Ukraine did not just resist invasion; it shattered Western assumptions. In the weeks leading up to Russia’s 2022 invasion, the dominant view across Europe and the United States was that…

Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic Adversariesalliance cohesion, alliance-level exercises, capability demonstration, coercive leverage, compressed decision timelines, conventional vs nuclear deterrence, crisis decision-making, Deterrence, deterrence by denial, deterrence by punishment, distributed command and control, dual-use ambiguity, escalation management, European security guarantees, Hypersonic tensions, Hypersonic Weapons, integrated air and missile defense, integrated deterrence, interception challenges, Lviv, Mach 10, miscalculation risk, missile defense architectures, NATO, Oreshnik missile, Poland, resilience, Russia, strategic signaling, U.S. National Defense Strategy, Ukraine, warning time collapse

The Conversation Europe Never Wanted: Hypersonic Tensions and U.S. Defense Strategy

Brandon Toliver4 Comments

Picture a late-night briefing room in Europe. Screens glow. A map of western Ukraine fills the wall. A red arc appears, moving faster than anything else in the inventory of…

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Ghosts in the Skies: How Ukraine’s Drone Tactics Recast Modern Deterrence

Brandon Toliver4 Comments

What happens to nuclear deterrence when a non-nuclear state strikes deep into a nuclear-armed adversary? The stark reality is that the world does not collapse, but the era of conventional…

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ICBM EAR for 23 Jan 25

Peter Huessy0 Comments

ICBM Ear for the Week of January 23, 2025 Prepared by Peter Huessy, President of Geostrategic Analysis and Senior Fellow at the National Institute for Deterrent Studies Key Takeaways Significant…