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An Indo-Pacific Nuclear Alliance Closes the Deterrence Gap Faster than Conventional

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Emerging Threats, Strategic AdversariesChina, conventional forces, conventional rearmament, credibility, deterrence gap, distributed basing, escalation, extended deterrence, integrated nuclear planning, layered deterrence, NATO, North Korea, nuclear alliance, nuclear coercion, Nuclear Deterrence, nuclear sharing, One moment, Russia, signaling, Survivability

An Indo-Pacific Nuclear Alliance Closes the Deterrence Gap Faster than Conventional

Natalie Treloar0 Comments

Published: June 15, 2026 The Indo-Pacific is entering a period of acute strategic imbalance. China’s rapid military modernization across nuclear, conventional, cyber, and space domains has outpaced the ability of regional powers to…

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The Escalation Trajectory of U.S.-Iran Tensions After the Collapse of the Negotiations

Archive, Defense & Security, Strategic Adversariesanti-ship missiles, asymmetric capabilities, ballistic capabilities, ballistic missile development, coercive pressure, conflict, contingency planning, controlled escalation, defense strategy, diplomatic intervention, domestic stability, drone attacks, economic pressure, escalation, force posture, global oil trade, Gulf Corporation Council, Hezbollah, houthis, Iran nuclear program, Iraqi militias, IRGC, maritime blockade, maritime harassment, maritime oil exports, Middle East, military confrontation, military signaling, Miscalculation, naval mines, negotiations collapse, oil market volatility, operational flexibility, pre-positioned military assets, proxy attacks, red sea, regime survival, regional proxy networks, regional proxy warfare, regional spillover, regional stability, rhetoric, signaling, Strait of Hormuz, strategic risks, targeted military actions, third-party mediation, unintended escalation, US-Iran tensions

The Escalation Trajectory of U.S.-Iran Tensions After the Collapse of the Negotiations

Mohamed El Doh0 Comments

Published: May 18, 2026 (Originally written in April 2026) The failure of the U.S.-Iran negotiations that took place in Pakistan marks a decisive inflection point in the current Middle Eastern…

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A Nuclear Umbrella in Peril: Lessons from North Korea’s Escalation Scenarios

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Strategic Adversariesalliance, bombers, China, coercion, conventional, credibility, crisis, Deterrence, escalation, escalation scenarios, extended deterrence, Guardian Tiger, Indo-Pacific, Japan, missile defense, North Korea, nuclear, nuclear threshold, nuclear umbrella, preemptive, proliferation, retaliation, signaling, South Korea, strategic, strike, submarines, tactical, Taiwan, United States

A Nuclear Umbrella in Peril: Lessons from North Korea’s Escalation Scenarios

Ju Hyung Kim0 Comments

What happens when the world’s most powerful nuclear arsenal blinks in the face of a nuclear strike? In a recent Atlantic Council “Guardian Tiger” exercise, the United States faced precisely…

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