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The Escalation Trajectory of U.S.-Iran Tensions After the Collapse of the Negotiations

Archive, Defense & Security, Strategic Adversariesanti-ship missiles, asymmetric capabilities, ballistic capabilities, ballistic missile development, coercive pressure, conflict, contingency planning, controlled escalation, defense strategy, diplomatic intervention, domestic stability, drone attacks, economic pressure, escalation, force posture, global oil trade, Gulf Corporation Council, Hezbollah, houthis, Iran nuclear program, Iraqi militias, IRGC, maritime blockade, maritime harassment, maritime oil exports, Middle East, military confrontation, military signaling, Miscalculation, naval mines, negotiations collapse, oil market volatility, operational flexibility, pre-positioned military assets, proxy attacks, red sea, regime survival, regional proxy networks, regional proxy warfare, regional spillover, regional stability, rhetoric, signaling, Strait of Hormuz, strategic risks, targeted military actions, third-party mediation, unintended escalation, US-Iran tensions

The Escalation Trajectory of U.S.-Iran Tensions After the Collapse of the Negotiations

Mohamed El Doh0 Comments

Published: May 18, 2026 (Originally written in April 2026) The failure of the U.S.-Iran negotiations that took place in Pakistan marks a decisive inflection point in the current Middle Eastern…

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From Shaheds to Strait Control: Why Iran Can Still Influence Global Trade

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic AdversariesAlabuga drone factory, defense industry , diplomatic solution, drones, economic pressure, energy prices, Geran-2, global trade, insurance premiums, Iran, merchant ships, military capability, missile stockpile, Modern warfare, Russia, Shahed-136, Strait of Hormuz, Ukraine, war effort

From Shaheds to Strait Control: Why Iran Can Still Influence Global Trade

Raphael Chiswick0 Comments

On Saturday, the 14th of March 2026, President Donald Trump stated that the United States had destroyed ‘100% of Iran’s military capability’. If there is one thing that the war…

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Diplomacy in Great Power Competition and the Limits of Economic Statecraft

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Challenging Disarmament Disinformation, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic Adversariesalliances, China, coercion, Deterrence, Diplomacy, economic diplomacy, economic pressure, economic statecraft, extended deterrence, Foreign Policy, global politics, global security, Great Power Competition, innovation, international cooperation, international relations, investment, Military Strategy, nuclear triad, power rivalry, punitive deterrence, sanctions, tariffs, Thucydides Trap, Trade, United States

Diplomacy in Great Power Competition and the Limits of Economic Statecraft

Hafiz Ibrahim1 Comment

As contemporary rivals, the United States and China echo historical patterns of major competition between an established and a rising power, described within Graham Allison's article, “The Thucydides Trap: Are…

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