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Arms Control & Nonproliferation

Arms Control and Nonproliferation

Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 2: Gray zone campaigns and activities conducted by China, North Korea, and Russia in the Indo-Pacific

Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 2: Gray zone campaigns and activities conducted by China, North Korea, and Russia in the Indo-Pacific

Published: April 6, 2026 Strategic competition in the Indo-Pacific is increasingly taking place in the “gray zone”—the space between routine state competition and open warfare. Rather than relying solely on…
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Reciprocity in Deterrence, Not Just Trade

Reciprocity in Deterrence, Not Just Trade

Published: April 2, 2026 On December 23, 2025, the Pentagon released its annual 2025 China Military Power Report to Congress—a reminder that America is still trying to deter tomorrow with…
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Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 3: A Nuclear Alliance as the Ultimate Backstop to Grey Zone Coercion

Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 3: A Nuclear Alliance as the Ultimate Backstop to Grey Zone Coercion

Published: March 26, 2026 Strategic competition in the Indo-Pacific increasingly occurs in the grey zone, the space between routine statecraft and open armed conflict. China, North Korea, Russia, and Iran…
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A Blueprint for Deterring War Over Taiwan

A Blueprint for Deterring War Over Taiwan

Published: March 23, 2026 Two parties have watched Operation Epic Fury (OEF) from a distance. China has been taking notes. The United States Indo-Pacific Command (INDOPACOM) has tracked munitions consumption…
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Why Washington Has Turned to Pakistan—and What It Means for India

Why Washington Has Turned to Pakistan—and What It Means for India

Published: March 16, 2026 In the summer and fall of 2025, Washington’s decision-makers faced an urgent question: which partners could act immediately and deliver tangible results? This focus on short-term…
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Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact: Why the Indo-Pacific Requires a Nuclear Alliance

Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact: Why the Indo-Pacific Requires a Nuclear Alliance

Published: March 5, 2026 The Indo-Pacific is entering a far more dangerous strategic era. Military modernization, grey-zone coercion, and rapid nuclear expansion are reshaping the regional balance of power. Most…
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Understanding the Third Nuclear Age: Why 2026 Matters

Understanding the Third Nuclear Age: Why 2026 Matters

Experts call the current state of the world the third nuclear age, embodied by various emerging technologies. It is characterized by expanding nuclear arsenals, diminishing arms control agreements, and technological…
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Much Ado About Nothing: The Proliferation Debate Post Venezuela

Much Ado About Nothing: The Proliferation Debate Post Venezuela

The morning of January 3rd, 2026, a U.S. Army delta-force team conducted an operation in Caracas, Venezuela, capturing President Maduro and his wife. The operation comes in the wake of…
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Late-Phase Failure and the Erosion of Military Effectiveness in Prolonged Conflict

Late-Phase Failure and the Erosion of Military Effectiveness in Prolonged Conflict

Contemporary defense analysis largely focuses on the opening phases of conflict. Initial force posture, technological advantage, and early operational momentum dominate planning assumptions. However, experience from recent high-intensity wars suggests…
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Learning to Love the Atom Again: Why the Future of Artificial Intelligence is Nuclear

Learning to Love the Atom Again: Why the Future of Artificial Intelligence is Nuclear

Published: February 23, 2026 In his speech before the United Nations General Assembly on 8 December 1953, President Dwight Eisenhower proposed - in paraphrased terms- that the atom bomb be…
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BRICS: The Emerging Bloc That Threatens the Liberal International Order

BRICS: The Emerging Bloc That Threatens the Liberal International Order

How could a quiet sentence from Washington rattle an entire European nation? Newly installed in the Oval Office, Donald Trump caused Europe to hold its breath when, in one of…
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Diplomacy in Great Power Competition and the Limits of Economic Statecraft

Diplomacy in Great Power Competition and the Limits of Economic Statecraft

As contemporary rivals, the United States and China echo historical patterns of major competition between an established and a rising power, described within Graham Allison's article, “The Thucydides Trap: Are…
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