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strategic

Reciprocity in Deterrence, Not Just Trade

Reciprocity in Deterrence, Not Just Trade

Published: April 2, 2026 On December 23, 2025, the Pentagon released its annual 2025 China Military Power Report to Congress—a reminder that America is still trying to deter tomorrow with…
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The Uncertain Future of Nuclear Deterrence and Proliferation

The Uncertain Future of Nuclear Deterrence and Proliferation

The Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty was signed between the United States and the Soviet Union in 1987; it lasted until the United States withdrew in 2019. It contributed to…
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Should the US Go It Alone in Space?

Should the US Go It Alone in Space?

The US Space Force (USSF) recently published its US Space Force International Partnership Strategy. The USSF international strategy aims to operationalize “strength through partnerships” by aligning allied and partner nations…
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Mutually Assured Destruction

Mutually Assured Destruction

Mutually assured destruction or MAD is not an American doctrine or military strategy. Those who believe MAD is how America deters nuclear-armed adversaries assume that any use of nuclear weapons by the United States…
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Nuclear Danger Remains in Ukraine Peace Settlement

Nuclear Danger Remains in Ukraine Peace Settlement

The Alaska summit between Presidents Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin on August 15, 2025, together with the follow-on meetings in Washington, DC, with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and European heads…
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A Nuclear Umbrella in Peril: Lessons from North Korea’s Escalation Scenarios

A Nuclear Umbrella in Peril: Lessons from North Korea’s Escalation Scenarios

What happens when the world’s most powerful nuclear arsenal blinks in the face of a nuclear strike? In a recent Atlantic Council “Guardian Tiger” exercise, the United States faced precisely…
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Forecasting an Imminent Israeli Strike on Iran

Forecasting an Imminent Israeli Strike on Iran

Multiple converging factors point toward a high probability of a renewed and more expansive Israeli strike against Iran within the coming months, most likely between September and October 7, 2025,…
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Drones and the Death of Deterrence: Lessons from Nagorno-Karabakh

Drones and the Death of Deterrence: Lessons from Nagorno-Karabakh

Drones did not change how wars are fought; they changed who can win them. In 2020, Azerbaijan used drones to dismantle Armenia’s defenses in Nagorno-Karabakh with chilling efficiency. Tanks, artillery,…
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America’s Silent Shield: How Domestic Strength Sustains Nuclear Power

America’s Silent Shield: How Domestic Strength Sustains Nuclear Power

When Americans picture national security, they conjure images of hypersonic missiles, stealth bombers, and aircraft carriers patrolling global hotspots. They measure strength in megatons and defense budgets. Yet, the most…
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Trump and Zelensky: Bad Manners or Strategic Disaster?

Trump and Zelensky: Bad Manners or Strategic Disaster?

By any standard, the February 28 White House meeting between President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky was a breathtaking fiasco. After back-and-forth discussions, the conversation degenerated into a…
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ICBM EAR Report 13 Jan 2025

ICBM EAR Report 13 Jan 2025

The ICBM EAR report provides a detailed assessment of the U.S. nuclear deterrent's status and future outlook, focusing on the threats posed by Russia and China. By 2035, these adversaries…
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