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strategic deterrence

Late-Phase Failure and the Erosion of Military Effectiveness in Prolonged Conflict

Late-Phase Failure and the Erosion of Military Effectiveness in Prolonged Conflict

Contemporary defense analysis largely focuses on the opening phases of conflict. Initial force posture, technological advantage, and early operational momentum dominate planning assumptions. However, experience from recent high-intensity wars suggests…
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No Treaty, No Panic: Deterrence and Stability After New START

No Treaty, No Panic: Deterrence and Stability After New START

The expiration of the New START Treaty on February 5, 2026 has fueled concerns that, absent formal limits, uncertainty surrounding U.S. and Russian nuclear forces could generate instability and elevate…
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30 HS Rebuilding Lethality: Conservative Priorities for U.S. Nuclear and Missile Defense FY 2027 with Robert Peters

30 HS Rebuilding Lethality: Conservative Priorities for U.S. Nuclear and Missile Defense FY 2027 with Robert Peters

Join the National Institute for Deterrence Studies (NIDS) for an in-depth discussion on The Heritage Foundation's report on America’s nuclear and missile defense priorities for the FY 2027 budget. Our…
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Making Nuclear Blackmail Great Again

Making Nuclear Blackmail Great Again

After World War I, the United States and its allies sought arms control solutions to what were political problems. Proposals such as a ban on war and restrictions on the…
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The Russia-Ukraine Conflict Showcases the Limits of Nuclear Deterrence

The Russia-Ukraine Conflict Showcases the Limits of Nuclear Deterrence

Russia’s potential use of nuclear weapons early in the Ukraine conflict presents an interesting dilemma. For many analysts, this conflict exemplifies the limits of nuclear deterrence, an issue worth exploring.…
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The Quiet Dismantling of America’s AI Warfighting Edge

The Quiet Dismantling of America’s AI Warfighting Edge

Amid the global artificial intelligence (AI) arms race, elite adversaries such as China and Russia are actively strengthening their military tech structures without any barriers from their government. They are…
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Extending the Golden Dome: AUKUS Pillar 2

Extending the Golden Dome: AUKUS Pillar 2

As the United States attempts to better understand the requirements of President Trump’s Golden Dome program, pillar two of the AUKUS agreement has the potential to help solve the “integration…
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15 Years in the Making: U.S. Precision Strike on Iran’s Fortified Nuclear Site 

15 Years in the Making: U.S. Precision Strike on Iran’s Fortified Nuclear Site 

Today’s Department of Defense release highlights not just a military operation, but decades of foresight, innovation, and strategic discipline. 🔹 Engineering & Intelligence Combined What began in 2009 with the…
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Achieving Peace Through Strength: A Sustainment Imperative

Achieving Peace Through Strength: A Sustainment Imperative

Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth’s directive to achieve “peace through strength” inherently relies on a restored warrior ethos, a rebuilt military, and reestablished deterrence. However, sustainment challenges within the Air…
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ICBM EAR Report for 22 Feb 2025

ICBM EAR Report for 22 Feb 2025

This report, prepared by Peter Huessy for the week of February 22, 2025, covers various aspects of nuclear deterrence, defense budget developments, and geopolitical threats. Key topics include the Biden…
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Modern Escalation Dominance Is Essential to Effective Deterrence and Assurance

Modern Escalation Dominance Is Essential to Effective Deterrence and Assurance

Defense commentators note that adversaries, prior to acting aggressively, will first calculate risks and rewards. Significant to this calculus is an evaluation of how, if at all, America is likely…
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Nuclear Devices in Space

Nuclear Devices in Space

Nuclear devices in space have the potential to prove indispensable tools, ideal for protecting the planet from asteroid impacts. They are, however, currently forbidden, unless the 1967 Outer Space Treaty…
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