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retaliation

A Nuclear Umbrella in Peril: Lessons from North Korea’s Escalation Scenarios

A Nuclear Umbrella in Peril: Lessons from North Korea’s Escalation Scenarios

What happens when the world’s most powerful nuclear arsenal blinks in the face of a nuclear strike? In a recent Atlantic Council “Guardian Tiger” exercise, the United States faced precisely…
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Drones and the Death of Deterrence: Lessons from Nagorno-Karabakh

Drones and the Death of Deterrence: Lessons from Nagorno-Karabakh

Drones did not change how wars are fought; they changed who can win them. In 2020, Azerbaijan used drones to dismantle Armenia’s defenses in Nagorno-Karabakh with chilling efficiency. Tanks, artillery,…
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Shahed-136: Iran’s Long-Range Drone and Its Potential Role in a US Conflict

Shahed-136: Iran’s Long-Range Drone and Its Potential Role in a US Conflict

The Shahed-136 loitering munition gained global attention due to its use in Russia’s war on Ukraine. This drone is relatively inexpensive, possesses a swarm capability, and has a precision-strike capability…
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Modern Escalation Dominance Is Essential to Effective Deterrence and Assurance

Modern Escalation Dominance Is Essential to Effective Deterrence and Assurance

Defense commentators note that adversaries, prior to acting aggressively, will first calculate risks and rewards. Significant to this calculus is an evaluation of how, if at all, America is likely…
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