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Deterrence

Why Ideology Matters in Irregular Warfare

Why Ideology Matters in Irregular Warfare

Published: March 17, 2026 Ideology matters, as I learned from surviving 18 years under the Chavista regime in Venezuela. The United States pretended otherwise for three decades, clinging to the…
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Red Sea Uncertainty: A 2026 Forecast for the Houthis Actions

Red Sea Uncertainty: A 2026 Forecast for the Houthis Actions

Published: March 10, 2026 (Editor’s Note: This article was submitted before the U.S.-Iran conflict began. We intentionally left the article as “forward looking” to signify the value of the analysis.)…
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Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact: Why the Indo-Pacific Requires a Nuclear Alliance

Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact: Why the Indo-Pacific Requires a Nuclear Alliance

Published: March 5, 2026 The Indo-Pacific is entering a far more dangerous strategic era. Military modernization, grey-zone coercion, and rapid nuclear expansion are reshaping the regional balance of power. Most…
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Diplomacy in Great Power Competition and the Limits of Economic Statecraft

Diplomacy in Great Power Competition and the Limits of Economic Statecraft

As contemporary rivals, the United States and China echo historical patterns of major competition between an established and a rising power, described within Graham Allison's article, “The Thucydides Trap: Are…
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America’s Managed Retreat: How the 2025 U.S. National Security Strategy Shifts the Burden to Allies

America’s Managed Retreat: How the 2025 U.S. National Security Strategy Shifts the Burden to Allies

The United States’ 2025 National Security Strategy (NSS) is a document that has been written under the shadow of economic strain and military overreach, and it raises the slogan of…
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Greenland, Strategic Denial, and the Survivability of U.S. Nuclear Forces

Greenland, Strategic Denial, and the Survivability of U.S. Nuclear Forces

Greenland’s strategic importance lies not in symbolism, climate change, or future economic potential, but in its role at the center of modern deterrence. The island anchors the ability of the…
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No Treaty, No Panic: Deterrence and Stability After New START

No Treaty, No Panic: Deterrence and Stability After New START

The expiration of the New START Treaty on February 5, 2026 has fueled concerns that, absent formal limits, uncertainty surrounding U.S. and Russian nuclear forces could generate instability and elevate…
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India’s Push for Long Range Air-to-Surface Missiles

India’s Push for Long Range Air-to-Surface Missiles

India’s accelerating induction and expansion of long-range air-to-surface missiles (LR-ASM) into its conventional stockpile marks a shift in its military doctrine after the May 2025 war with Pakistan. While Indian…
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Ukraine and the Failure of Western Assumptions

Ukraine and the Failure of Western Assumptions

Ukraine did not just resist invasion; it shattered Western assumptions. In the weeks leading up to Russia’s 2022 invasion, the dominant view across Europe and the United States was that…
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Can Denmark Defend Greenland from Trump?

Can Denmark Defend Greenland from Trump?

The renewed attention on Greenland did not begin with Arctic ice melt or the quest for rare earth minerals. It began with discomfort, specifically, American discomfort with a long-standing European…
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The Conversation Europe Never Wanted: Hypersonic Tensions and U.S. Defense Strategy

The Conversation Europe Never Wanted: Hypersonic Tensions and U.S. Defense Strategy

Picture a late-night briefing room in Europe. Screens glow. A map of western Ukraine fills the wall. A red arc appears, moving faster than anything else in the inventory of…
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Not Part of China: An Explanation of Japan’s Taiwan Policy

Not Part of China: An Explanation of Japan’s Taiwan Policy

On December 3, Hong Kong’s main English newspaper, The South China Morning Post, posted on the social media website X, “Breaking: Japan’s Sanae Takaichi reaffirms Taiwan is a part of…
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