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A Nuclear Umbrella in Peril: Lessons from North Korea’s Escalation Scenarios

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Strategic Adversariesalliance, bombers, China, coercion, conventional, credibility, crisis, Deterrence, escalation, escalation scenarios, extended deterrence, Guardian Tiger, Indo-Pacific, Japan, missile defense, North Korea, nuclear, nuclear threshold, nuclear umbrella, preemptive, proliferation, retaliation, signaling, South Korea, strategic, strike, submarines, tactical, Taiwan, United States

A Nuclear Umbrella in Peril: Lessons from North Korea’s Escalation Scenarios

Ju Hyung Kim0 Comments

What happens when the world’s most powerful nuclear arsenal blinks in the face of a nuclear strike? In a recent Atlantic Council “Guardian Tiger” exercise, the United States faced precisely…

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Forecasting an Imminent Israeli Strike on Iran

Archive, Strategic Adversariesaction, against, attack, between, command, full, Gaza, high, Iran, Iranian, irans, Israel, israeli, israels, Lebanon, likely, military, missile, mobilization, more, most, operational, operations, political, proxy, regional, strategic, strike, well, where

Forecasting an Imminent Israeli Strike on Iran

Mohamed ELDoh0 Comments

Multiple converging factors point toward a high probability of a renewed and more expansive Israeli strike against Iran within the coming months, most likely between September and October 7, 2025,…

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Is America Prepared for a Strike Against its Nuclear Command and Control?

Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Emerging Threats, Podcast, Strategic AdversariesAdam, airborne alert systems, America, article review, command and control, command and control structure, Curtis, Deterrence, effective deterrence, historical context, Iran, Jim, Looking Glass mission, modern technology, modernization, nuclear arsenal, Nuclear Deterrence, nuclear facilities, nuclear strategy, nuclear systems, strike, successful attack, technological advancements, traditional systems, U.S., unprepared, visibility

Is America Prepared for a Strike Against its Nuclear Command and Control?

Curtis McGiffin, Adam Lowther & James Petrosky1 Comment

What happens when the deterrent becomes the target? In this episode, Adam, Curtis, and Jim tackle a bold and unsettling question: After America’s successful strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities, is…

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