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Emerging Threats

Emerging Threats

Iran’s Threat to Azerbaijan’s Critical Energy Infrastructure

Iran’s Threat to Azerbaijan’s Critical Energy Infrastructure

Iranian leaders increased their belligerent rhetoric following the October 1 attack in which the Islamic Republic fired nearly 200 ballistic missiles on Israel. Codenamed “True Promise,” the attack was the…
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Proposing Maritime Confidence-Building Measures between India and Pakistan

Proposing Maritime Confidence-Building Measures between India and Pakistan

There are escalating tensions between India and Pakistan in the Indian Ocean region (IOR), which underscores the need for maritime confidence-building measures (CBM) and risk-reduction strategies to avoid any probability…
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ICBM EAR Report Nov 5, 2024

ICBM EAR Report Nov 5, 2024

Summary Report Events of Significance​ Nuclear Deterrent Seminar: Scheduled for December 6, 2024, focusing on China's nuclear buildup with Christopher Yeaw from the University of Nebraska. Triad Symposium: Announced for…
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Weekend Gouge – November 8, 2024

Weekend Gouge – November 8, 2024

What to know for the weekend: Reports The Only Nuclear Deterrence Strategy America Needs. Dynamic Parity by Curtis McGiffin and Adam Lowther https://thinkdeterrence.com/dynamic-parity/ The latest ICBM EAR Report by Peter…
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Counter Terror’s High-tech to Low-tech Backfire

Counter Terror’s High-tech to Low-tech Backfire

As the media ponders how Israel will respond to Iranian missile attack, many remain awestruck by the September 17, 2024, Israeli pager attack and subsequent walkie-talkie detonations that killed or…
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Terrorism in Latin America: We Should Be Paying Attention

Terrorism in Latin America: We Should Be Paying Attention

All eyes are on Hezbollah as the Israel-Palestinian conflict threatens the stability of Lebanon. Undoubtedly, war with the Iranian-backed militant group will cause widespread damage and destruction. Still, as the…
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Striking from Afar: The Strategic Edge of Standoff Warfare

Striking from Afar: The Strategic Edge of Standoff Warfare

Standoff warfare has emerged as a pivotal approach in modern warfare. By keeping forces beyond the reach of adversaries and utilizing long-range offensive capabilities, nations aim to maintain a tactical…
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The Ukraine War: Great Power Competition

The Ukraine War: Great Power Competition

As the war in Ukraine rages on, more than two years since it began, many observers are trying to determine who is winning and who will win in the end.…
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Modernizing Civil Defense Is Wise

Modernizing Civil Defense Is Wise

America waged a Cold War against a nuclear-armed Marxist-Leninist state for four decades. The US government took a number of civil defense measures to protect the American people. These included:…
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Why Military Presses Matter

Why Military Presses Matter

On a 2015 official visit to the People’s Liberation Army’s (PLA) National University of Defense Technology in Changsha, China, I (Adam) was talking with a senior PLA colonel about Chinese…
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It’s 1938, not 1968

It’s 1938, not 1968

The presidential campaign is heading into its climactic final months. Pundits and politicians are inevitably drawing analogies between present and past events in domestic politics and foreign policy. This year,…
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