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The Global Security Review Journal is a division of The National Institute for Deterrence Studies (NIDS) The National Institute for Deterrence Studies (NIDS) is a 501(C)(3) nonprofit “think tank” that…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Strategic Adversaries“New Era” leadership, “reform and opening up, ” soft burial, camera obscura, centralized authority, Chinese Communist Party (CCP), collective leadership vs. personalization, Deng Xiaoping legacy, diplomatic signaling, foreign misinterpretation risk, historical narrative management, Hu Yaobang commemoration, ideological control, ideological succession, legitimacy consolidation, loyalty and moral rectitude framing, memory politics, Party education materials, party historiography, policy pluralism constraints, political optics, political psychology, reform discourse co-optation, symbolism and spectacle, Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping’s Political Psychology, Memory, and ‘New Era’ Leadership: ‘Political Optics’ as Camera Obscura in China’s Next Strategic Direction

Jumel G. Estrañero0 Comments

In November 2025, China held a high-profile commemoration for the 110th birthday of Hu Yaobang, a historically liberal Chinese Communist Party (CCP) leader. Some international subject matter experts thought it…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic Adversariesballistic missile interception, Blue Origin, boost-phase intercept, Brilliant Pebbles, cost-effective defense, Future Space-Based Interceptors, Golden Dome, homeland missile defense, intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, layered missile defense, low Earth orbit (LEO), missile defense strategy, national missile defense policy, Nuclear Deterrence, placebo defense, rogue state threats, Space control, space launch capabilities, space-based interceptors, space-based missile defense, SpaceX, Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI), Team B, technological readiness

Brilliant Pebbles Can Provide a Real Space-Based Missile Defense for Golden Dome

Matthew Mowthorpe0 Comments

The announcement of Golden Dome in May 2025 has reinvigorated discussions around the often-maligned concept of space-based missile defenses. Ever since President Reagan’s 1983 speech announcing the Strategic Defense Initiative…

Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic Adversaries

An Iranian Collapse Poses Security Risks for the Azerbaijan Republic

Rufat Ahmedzade0 Comments

Protests in Iran are continuing to escalate. What started as a protest by local traders against the fall in the value of the local currency, rising prices, economic mismanagement, and…

Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic Adversariesalliance cohesion, alliance-level exercises, capability demonstration, coercive leverage, compressed decision timelines, conventional vs nuclear deterrence, crisis decision-making, Deterrence, deterrence by denial, deterrence by punishment, distributed command and control, dual-use ambiguity, escalation management, European security guarantees, Hypersonic tensions, Hypersonic Weapons, integrated air and missile defense, integrated deterrence, interception challenges, Lviv, Mach 10, miscalculation risk, missile defense architectures, NATO, Oreshnik missile, Poland, resilience, Russia, strategic signaling, U.S. National Defense Strategy, Ukraine, warning time collapse

The Conversation Europe Never Wanted: Hypersonic Tensions and U.S. Defense Strategy

Brandon Toliver4 Comments

Picture a late-night briefing room in Europe. Screens glow. A map of western Ukraine fills the wall. A red arc appears, moving faster than anything else in the inventory of…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Bonus Reads, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic Adversariesair superiority, command nodes, contested airspace, Deep Battle, drones, energy infrastructure, exploitation, incremental deepening, infrastructure, logistics, long-range strikes, maneuver warfare, massed firepower, nuclear signaling, operational depth, operational tempo, Precision Fires, rapid penetration, reserves, Russian operational art, Soviet doctrine, tactical nuclear weapons, Ukrainian defenses, Vladimir Triandafillov, war of attrition

The Russian View of Deep Battle: Implications for the War in Ukraine

Stephen Cimbala1 Comment

Russia’s conduct of military operations in Ukraine cannot be understood without revisiting one of the most influential concepts in Soviet and Russian operational art: Deep Battle. Developed in the 1920s…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic Adversariesacknowledge vs recognize, Article 8 Potsdam, Cairo Declaration (1943), China–Japan relations, Deterrence, diplomatic language, false narratives, Indo-Pacific security, international law, international neutrality, Japan–China Joint Communiqué (1972), Japan–Taiwan policy, One China Policy, People’s Republic of China (PRC), postwar treaties, Potsdam Declaration (1945), psychological warfare, Republic of China (ROC), San Francisco Peace Treaty (1951), Sanae Takaichi, sovereignty, strategic ambiguity, Taiwan status, Taiwan Strait, Treaty of Shimonoseki (1895), U.S.–PRC Joint Communiqué (1979), unresolved status of Taiwan

Not Part of China: An Explanation of Japan’s Taiwan Policy

Lindell Lucy0 Comments

On December 3, Hong Kong’s main English newspaper, The South China Morning Post, posted on the social media website X, “Breaking: Japan’s Sanae Takaichi reaffirms Taiwan is a part of…

AI & Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Economics & Trade, Emerging Threats, Space Deterrence & Conflict, Strategic Adversaries2025 National Security Strategy, artificial intelligence, Cislunar Security, Critical Materials, defense industrial base, Deterrence, Disruptive Industries, Economic Security, export controls, Indo-Pacific, industrial base, Industrial Policy, Manufacturing Capacity, Military Strategy, mobilization, national resilience, reindustrialization, Reshoring, space superiority, Spheres of Influence, Strategic Technologies, supply chains, Technological Leadership, Western hemisphere

Techno-Economic power at the heart of the 2025 U.S. National Security Strategy

Christophe Bosquillon0 Comments

The 2025 U.S. National Security Strategy (NSS) dropped on December 4th. The Secretary of War said: “Out with utopian idealism, in with hard-nosed realism.” The NSS could even further be translated…

AI & Deterrence, Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Emerging Threats, Strategic AdversariesAI models, AI race, AI talent competition., artificial intelligence (AI), China, code theft, command-and-control systems, Cyberattacks, Deterrence, EMP strike, escalation, global diplomacy, grey zone operations, Manhattan Project moment, micro-attacks, National Security, near-peer adversary, Nuclear Weapons, power grid, strategic stability, superintelligence, surprise attacks, system isolation, United States, wargaming

The AI Revolution’s Outsized Impact on Deterrence

Robert Kittinger0 Comments

The impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on national security at large and deterrence specifically cannot be overstated. The business leaders competing in the field of AI, like Sam Altman, Elon…

Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Strategic Adversaries2025 National Security Strategy (NSS), allies and partners, America First, arms sales, balance of power, burden sharing, capacity building, critical minerals, Deterrence, Economic Security, energy dominance, Great Power Competition, high-tech innovation, Indo-Pacific, industrial capacity, military overmatch, non-interventionism, nuclear arsenal modernization, nuclear deterrent, peace through strength, reindustrialization, sovereignty, strategic restraint, strategic stability, technological preeminence

The Case for Deterrence: What the 2025 NSS Gets Right

Curtis McGiffin0 Comments

After ten months in office, the Trump administration has released its 2025 National Security Strategy (NSS), marking a clear shift toward an "America First" approach that emphasizes core U.S. national…

AI & Deterrence, Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Emerging Threats, Strategic Adversariesartificial intelligence, attribution, command and control, critical infrastructure, critical vulnerabilities, cyber deterrence, Cyberattacks, Cyberspace, deconfliction mechanisms, democratic regimes, Deterrence, escalation, gray zone, irregular warfare, non-state actors, nuclear doctrine, nuclear escalation, nuclear threshold, offensive cyber capabilities, proportionality, second-strike capability, strategic cyberattacks, strategic stability, strategic threats, vital infrastructure

Hacking the Apocalypse: How Cyberattacks Could Trigger Nuclear Escalation

Gilles A. Paché0 Comments

Many of the world’s strategists still share the same conviction: as Kathryn Bigelow’s film A House of Dynamite (2025) dramatizes, nuclear escalation can only originate from a missile of unknown…