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AI & Deterrence, Archive, Emerging Threats, Strategic AdversariesAI, algorithmic bias, artificial intelligence, autonomous weapons, civilian casualties, confidence-building measures, emerging military technologies, false nuclear alarms, full autonomy, Gaza conflict, global peace and security, human out of the loop, IHL, international humanitarian law, international verification mechanisms, LAWS, Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems, Meaningful Human Control, MHC, Military Technology, moratorium, Nuclear Deterrence, Resolution A/RES/79/62, South Asian nuclear deterrence, strategic stability, strategic stability dynamics, Ukraine conflict, UN CCW, UN Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons, UN General Assembly

Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems: A New Battlefield Reality

Jawad Ali Shah0 Comments

Published: March 31, 2026 Technological advances and rising military expenditures in recent years have accelerated the development of Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems (LAWS). Though this technology is still in its…

Archive, Defense & Security, Strategic Adversariesadversaries, allies, Artemis II, aviation, biodefense, budget, congress, continuity, Deterrence, deterrence studies , disruption, Government, health, HHS, morale, nation, preparedness, Public Health, readiness, resilience, screening, security, Shutdown, surveillance, TSA, vulnerability, workforce

Deterrence on Layaway: A Shutdown’s Quiet Assault on American Security

Brandon Toliver0 Comments

Published: March 30, 2026 A nation does not need to lose a battle to look weak. Sometimes it only needs to miss a paycheck. Washington often treats budget shutdowns as…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Emerging Threats, Strategic Adversariesalliances, catastrophic conflict. , coercion, conventional responses, cyber operations, Deterrence, Disinformation campaigns, economic coercion, escalation management, extended deterrence, grey-zone, Indo-Pacific, maritime harassment, military provocations, Non-proliferation, nuclear alliance, Nuclear Deterrence, political resolve, security guarantees, stability, strategic competition, strategic environment

Beyond a Pacific Defense Pact 3: A Nuclear Alliance as the Ultimate Backstop to Grey Zone Coercion

Natalie Treloar0 Comments

Published: March 26, 2026 Strategic competition in the Indo-Pacific increasingly occurs in the grey zone, the space between routine statecraft and open armed conflict. China, North Korea, Russia, and Iran…

AI & Deterrence, Archive, Emerging Threats, Strategic Adversariesadaptive cyberattacks, anomaly detection, Artemis II, artificial intelligence, automated espionage, big data analysis, counter-disinformation, counterintelligence, critical infrastructure, cyber operations, deepfakes, democratic institutions, Disinformation, disruptive technologies, economic competitiveness, economic espionage, espionage, foreign intelligence entities, Generative AI, global power shift, gray zone, Great Power Competition, information domain, insider threat mitigation, intellectual property, National Security, predictive analysis, security competition, supply-chain vulnerabilities, surveillance, technological arms race, technological dominance, threat mitigation.

Redefining Espionage: The Unseen War for Technological Dominance

Joshua Thibert0 Comments

Published: March 24, 2026 The international system is undergoing a profound global power shift characterized by the resurgence of great power competition and a broad diffusion of technical capabilities. This…

Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Emerging Threats, Strategic AdversariesAlan Dowd, alliances, Army Rotational Force-Philippines, ATACMS missiles, Australia, B-52s, Britain, CENTCOM, China, cold war, defense budget, Defense Spending, Deterrence, F-16V fighters, F-35s, France, Global Security Review, HIMARS systems, INDOPACOM, Israel, Japan, military options, military spending, Norway, Okinawa, Operation Epic Fury, Palau, Patriot systems, porcupine defense, PRC, Sagamore Institute, security, strategic ambiguity, strategic clarity, Taiwan, Taiwan Strait, Task Force-Philippines, Typhon missile systems, United States, World War I, World War II, Xi Jinping

A Blueprint for Deterring War Over Taiwan

Alan Dowd0 Comments

Published: March 23, 2026 Two parties have watched Operation Epic Fury (OEF) from a distance. China has been taking notes. The United States Indo-Pacific Command (INDOPACOM) has tracked munitions consumption…

Archive, Emerging Threatscognitive biases, counterintelligence, digital public square, disinformation war, echo chamber, false consensus bias, foreign malign influence operations, Internet Research Agency, IRA, Kremlinbots, manufactured consensus bias, misinformation, psyops campaign, public opinion manipulation, Russian influence operations, Russian intelligence, Russian security agencies, social media platforms, social media psychological operation, state-sponsored bots, strategic statecraft, troll farm, trolls, U.S. national security, Ukraine, Wagner group, Yevgeny Prigozhin

State-Sponsored Trolls as An Emerging Threat

Sean G. McKelvey0 Comments

Published: March 19, 2026 The digital public square has transformed how Americans encounter information, debate ideas, and form political identities. Social media platforms promise open dialogue, but their algorithms often…

Archive, Defense & Security, Emerging Threats, Strategic AdversariesAfghanistan, Al Qaeda, al-Shabaab, allies, anti-Western coalition, atrocities, authoritarianism, Beijing, Boko Haram, Caracas, Chavista regime, David Guenni, defense, Deterrence, domestic constituencies, ELN, extremists, FARC, Geopolitics, Global War on Terror, gray zone, Great Power Competition, Havana, Hezbollah, Ideology, Iraq, irregular warfare, irregular warfare doctrines, ISIS, Marxism, Missouri State University, Moscow, narcotrafficking, political asylum seeker, Pyongyang. , religion, revanchism, stability, strategic cultures, strategic-ideological struggle, Taliban, Tehran, territorial expansion, theory of victory, totalitarianism, U.S. foreign policy, unipolar moment, United States, USSOUTHCOM, Venezuela, whole-of-government efforts

Why Ideology Matters in Irregular Warfare

David Guenni0 Comments

Published: March 17, 2026 Ideology matters, as I learned from surviving 18 years under the Chavista regime in Venezuela. The United States pretended otherwise for three decades, clinging to the…

Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Diplomacy, Government & Politics, Strategic Adversariesaccountability, Afghanistan, counterterrorism, deliverability, economic resources, Foreign Policy, geopolitical alignment, India, internal stability, International Security, multilateral channels, nuclear issues, Pakistan, regional coordination, regionalism, risk management, Saudi-Pakistan defense arrangements, security cooperation, strategic costs, strategic trust, transactional approach, transparency, Trump administration, U.S. foreign policy, U.S.-China rivalry, Washington

Why Washington Has Turned to Pakistan—and What It Means for India

Ziaulhaq Tanin0 Comments

Published: March 16, 2026 In the summer and fall of 2025, Washington’s decision-makers faced an urgent question: which partners could act immediately and deliver tangible results? This focus on short-term…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Defense & Security, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Government & Politics, Strategic AdversariesArticle I, Article II, authority, commander in chief, conflict, congress, Constitution, declaration of war, election year , imminent danger, Intelligence, justification, legislation, military, National defense, partisan, passive consent, preemption doctrine, president, public defense, public opinion, strikes, United States, war, War Powers Act

Is The Air Campaign Against Iran an Illegal Use of Force?

Michael Fincher0 Comments

Published: March 12, 2026 Whenever the United States resorts to military force, the same question echoes through Washington and beyond: Did President Trump act within the law? Recent controversies surrounding…

Archive, Emerging Threats, Strategic Adversariesasymmetric cost structure, Bab el-Mandeb, coastal missile positioning, defensive posture, Deterrence, drone strikes, GCC, geopolitical friction, Hodeidah, houthis, Israel-Iran confrontation, maritime attacks, maritime security, missile defense, naval presence, red sea, regional escalation, Suez corridor, trench networks, U.S.-Iran tensions

Red Sea Uncertainty: A 2026 Forecast for the Houthis Actions

Mohamed ELDoh0 Comments

Published: March 10, 2026 (Editor’s Note: This article was submitted before the U.S.-Iran conflict began. We intentionally left the article as “forward looking” to signify the value of the analysis.)…

Archive, Defense & Security, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Government & Politics, Strategic Adversariesair defense systems, Arabian Sea, asymmetrical warfare, Carrier Battle Group, coastal missiles, coercion, conflict studies, F-35C, fast-attack crafts, global oil consumption, Iran-US conflict, Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy, maritime domain, Middle East, Military Technology, naval armada, nuclear deterrent, nuclear strategy, Ohio class SSGNs, oil tankers, Patriot air-defense system, regime change, sea control, sea denial, short-range ballistic missiles, Strait of Hormuz, suicide drones, THAAD missile defense systems, Tomahawk cruise missiles, US military assets, USS Abraham Lincoln

CARRIER, CHOKEPOINT, AND COERCION: THE DYNAMICS OF IRAN-US CONFLICT

Ahmad Ibrahim0 Comments

Published: March 9, 2026 (Editor’s Note: This article was submitted before the U.S.-Iran conflict began. We intentionally left the article as “forward looking” to signify the value of the analysis.) …