Archive

04

Nov

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic Adversariesarms embargo, ballistic missile technology, China, coercion vs. diplomacy, Diplomacy, E3 (France, economic adaptation, economic impact, European powers, financial sanctions, Germany, International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Iran, Israel, JCPOA, Look East strategy, Masoud Pezeshkian, maximum pressure strategy, military strikes, Non-Proliferation Treaty, nuclear facilities, nuclear program, oil revenues, proliferation, regional stability, Russia, sanctions relief, snapback sanctions, trust collapse, UK, United Nations Security Council, United States, Western diplomacy

Snapback Sanctions: The Collapse of Western Diplomacy with Iran

Sidra Shaukat0 Comments

On September 28, 2025, the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) re-imposed previously lifted sanctions against Iran. The move occurred when the European powers triggered the “snapback” mechanism of the Joint…

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03

Nov

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic AdversariesAl Udeid Air Base, Arab partners, Center for International Strategic Studies, CISS, collective security, conventional weapons, cybersecurity, defense cooperation, defense industry collaboration, defense production, Deterrence Posture, Doha, drone technology, economic integration, foreign exchange reserves, Gulf States, hamas, India, international law, interoperability, Islamabad, Israeli air raid, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, KSA, Masoud Pezeshkian, Middle East, military alliance, Muslim world, mutual defense pact, Nuclear Deterrence, nuclear umbrella, oil imports, Pakistan, Qatar, regional security, regional security architecture., regional stability, remittances, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, SMDA, space-based defense, strategic autonomy, strategic depth, strategic mutual defense agreement, technology transfer, United Nations General Assembly, United States, Vision 2030

Understanding the Pakistan–Saudi Defense Agreement

Nawal Nawaz0 Comments

Pakistan and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) signed a strategic mutual defense agreement (SMDA) on September 17, 2025, cementing a decades-long security partnership between Islamabad and Riyadh. This new…

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30

Oct

Archive, Bonus Reads, Emerging Threats, Strategic AdversariesAmerican Deterrence, Deterrence, Intelligence, Iran, nonproliferation, nuclear, Peter Huessy, policy, satellite detection, treaty

HS-Iran’s Nuclear Crossroads: Strategic Risks, Diplomatic Dilemmas with Sarah Burkhard/Olli Heinonen

Peter Huessy0 Comments

Hosted by the National Institute for Deterrence Studies (NIDS), this virtual seminar brought together leading experts to examine the evolving nuclear landscape in Iran. Moderated by Peter Huessy, Senior Fellow…

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28

Oct

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Emerging Threats, Strategic AdversariesAsia-Pacific, Australia, Australian Defence Force, China, Civil-Military Relations, constitutional constraints, defense cooperation, domestic politics, Foreign Policy, geopolitical influence, great powers, interoperability, military modernization, mutual defense, Pacific security, Papua New Guinea, parliamentary ratification, Pukpuk Treaty, regional order, regional stability, security alliance, small states, sovereignty, sovereignty safeguards, strategic balance, strategic competition, United States

What the Pukpuk Mutual Defense Treaty Tells Us about the Pacific Security Order

Fawad Afridi0 Comments

The declaration of the Pukpuk Treaty between Papua New Guinea (PNG) and Australia is a significant shift in the security order in the Pacific. Where small states were traditionally regarded…

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27

Oct

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Strategic AdversariesAgni-Prime, air defense systems, Arms Control, Balochistan Think Tank Network, BUITEMS Quetta, bunker-buster missile, Cold Start doctrine, confidence-building measures, conventional superiority, conventional warfare, counterforce capability, crisis management, cyber warfare, deterrence stability, escalation dominance, full-spectrum deterrence, India, India-Pakistan conflict, international diplomacy, limited war, Military Doctrine, military modernization, missile defense, Nuclear Deterrence, nuclear escalation, nuclear posture, nuclear-capable missiles, Operation Sindoor, Pakistan, rail-based launcher, regional stability, retaliatory capability, security dilemma, South Asia, space capabilities, strategic affairs, strategic autonomy, strategic signaling, technological development

India’s Strategy of Escalation Dominance

Sher Ali Kakar & Atta Ullah0 Comments

Recent, statements by Indian Air Force Chief Marshal AP Singh and Indian Army Chief General Upendra Dwivedi reflect how India’s military doctrine is transforming, which, in recent years, has undergone…

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23

Oct

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Bonus Reads, Emerging Threats, Podcast, Strategic AdversariesAir Power Institute, AUKUS, Australia, Deterrence, global, global security, Government, GSR, international agreements, military, National Security, NIDS, Podcast

Deterrence Down Under Podcast: Australian Air Power and Deterrence with Chris McInnes

Carl Rhodes & Christine M. Leah0 Comments

Carl and Christine explore how Australia can strengthen deterrence through air power—its challenges, strategic options, and evolving force structure. They’re joined by Chris McInnes, Executive Director of the Air Power…

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21

Oct

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Emerging Threats, Strategic Adversariesadversarial attacks, AI Arms Race, AI diplomacy, AI ethics, AI governance, AI in defense, AI interoperability, AI policy, AI regulation, AI risk assessment, AI safety, AI Scientific Panel, AI strategy, AI verification, algorithm certification, algorithmic accountability, Arms Control, artificial intelligence, audit trail, autonomous systems, autonomous weapons, bias mitigation, Carnegie Endowment, civilian control, confidence-building measures, Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons, cryptographic logging, defense innovation, Deterrence, deterrence credibility, dual-use technology, emerging technology, escalation control, ETAI Framework, ethical AI, ethical governance, explainability, export controls, extended deterrence, fairness, Global Dialogue on AI Governance, global norms, governance frameworks, human oversight, human-machine teaming, Hypersonic Weapons, iCET, India, India-US partnership., Indo-Pacific security, INDUS-X, international cooperation, international peace and security, machine learning, military AI, National Security, National Strategy for AI, Pakistan, privacy, Quad, red-team exercises, reliability, resilience, responsible AI, Responsible AI Certification, security, South Asia, strategic stability, transparency, trustworthiness, UN General Assembly, UNIDIR, US-India collaboration

The Artificial Intelligence (AI) Arms Race in South Asia

Vaibhav Chhimpa0 Comments

When India’s AI-powered missile defense system intercepted a simulated hypersonic threat in 2023, American analysts were surprised by the ethical framework guiding its development. In South Asia, rapid AI adoption…

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20

Oct

Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Bonus Reads, Strategic AdversariesAdmiral Richard statement, allied security, Americas, Arms Control, Arms Race, Chinese nuclear buildup, cold war, Deterrence, deterrence failure, deterrence gap, deterrence resilience, deterrence theory, extended deterrence, global competition, great power rivalry, Harold Brown quote, ICBMs, intercontinental ballistic missiles, minimum deterrence, National Institute for Deterrence Studies. ​, New START, nuclear abolition, nuclear abolition movement, nuclear blackmail, nuclear coercion, nuclear coercion threat, Nuclear Deterrence, nuclear force development, nuclear modernization, nuclear modernization programs, nuclear parity, nuclear proliferation, nuclear stability, nuclear strategy, nuclear superiority, nuclear triad, Russian nuclear buildup, slcm-n, Soviet Union, START Treaty, strategic arms limitation, strategic balance, strategic deterrence, strategic posture, Strategic Posture Commission, theater nuclear forces, U.S. defense policy, U.S. nuclear policy, unilateral freeze, Warsaw Pact

Making Nuclear Blackmail Great Again

Peter Huessy0 Comments

After World War I, the United States and its allies sought arms control solutions to what were political problems. Proposals such as a ban on war and restrictions on the…

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16

Oct

Archive, Space Deterrence & Conflictallied space cooperation, Allied Space Operations Doctrine, bodyguard satellites, C4I disruption, China, Christophe Bosquillon ​, defense modernization, deterrence shift, deterrence strategy, France, Germany, guardian satellites, India, Indo-Pacific, international partnerships, IRIS² constellation, Japan, long-range kill webs, military space capacity building, National Institute for Deterrence Studies. ​, NATO, Russia, satellite resilience, Space control, space deterrence, space domain, space domain awareness, space industrial base, space rules of engagement, space situational awareness, space sovereignty, space warfare, space weaponization, Starlink dependency, tactical responsive launch, United Kingdom, US Space Force, Western military posture

A Realist Shift in Western Military Space Posture

Christophe Bosquillon0 Comments

In late September 2025, Secretary of the Air Force Troy Meink made history when he suggested the US Space Force is going full “space control” mode. This is the 2025…

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14

Oct

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Bonus Reads, Strategic Adversariesarms escalation, conventional balance, conventional deterrence, crisis stability, defense preparedness, deterrence adaptation, deterrence credibility, deterrence credibility gap, deterrence erosion, deterrence escalation management, deterrence failure, Deterrence modernization, deterrence psychology, deterrence theory, escalation control, escalation ladder, forceful versus non-forceful deterrence, Germany military aid, incremental warfare, International Security, limits of deterrence, Military Doctrine, mutual destruction, non-nuclear forces, Nuclear Deterrence, nuclear red lines, nuclear signaling, nuclear strategy, nuclear threshold, Operation Spyder Web, Russia-Ukraine war, Russian nuclear doctrine 2024, stability-instability paradox, strategic competition, strategic culture, strategic deterrence, tactical nuclear weapons, Ukraine counteroffensive, war thresholds

The Russia-Ukraine Conflict Showcases the Limits of Nuclear Deterrence

Anshu Kumar0 Comments

Russia’s potential use of nuclear weapons early in the Ukraine conflict presents an interesting dilemma. For many analysts, this conflict exemplifies the limits of nuclear deterrence, an issue worth exploring.…

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13

Oct

Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic Adversariesalliance paradox, ambition versus experience, authoritarian governance, BRICS, China, coalition politics, disorder, dissatisfaction with the West, economic power, energy markets, European Union, financial systems, Foreign Policy, geopolitical complexity, global leadership, global order, global politics, global transition, hegemony, Henry Kissinger, India, instability, international institutions, Iran, liberal international order, military experience, model student, multipolar world, NATO, North Korea, regional crises, Russia, symbolic power, trade wars, United States, West, Xi Jinping

What Does Xi Jinping’s Engagement in Conflicts Reveal to the World?

Dawood Tanin0 Comments

The world today is more unsettled and volatile than ever. The war in Ukraine has become Europe’s largest conflict since World War II. Tensions between Israel and Iran cast a…

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