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Deterrence

Deterring Nuclear Terrorism in the Era of Great Power Competition

Deterring Nuclear Terrorism in the Era of Great Power Competition

As the Cold War ended and new counterterrorism priorities took root in the 2000s, the threat of nuclear terrorism cemented itself as the ultimate catastrophic scenario. Dick Cheney famously stated…
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Restoring Ukraine Sovereignty Requires Restoring Deterrence

Restoring Ukraine Sovereignty Requires Restoring Deterrence

The impact on American security from the Ukraine conflict, especially the impact on the nuclear and extended deterrent for the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) are significant. A key part…
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A Nuclear Umbrella in Peril: Lessons from North Korea’s Escalation Scenarios

A Nuclear Umbrella in Peril: Lessons from North Korea’s Escalation Scenarios

What happens when the world’s most powerful nuclear arsenal blinks in the face of a nuclear strike? In a recent Atlantic Council “Guardian Tiger” exercise, the United States faced precisely…
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Failed Deterrence and Misplaced Compellence in Gaza

Failed Deterrence and Misplaced Compellence in Gaza

The October 7, 2023, Hamas surprise attack on Israel proved that Israel’s strategy of deterrence was a failure. After two destructive wars in Gaza, in 2014 and 2021, the hope that…
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How US and Israeli Attacks on Iran Will Reshape the Future of Nuclear Proliferation

How US and Israeli Attacks on Iran Will Reshape the Future of Nuclear Proliferation

The recent joint US-Israel strikes on Iran’s nuclear enrichment facilities mark more than a tactical blow to Tehran, they represent a strategic turning point for nuclear aspirants worldwide. Fourteen GBU-57…
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Drones and the Death of Deterrence: Lessons from Nagorno-Karabakh

Drones and the Death of Deterrence: Lessons from Nagorno-Karabakh

Drones did not change how wars are fought; they changed who can win them. In 2020, Azerbaijan used drones to dismantle Armenia’s defenses in Nagorno-Karabakh with chilling efficiency. Tanks, artillery,…
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It Is Time to Test Again

It Is Time to Test Again

The United States has observed a moratorium on nuclear explosive testing since 1992, relying instead on the Stockpile Stewardship Program in place of full-scale detonations to ensure the safety, security,…
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America’s Silent Shield: How Domestic Strength Sustains Nuclear Power

America’s Silent Shield: How Domestic Strength Sustains Nuclear Power

When Americans picture national security, they conjure images of hypersonic missiles, stealth bombers, and aircraft carriers patrolling global hotspots. They measure strength in megatons and defense budgets. Yet, the most…
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Results in Iran

Results in Iran

In the early morning hours of June 22, 2025, American aircraft engaged in direct operations against three Iranian nuclear facilities: Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan. These attacks involved 125 aircraft and…
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Deterring Iran: The Art of No Deal

Deterring Iran: The Art of No Deal

Since its inception, the Iranian regime (1979) has terrorized and subjugated the Middle East and killed far too many Americans. For nearly 50 years, Iran successfully used a combination of…
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Is America Prepared for a Strike Against its Nuclear Command and Control?

Is America Prepared for a Strike Against its Nuclear Command and Control?

What happens when the deterrent becomes the target? In this episode, Adam, Curtis, and Jim tackle a bold and unsettling question: After America’s successful strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities, is…
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The Return of the United States Primacy

The Return of the United States Primacy

The death of the United States’ unipolar moment is exaggerated. Foreign policy experts claiming the United States is on the decline and international relations are headed to multipolarity are less…
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