China

10

Feb

Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Strategic AdversariesArms Control, Asia-Pacific, China, Chinese nuclear arsenal, cold war, conventional war, deterrence studies ​, deterrence theory, Diplomacy, geopolitical order, military modernization, NATO, North Korean nuclear arsenal, nuclear abstinence, Nuclear disorder, nuclear expansion, Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, nuclear proliferation, nuclear threats, Nuclear Weapons, Pakistan, peace dividend, post-Cold War, Russia, South Korea, strategic theory, superpower competition, Taiwan invasion

Nuclear Order and Disorder in the Asia-Pacific

Christine M. Leah1 Comment

The world is entering a new era of nuclear disorder. This new era is characterized by several elements. They include the breakdown of nuclear (and conventional) arms control, the return…

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06

Feb

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Strategic AdversariesB-1 bombers, bombers, China, Col. Curtis McGiffin, Col. Kirk Fansher ​, cold war, command and control, Deterrence, global order, international environment, military rebuild, Minuteman III, modernization, National Security, New START, North Korea, nuclear arsenal, Nuclear Deterrence, Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, Nuclear Weapons, Ohio-class submarines, peace through strength, Pete Hegseth, Roman Emperor Hadrian, Russia, sea-launched nuclear cruise missile, secretary of defense, slcm-n, South China Sea, Taiwan, TLAM-N, Trump, Ukraine, US Strategic Command, warhead refurbishment, warrior ethos

“Peace Through Strength”: Enhancing America’s Nuclear Deterrence Today

Curtis McGiffin & Kirk Fansher1 Comment

Immediately after being sworn in as the nation’s 29th Secretary of Defense, Pete Hegseth established three guiding principles: (1) restore the warrior ethos in everything we do, (2) rebuild the…

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31

Jan

Archive, Bonus Reads, EAR ReportAdministration Developments, Air Force Secretary, Arms Control, B-21 raider, China, Chris Yeaw., Congressional Developments, Defense Spending, Elbridge Colby, energy independence, escalation management, extended deterrence, flexible response, Frank Kendall, General Kevin Chilton, Gennady Gatilov, Geostrategic Analysis, Global Zero Proposals, House Budget Committee, ICBM, Iran, Iranian security threat, Iron Dome, Israel, Jill Hruby, Kevin Chilton, Kim Jong Un, Marco Rubio, Mark Rutte, Mark Schneider, massive retaliation, Michaela Dodge, Minuteman III, missile shield, multipolar nuclear powers, National Institute for Deterrent Studies, NATO, NATO security, Navy Secretary, NIDS seminar, North Korea, NPT, nuclear balance, nuclear C3BM, Nuclear Deterrence, nuclear deterrence mythologies, nuclear force reductions, nuclear implications, nuclear mythologies, nuclear proliferation, nuclear strategy, nuclear war, nuclear warheads, OPEC, Peter Hegseth, Peter Huessy, POTUS Authority, President Trump, Presidential Nuclear Initiative, Russia, Russia Defense Budget, Russian aggression, Russian military spending, SALT, secretary of defense, Secretary of State, Sentinel, slcm-n, South Korea, START, strategic stability, theater nuclear weapons, Triad Symposium, Ukraine, Ukraine conflict, US economic policy, US Nuclear Policy, USAF

ICBM EAR for 23 Jan 25

Peter Huessy0 Comments

ICBM Ear for the Week of January 23, 2025 Prepared by Peter Huessy, President of Geostrategic Analysis and Senior Fellow at the National Institute for Deterrent Studies Key Takeaways Significant…

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30

Jan

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Strategic Adversariesanti-submarine warfare, Arctic, battlefield nuclear weapons, BRICS, China, conventional threats, critical infrastructure, cross-domain deterrence, cyber threats, Cyberattacks, deep sea, Deterrence, economic threats, geopolitical objectives, hybrid threats, Intelligence, international norms, Iran, military readiness, national power, NATO, North Korea, nuclear arsenal, nuclear threats, reconnaissance, resilience, Russia, security environment, space threats, space-based systems, strategic competition, surveillance, terrorist attacks

Deterrence and NATO’s Emerging Security Environment

Alex Alfirraz Scheers0 Comments

The international security environment is deteriorating rapidly and becoming increasingly dangerous and uncertain. China, Iran, North Korea, and Russia pose a threat to Western interests in multiple domains. Among them…

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23

Jan

Allies & Extended Deterrence, ArchiveAfghanistan, America First, bilateral trade, China, climate change, counterterrorism, diplomatic bridge, Donald Trump, economic aid, economic issues, Foreign Policy, geopolitical chessboard, Global South, Imran Khan, India, minilateralism, Muhammad Haseeb Riaz, Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf, pentagon, Quad, security concerns, South Asia, state department, strategic divergence, strategic stability, Taliban, Terrorism, trade wars, US-Pakistan relations

The Future of US-Pakistan Relations

Muhammad Haseeb Riaz0 Comments

President Donald Trump’s return to the White House may or may not prove auspicious for Pakistan. Trump’s victory will certainly have wide-ranging ramifications for the geopolitical chessboard because of existing…

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22

Jan

Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Bonus Reads, EAR Report, Strategic Adversaries2035, 500, adversaries, bombers, China, class, columbia, deterrent, Here is the comma-separated keyword list: report, ICBMs, international, modernization, nuclear, projected, Russia, strategic, submarines, threats, Triad, warheads

ICBM EAR Report 13 Jan 2025

Peter Huessy0 Comments

The ICBM EAR report provides a detailed assessment of the U.S. nuclear deterrent's status and future outlook, focusing on the threats posed by Russia and China. By 2035, these adversaries…

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20

Jan

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Strategic AdversariesAmerican interests, Arms Control, bilateral agreements, Budapest Memorandum, challenges, China, codes of conduct, collaboration, Diplomacy, disarmament, force posture, hostilities, implementation, inspections, Iranian regime change, multilateral agreements, NATO, NATO Committee on Proliferation, Negative Security Assurances, non-nuclear-weapon Iran, norms, North Korea, nuclear deterrent, Nuclear Planning Group, operational decision-makers, opportunities, Penn State-Brandywine, Russia, Stephen Cimbala, sunset period, sustainment, treaties, unilateral declarations, United States

An Uncertain Future for Arms Control

Stephen Cimbala0 Comments

A strong nuclear deterrent reduces risks to the United States and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO). Such is the view of many within the nuclear enterprise. Arms control and…

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14

Jan

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Strategic AdversariesArms Control, artificial intelligence, China, cyber warfare, emerging technologies, global security, hypersonic missiles, INF Treaty, international cooperation, Iran, Middle East, missile defense, multilateralism, NATO, New START, North Korea, nuclear deterrent, nuclear escalation, Nuclear Weapons, Russia, space weaponization, strategic stability, transatlantic alliance, Trump, unilateralism, United Nations

Trump 2.0: Unilateralism and the Future of Arms Control

Syed Ali Abbas0 Comments

As the world prepares for Donald Trump’s return to the White House, the implications for global arms control loom large. New START, the last remaining nuclear arms control agreement between…

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13

Jan

Archive, Emerging Threats, Strategic Adversariesadvanced military systems, AI, AI-driven capabilities, ASML, autonomous systems, China, CHIPS and Science Act, computational power, cyber deterrence, cyber operations, cyber power ​, cybersecurity, EUV lithography, export control agreements, geopolitical implications, global governance, intel, National Security, Samsung, self-sufficiency, semiconductor production, semiconductors, supply chains, technological dominance, TSMC, US

Cyber Deterrence in the Age of Semiconductors

Adam B. Harris0 Comments

Cyberspace is the new battleground for nations vying for global dominance. At the heart of this competition lies the semiconductor industry—a linchpin of modern technology. It is essential for computing,…

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08

Jan

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Bonus Reads, Defense & Security, EAR Report, Government & Politics, Strategic Adversariesanti-American policy, Arms Race, Beijing, Biden, Brilliant Pebbles, China, China threat report, Chinese nuclear threat, coercion, congress, Deterrence, EAR, economic news, European defense, Geostrategic Analysis, Hoover Institute, ICBM, India, intermediate-range ballistic missile, Iran, Iranian nuclear threat, Kim Jong Un, Middle East, Mike Johnson, missile defense, Moscow, National Institute of Deterrent Studies, NATO, NDAA, next generation interceptor, NGI, NIDS, North Korea, nuclear assets, Nuclear Deterrence, nuclear funding, nuclear modernization, nuclear stability, Nuclear Weapons, Pakistan, Peter Huessy, Reagan, ROK, Royal United Services Institute, Russia, Russian nuclear forces, seminar series, Senate Appropriations Committee, Senate Armed Services Committee, space technology, space-based systems, Speaker of the House, strategic developments, Taiwan, Terrorism, Trump, U.S. defense manufacturing, U.S. Navy, U.S. security, U.S. Senate, U.S.-South Korean Alliance, Ukraine, Union of Concerned Scientists, ussr

ICBM EAR Report Jan, 3 2025

Peter Huessy0 Comments

ICBM EAR Report Executive Summary Based on the latest EAR Report, these are the critical points on global security, upcoming events, and the ongoing discourse on nuclear deterrence, modernization, and…

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06

Jan

Archive, Defense & Security, Diplomacy, Strategic AdversariesArms Control, Arms Race, China, Cold War logic, conflict prevention, cooperation, cuban missile crisis, Diplomacy, economic development, escalation dominance, global stability, humanitarian aid, humanitarian engagement, military capability, National Security, nuclear arms race, Peace Economy Project ​, resilience, restraint, Russia, smart defense spending, sustainable policies, systemic inequalities, Ukraine, understanding, US deterrence policy

Escalation Dominance Is a Flawed Framework

Katerina Canyon0 Comments

The argument for “escalation dominance” as a cornerstone of US deterrence policy, presented in Joe Buff’s recent Global Security Review article, relies on outdated Cold War logic that fails to…

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