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Middle East

US–Iran Talks: Unlikely to Succeed Absent a Military Strike

US–Iran Talks: Unlikely to Succeed Absent a Military Strike

Indirect US-Iran talks are ongoing, with the first round held in Muscat, the capital of Oman, on April 12. Based on what was announced, the primary focus for the United…
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Iran Can Reconfigure Its Foothold in Post-Assad Syria

Iran Can Reconfigure Its Foothold in Post-Assad Syria

Since the outbreak of the Syrian civil war in 2011, Iran initially denied the presence of its forces on Syrian soil, despite evidence to the contrary. Later, Tehran was forced…
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Shahed-136: Iran’s Long-Range Drone and Its Potential Role in a US Conflict

Shahed-136: Iran’s Long-Range Drone and Its Potential Role in a US Conflict

The Shahed-136 loitering munition gained global attention due to its use in Russia’s war on Ukraine. This drone is relatively inexpensive, possesses a swarm capability, and has a precision-strike capability…
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How Global Instability Fuels the Nuclear Arms Race

How Global Instability Fuels the Nuclear Arms Race

The world is in an uncertain place today and is perhaps experiencing the most uncertainty since World War II. Since the beginning of the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February…
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President Trump’s Foreign Policy Could Encourage Proliferation

President Trump’s Foreign Policy Could Encourage Proliferation

In a recent White House press conference, President Donald Trump expressed his desire to renew arms control negotiations with both China and Russia. This move seeks to cut the military…
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Forecasting Syria’s Military and Political Future

Forecasting Syria’s Military and Political Future

The fall of the Assad regime has marked a watershed moment in the Syrian armed conflict, fundamentally ushering in a new phase of military and political uncertainty. This development intensified…
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The Geo-Political Implications of New Syria and Future Pathways

The Geo-Political Implications of New Syria and Future Pathways

The unceremonious ouster of Syrian President Bashar al Assad marks the demise of the last Ba’athist regime in the Middle East. The end of the 54-year-long Assad dynasty can herald…
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Azerbaijan-Israel Strategic Relationship Proves Its Importance

Azerbaijan-Israel Strategic Relationship Proves Its Importance

With the opening of the Azerbaijani trade office in Israel in 2021 and the embassy in 2023, Azerbaijan-Israel strategic relations reached a new level. The partnership covers a wide range…
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Is This the Right Moment to Act Against Iran on All Fronts?

Is This the Right Moment to Act Against Iran on All Fronts?

The Middle East experienced significant geopolitical shifts over the past year. In October 2023, Hamas launched a surprise attack on Israel, resulting in approximately 1,200 Israeli deaths. Israel’s subsequent military response led…
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Trump 2.0: Unilateralism and the Future of Arms Control

Trump 2.0: Unilateralism and the Future of Arms Control

As the world prepares for Donald Trump’s return to the White House, the implications for global arms control loom large. New START, the last remaining nuclear arms control agreement between…
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ICBM EAR Report Jan, 3 2025

ICBM EAR Report Jan, 3 2025

ICBM EAR Report Executive Summary Based on the latest EAR Report, these are the critical points on global security, upcoming events, and the ongoing discourse on nuclear deterrence, modernization, and…
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Now That Trump Is Back, What Should Arab States Do?

Now That Trump Is Back, What Should Arab States Do?

With Donald Trump’s return to the White House, Arab states already face a pivotal moment in shaping their foreign policy. Known for his transactional diplomacy and “America First” approach, Trump…
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