We want to make sure you get the best viewing experience for the content you are viewing.  Our goal is to improve each visit with data that creates this experience for you and those you share it with. We appreciate your continued readership.     

Strategic Adversaries

Strategic Adversaries

Should the US Go It Alone in Space?

Should the US Go It Alone in Space?

The US Space Force (USSF) recently published its US Space Force International Partnership Strategy. The USSF international strategy aims to operationalize “strength through partnerships” by aligning allied and partner nations…
Read More
Mutually Assured Destruction

Mutually Assured Destruction

Mutually assured destruction or MAD is not an American doctrine or military strategy. Those who believe MAD is how America deters nuclear-armed adversaries assume that any use of nuclear weapons by the United States…
Read More
This Week in Deterrence (September 15-19, 2025)

This Week in Deterrence (September 15-19, 2025)

This past week was maelstrom of activities in deterrence. We are seeing a shift of the forces reshaping deterrence across domains. Paramount is the urgency of integrating allied doctrine, accelerating…
Read More
Nuclear Danger Remains in Ukraine Peace Settlement

Nuclear Danger Remains in Ukraine Peace Settlement

The Alaska summit between Presidents Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin on August 15, 2025, together with the follow-on meetings in Washington, DC, with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and European heads…
Read More
Can Trilateral Diplomacy Secure Pakistan from Terrorism?

Can Trilateral Diplomacy Secure Pakistan from Terrorism?

Kabul hosted a trilateral conference on August 20, 2025, where delegates from China, Pakistan, and Afghanistan participated. This included China’s foreign minister, Wang Yi, Pakistan’s deputy prime minister and foreign…
Read More
Deterring Nuclear Terrorism in the Era of Great Power Competition

Deterring Nuclear Terrorism in the Era of Great Power Competition

As the Cold War ended and new counterterrorism priorities took root in the 2000s, the threat of nuclear terrorism cemented itself as the ultimate catastrophic scenario. Dick Cheney famously stated…
Read More
A Nuclear Umbrella in Peril: Lessons from North Korea’s Escalation Scenarios

A Nuclear Umbrella in Peril: Lessons from North Korea’s Escalation Scenarios

What happens when the world’s most powerful nuclear arsenal blinks in the face of a nuclear strike? In a recent Atlantic Council “Guardian Tiger” exercise, the United States faced precisely…
Read More
Failed Deterrence and Misplaced Compellence in Gaza

Failed Deterrence and Misplaced Compellence in Gaza

The October 7, 2023, Hamas surprise attack on Israel proved that Israel’s strategy of deterrence was a failure. After two destructive wars in Gaza, in 2014 and 2021, the hope that…
Read More
Trump’s Path to an Imperfect Peace in Ukraine

Trump’s Path to an Imperfect Peace in Ukraine

“You can always count on Americans to do the right thing,” Churchill is credited with saying, “after they’ve tried everything else.” It seems that wry observation may now apply to…
Read More
How US and Israeli Attacks on Iran Will Reshape the Future of Nuclear Proliferation

How US and Israeli Attacks on Iran Will Reshape the Future of Nuclear Proliferation

The recent joint US-Israel strikes on Iran’s nuclear enrichment facilities mark more than a tactical blow to Tehran, they represent a strategic turning point for nuclear aspirants worldwide. Fourteen GBU-57…
Read More
Forecasting an Imminent Israeli Strike on Iran

Forecasting an Imminent Israeli Strike on Iran

Multiple converging factors point toward a high probability of a renewed and more expansive Israeli strike against Iran within the coming months, most likely between September and October 7, 2025,…
Read More
Drones and the Death of Deterrence: Lessons from Nagorno-Karabakh

Drones and the Death of Deterrence: Lessons from Nagorno-Karabakh

Drones did not change how wars are fought; they changed who can win them. In 2020, Azerbaijan used drones to dismantle Armenia’s defenses in Nagorno-Karabakh with chilling efficiency. Tanks, artillery,…
Read More