Deterrence & Foreign Policy — Page 3 of 12 — Global Security Review Deterrence & Foreign Policy %

Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic Adversariesalliance cohesion, alliance-level exercises, capability demonstration, coercive leverage, compressed decision timelines, conventional vs nuclear deterrence, crisis decision-making, Deterrence, deterrence by denial, deterrence by punishment, distributed command and control, dual-use ambiguity, escalation management, European security guarantees, Hypersonic tensions, Hypersonic Weapons, integrated air and missile defense, integrated deterrence, interception challenges, Lviv, Mach 10, miscalculation risk, missile defense architectures, NATO, Oreshnik missile, Poland, resilience, Russia, strategic signaling, U.S. National Defense Strategy, Ukraine, warning time collapse

The Conversation Europe Never Wanted: Hypersonic Tensions and U.S. Defense Strategy

Brandon Toliver4 Comments

Picture a late-night briefing room in Europe. Screens glow. A map of western Ukraine fills the wall. A red arc appears, moving faster than anything else in the inventory of…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Bonus Reads, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic Adversariesair superiority, command nodes, contested airspace, Deep Battle, drones, energy infrastructure, exploitation, incremental deepening, infrastructure, logistics, long-range strikes, maneuver warfare, massed firepower, nuclear signaling, operational depth, operational tempo, Precision Fires, rapid penetration, reserves, Russian operational art, Soviet doctrine, tactical nuclear weapons, Ukrainian defenses, Vladimir Triandafillov, war of attrition

The Russian View of Deep Battle: Implications for the War in Ukraine

Stephen Cimbala1 Comment

Russia’s conduct of military operations in Ukraine cannot be understood without revisiting one of the most influential concepts in Soviet and Russian operational art: Deep Battle. Developed in the 1920s…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic Adversariesacknowledge vs recognize, Article 8 Potsdam, Cairo Declaration (1943), China–Japan relations, Deterrence, diplomatic language, false narratives, Indo-Pacific security, international law, international neutrality, Japan–China Joint Communiqué (1972), Japan–Taiwan policy, One China Policy, People’s Republic of China (PRC), postwar treaties, Potsdam Declaration (1945), psychological warfare, Republic of China (ROC), San Francisco Peace Treaty (1951), Sanae Takaichi, sovereignty, strategic ambiguity, Taiwan status, Taiwan Strait, Treaty of Shimonoseki (1895), U.S.–PRC Joint Communiqué (1979), unresolved status of Taiwan

Not Part of China: An Explanation of Japan’s Taiwan Policy

Lindell Lucy0 Comments

On December 3, Hong Kong’s main English newspaper, The South China Morning Post, posted on the social media website X, “Breaking: Japan’s Sanae Takaichi reaffirms Taiwan is a part of…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Government & Politics, Strategic Adversaries2022 U.S. National Defense Strategy, adversary military modernization, aerial fleet demands, ammunition ship cycling, Australia–U.S. cooperation, basing scarcity, carrier-based aerial refueling, China strategic depth advantage, Chinese nuclear arsenal growth, coercive actions, Cold War deterrence lessons, combat logistics forces, conventional forward deployment, conventional munitions stockpiles, conventional war in Europe, credibility of deterrence, deep hinterland, deterrence operations, dispersed allies and partners, extended deterrence, Extended nuclear deterrence, force posturing, forward-deployed U.S. forces, forward-deployed U.S. nuclear weapons, fuel stockpiles, Great Power Competition, high-value bases, Indo-Pacific security, integrated air and missile defense (IAMD), Japan–U.S. cooperation, limited defensible terrain, limited strategic depth in Indo-Pacific, logistics stress, missile defense pre-positioning, missile launch rates, mutual defense treaty, NATO commitments, neutral/non-aligned states, normalization of nuclear threats, North Korean nuclear arsenal growth, nuclear alliance responsibilities, Nuclear arms control, nuclear competition, open-ocean battlespace, Pacific coast infrastructure, People’s Republic of China (PRC), pre-positioning capabilities, rear bases to forward reload areas, regional rules-based order, resupply and transit times, sensor resource allocation, strategic competitor, strategic depth, sustaining operations over prolonged conflict, target concentration, targeting dilemmas for China, vertical proliferation of defenses, Western Pacific theater

Extended Deterrence and Strategic Depth

Robert Peters & Christine M. Leah1 Comment

The world is entering a new age of nuclear competition, characterized by the breakdown of nuclear arms control and the return of great power competition and conventional war to Europe.…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Diplomacy, Emerging Threats, Strategic AdversariesAbraham Accords, American commercial engagement, belt and road initiative, C5+1 framework, Central Asia, connectivity, critical minerals, economic diplomacy, energy transport networks, Eurasian Economic Union, Eurasian geopolitics, geopolitical recalibration, Great Power Competition, industrial cooperation, infrastructure investment, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, lithium reserves, mineral dominance, multi-alignment strategy, multilateral cooperation, multipolar world order, Russia-China alignment, Shanghai Cooperation Organization, smart containment, soft power, strategic autonomy, supply chain diversification, Tajikistan, technological competition, transit corridors, Turkmenistan, U.S.–China competition, U.S.–Russia competition, Ukraine war, United States foreign policy, uranium production, Uzbekistan, Wagner group

Why Central Asia Matters to the United States Again

Ziaulhaq Tanin0 Comments

At first glance, President Donald Trump’s November meeting with the leaders of five Central Asian countries under the C5+1 framework appears to signal a revival of America’s expansionist economic diplomacy.…

Archive, Defense & Security, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic Adversaries1997 Russia–Ukraine treaty, abducted Ukrainian children, Arms Control, Board of Peace, Budapest Memorandum (1994), ceasefire terms, constitutional neutrality (no NATO), demilitarized buffer zone, deterrence in Europe, deterrent value of nuclear weapons, Dnieper River access, drone attacks, education programs and “Nazi ideology” claims, elections within 100 days, European fighter jets in Poland, filtration camps, force and coercion, forced transfers, G8 invitation, global economy, Helsinki Final Act, humanitarian committee, missile strikes and escalation clauses, multinational force in Ukraine, NATO expansion, NATO open-door policy, NATO security assistance and training, NATO troop basing in Ukraine, NATO unity, non-aggression agreement, non-nuclear state status, nuclear nonproliferation, occupied territories, OSCE monitoring, partition, prisoners and hostages, reintegration of Russia, Reuters, Russian aggression, sabotage operations, security guarantees, stable and peaceful Europe, START Treaty, territorial integrity, transatlantic bond, Trump administration, Ukraine peace plan (28-point), Ukraine sovereignty, Ukrainian Armed Forces cap (600, UN Charter, US–Europe compromise plan, US–NATO role, US–Russian security taskforce, war crimes, wartime amnesty

Points, Counterpoints, and Starting Points

Alan Dowd0 Comments

The 28-point Ukraine peace plan the Trump administration recently delivered is highly problematic for a number of reasons. The document’s starting point, endpoint, and very premise raise concern for anyone…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Emerging Threats, Engage, Huessy Seminaradam lowther, cold war, deterrence policy, deterrence reality gap, dynamite, evolution of U.S. nuclear deterrence strategy, historical context, Hollywood myths, misconceptions in movies, narratives, National Institute for Deterrence Studies. , National Security, NIDS, Nuclear Deterrence, Oppenheimer, Peter Huessy, popular films, preventing large-scale conflict, public perceptions, seminar

Hollywood vs. Reality: Nuclear Deterrence in the Age of Dynamite and Oppenheimer-Huessy Seminar

Peter Huessy & Adam Lowther0 Comments

Hosted by the National Institute for Deterrence Studies (NIDS), this seminar explores how popular films and narratives shape public perceptions of nuclear deterrence—and how those portrayals often diverge from reality.…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic Adversaries

Japan’s New Prime Minister Galvanizes Defense and Security

Christophe Bosquillon0 Comments

Sanae Takaichi was elected Japan’s first female prime minister (PM), heralding a new dawn for the country’s defense and security policy. This watershed moment witnesses the conservative Liberal Democratic Party’s…

Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Emerging Threats, Strategic Adversaries

Arming for Deterrence: A Nuclear Posture for the Next Decade

Kirk Fansher, Curtis McGiffin & James Petrosky2 Comments

The United States needs a nuclear posture that supports its commitment to deterrence and averts costly wars. America’s traditional nuclear deterrence strategy is ill-suited for today’s accelerating threat environment and…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Emerging Threats, Strategic Adversaries

Time to End a Hopeless Policy

Alan Dowd & J. Daryl Charles0 Comments

“Hopefully, he’ll become reasonable,” President Donald Trump recently said of Vladimir Putin. There is a fundamental problem with that idea: it is not prudent to base US foreign policy and…

Allies & Extended Deterrence, Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Bonus Reads, Defense & Security, Deterrence & Foreign Policy, Strategic Adversaries

How Taiwan Could Earn Trump a Nobel Peace Prize

Lindell Lucy0 Comments

“Words matter,” explained Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, while delivering a statement on why President Donald Trump rebranded the Department of Defense the Department of War. Trump’s executive order states…