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Defense & SecurityBelarus, Russia, Ukraine, United States

How to Justify an Invasion: Russia’s FSB Accused of False-Flag Terrorist Attacks in Ukraine

Joshua Ball

The Head of Ukraine's SBU Security Service accused Russia's FSB of committing false-flag terrorist attacks to justify a full-scale invasion of Ukraine. In a rare televised interview on September 3rd,…

Defense & SecurityBhutan, China, Doklam Plateau, India, Japan, Nepal, North Korea

Asian Hegemony: Ongoing Tensions Between China and India

Joshua Ball

The border standoff between China and India has ended, but the rising Asian powers remain locked in a long-term rivalry for regional hegemony. There seems to have been a de-escalation between…

Defense & SecurityBelarus, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, NATO, Poland, Russia, Sweden, United States

Could Russia Attempt a Crimea-Style Operation Against Belarus?

Joshua Ball

As tensions mount in Moscow's standoff with the West, the upcoming Zapad military exercises likely will be larger and more important than ever before. Russia's annual strategic "Zapad" (запад; Russian…

Defense & SecurityBelarus, European Union, Poland, Russia, Ukraine

In Central Europe, Militarized Societies are on the March

Weronika Grzebalska

Russia recently held one of the largest “war games” since the Cold War, on its Western borders. The drill exercised combat scenarios recently used in Ukraine and tested the compatibility…

Economics & TradeBrazil, China, Colombia, Russia, United States, Venezuela

Analysis: The Economic Roots of Venezuela’s Collapse

Joshua Ball

Government corruption, corporate mismanagement, falling oil production, and failure to reinvest oil revenues contributed to Venezuela's security and economic crisis. Despite Venezuela's enormous oil reserves, the decline of the country's…

Defense & SecurityRussia, United States

Russian FSB Official Linked to DNC Hack Charged with Treason for “Aiding CIA”

Joshua Ball

Senior FSB agents accused of treason after Kremlin insiders dismissed the Steele dossier as "gossip." Seven days after Trump’s inauguration, a stream of reporting emerged from independent Russian media outlets.…

Government & PoliticsAmericas, Information Security, Russia, United States

The Trump Campaign’s Exploitation of Social Media

Sophia Porotsky

The Trump campaign's message was amplified by Twitter bots, trolls, and precision-targeted Facebook advertisements Through analyzing Donald Trump’s role in legitimizing Russia’s propaganda, and the separate—though arguably related—issue of the…

Defense & SecurityAmericas, Brazil, China, Colombia, International Security, Russia, United States, Venezuela

Crisis in Venezuela: Economic Collapse, Violent Unrest, and Human Survival

Joshua Ball

Venezuela is in the throes of a political and economic crisis. By no means a newfound concept for Venezuelans, this time is different. As the conflicts in Ukraine and the…

Defense & SecurityInformation Security, Russia, United States

Cambridge Analytica: The Darker Side of Big Data

Sophia Porotsky

The "election management" company uses big data and psychometric profiling in operations designed to suppress voter segments. Before closer scrutiny of the implications of the Trump campaign’s use of Cambridge…

Government & PoliticsRussia

Imagining Post-Putin Russia

Peter Rutland

On July 21, Vladimir Putin was asked at an audience with schoolchildren what he will do when he retires. He replied, “I haven’t decided yet if I will leave the…

Defense & SecurityAmericas, Brazil, China, Colombia, Hezbollah, International Security, Iran, Lebanon, Russia, Syria, Venezuela

Solving the Economic & Security Crisis in Venezuela

Joshua Ball

The best-case scenario for ending Venezuelan political and economic upheaval is through a negotiated settlement Dr. Jennifer McCoy, Distinguished University Professor of Political Science at Georgia State University, discussed a…

Defense & SecurityChina, Deterrence, Japan, North Korea, South Korea, United States

U.S. issues “red line” on North Korea, but leaves room for interpretation.

Joshua Ball

Analysis: Will—or When will—the U.S. Strike? Following this past week's second firing of a North Korean ballistic missile over Japanese territory, remarks were made in a joint press conference held…