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Adversary Demographic Trends Are Eroding American Nuclear Deterrence

Archive, Strategic AdversariesChina, demographics, economic, geostrategic analyses, National Security, Nuclear Deterrence, population, Russia, total fertility rate

Adversary Demographic Trends Are Eroding American Nuclear Deterrence

Joe Buff0 Comments

Differences in birth rates between countries can affect their demographics, with dire implications for national security. These differences can shift states’ relative economic and military power. They can also alter…

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Nuclear Deterrence Is Not a Theoretical Game

Archive, Strategic AdversariesArms Control, China, cold war, cuban missile crisis, North Korea, Nuclear Deterrence, Russia, three body problem, ussr, Vietnam

Nuclear Deterrence Is Not a Theoretical Game

Aaron Holland & Joe Buff0 Comments

During the Cold War, strategists used applied math for insights into nuclear strategy. Their techniques included game theory, macroeconomics, and systems analysis. These models, brilliant as their creators were, had…

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Narendra Modi’s Disappointing But Not Disastrous Election

Bonus ReadsChina, Elections, Foreign Policy, Hinduism, India, Islamabad, Modi’s National Democratic Alliance (NDA)

Narendra Modi’s Disappointing But Not Disastrous Election

Amit Gupta0 Comments

Yesterday, India concluded its six-week, drawn-out parliamentary elections. As always, the country did not fail to surprise the global community. The conventional wisdom was that Prime Minister Narendra Modi would win…

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Fixing the Nation’s Harbor Security

Archive, Emerging ThreatsArmy Corps of Engineers, China, coast, containers, harbor, India, Indonesia, logistics, Navy, Philippines, port, port security, Puget Sound, Russia, San Diego, San Francisco, ships, supply, USS Cole

Fixing the Nation’s Harbor Security

Michael Fincher0 Comments

In the early hours of March 26, 2024, the MV Dali, carrying over 4,000 containers, suffered a complete loss of power and struck a support pillar of the Francis Scott…

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The Strategic Contest in Ukraine: A Pivotal War Foreshadowing a Major US-China Conflict

Archive, Strategic AdversariesChina, Europe, HASC, Military aid, NATO, Russia, SASC, Ukraine, US, US Congress, war, Washington

The Strategic Contest in Ukraine: A Pivotal War Foreshadowing a Major US-China Conflict

Tomas Janeliunas1 Comment

Beyond halting Russia, American political and military support for Ukraine plays a crucial role in preventing China from escalating its aggression against Western democracies. The recent approval of a supplemental…

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Analyzing the Turkic Vector of Azerbaijan’s Foreign Policy

Allies & Extended Deterrence, ArchiveAzerbaijan, China, Collective Security Treaty Organization, Cultural, Foreign Policy, GCC, Gulf Countries, NATO, Russia, SOCAR, sovereignty, Turkey, Turkic States, Ukraine

Analyzing the Turkic Vector of Azerbaijan’s Foreign Policy

Rufat Ahmedzade0 Comments

The Organization of Turkic States (OTS) is one of the main foreign policy initiatives of Azerbaijan. In his swearing-in ceremony in February 2024 Azerbaijani president, Ilham Aliyev, described the OTS…

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Nuclear Castling in the Indo-Pacific

Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Strategic Adversariesbombers, China, CSNO, FOBs, ICBM, Indo-Pacific, Japan, NATO, North Korea, NPT, Nuclear Deterrence, Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty, SLBM, South Korea, START, USS Kentucky

Nuclear Castling in the Indo-Pacific

Michael R. DeMarco0 Comments

It is time to restation nuclear weapons in South Korea. The United States must modernize extended deterrence and strengthen the assurance of allies across the Indo-Pacific region. While the United…

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Two Years After the ASAT Test Ban: A Realistic Assessment

Archive, Space Deterrence & Conflictanti-satellite, Arms Control, ASAT, China, NGO, Nuclear Deterrence, Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty, outer space law, policy, Russia, satellite, Space, space deterrence

Two Years After the ASAT Test Ban: A Realistic Assessment

Michael J. Listner2 Comments

Introduction Two years have passed since the United States announced a unilateral ban on the testing of destructive anti-satellite (ASAT) weapons. The ban was announced on April 12, 2022, and…

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America’s Vital Nonproliferation Interests

Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Strategic AdversariesAfrican National Congress, Belarus, China, Germany, Kazakhstan, nonproliferation, North Atlantic Treaty, Nuclear Deterrence, nuclear disarmament, Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty, Nuclear Weapons, Russia, South Africa, Taiwan, Ukraine

America’s Vital Nonproliferation Interests

Joe Buff & Peter Huessy0 Comments

There are at least five compelling reasons for supporting continued American efforts to prevent the spread of nuclear arms. This is despite the aggressive nuclear buildup of Russia and China.…

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Nuclear Right-sizing

Archive, Arms Control & Nonproliferation, Strategic AdversariesArms Control, China, Iran, National defense, National Security, North Korea, Nuclear Deterrence, nuclear disarmament, nuclear proliferation treaty, Nuclear Weapons, Russia, test ban treaty

Nuclear Right-sizing

Joe Buff0 Comments

At the core of American deterrence is the question of right-sizing the arsenal. Given the growing arsenals of China, North Korea, and Russia, there is ample reason to question whether…

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The North Korean Missile Threat

Archive, Strategic AdversariesChina, DPRK, missile defense, North Korea, Nuclear Deterrence, Nuclear Weapons, ROK, Ulchi Freedom Shield

The North Korean Missile Threat

James Ragland0 Comments

When the United States withdrew its nuclear forces from the Korean Peninsula in 1991, it could not have known how the strategic environment would change over the next three decades.…

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Rebuilding a Credible European Nuclear Deterrent

Allies & Extended Deterrence, ArchiveBritish, China, Europe, European, European Security, French, German, Iran, NATO, North Korea, nuclear arsenal, Nuclear Deterrence, Russia, UK, United Kingdom

Rebuilding a Credible European Nuclear Deterrent

Christophe Bosquillon0 Comments

The topic of rebuilding a European nuclear deterrent in a world of finite American resources was the topic discussed by Max Hoell in one of Peter Huessy’s recent online seminars.…

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