5 Predictions of Major Global Security Threats in 2018

The global security landscape is the most complex in decades.

Predictions for the Islamic State, the global economy, ongoing tensions with North Korea, climate change, and the fallout from the massive cyber attacks of 2017.


Editor’s note: This video was produced by the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy at the University of Singapore. Global Security Review content was used to source some of the information provided.

Geopolitics in 2018: Non-state actors, economic growth, climate change, cyber attacks, and North Korea

  1. The Islamic State threat moves to Southeast Asia, where over 1,000 fighters have joined their ranks. The Islamic State is active in the Mindanao region of the Philippines, and it is responsible for at least one attack carried out in Indonesia in 2017.
  2. The global economy is projected to grow by almost 4% in 2018. Oil prices are expected to remain stable through the year, and the Federal Reserve of the United States is widely expected to continue raising interest rates.
  3. Tensions on the Korean Peninsula continue to persist.  The chance of a war with North Korea could be close to 70% if there is no cessation of nuclear threats from the North Koreans, says Senator Lindsay Graham. China is preparing for a flood of refugees across its border.
  4. Climate change will accelerate in 2018.  Scientists are observing an acceleration in rising sea levels.
  5. The fallout from the massive cyber attacks in 2017 will begin to emerge. Data breaches affected governments, corporations, and private citizens across the world.
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