The Transitional Justice Process So Far

Since 2006, the transitional justice process has seen some developments, including the CPA in 2006 and the Interim Constitution of 2007, both of which committed to providing justice to victims of human rights abuses by the institutions of the Nepalese state and the Maoists. In 2015, the Commission of Investigation on Enforced Disappeared Persons and the Truth and Reconciliation Commission (TRC) were instituted and received approximately 66,000 complaints of torture, rape, and murder by all parties to the conflict.

The Commissions, while in-principle representing steps towards ensuring accountability of crimes, were perceived as moves to build leniency into the transitional justice process. This was primarily because they had been empowered by the Transitional Justice Act of 2014 to grant amnesty. But this leniency was checked by the Nepalese Supreme Court when it ruled that the Nepalese Supreme Court could only establish criminality. A positive development, but four years later this remains to be integrated—and therefore actionable—by amending the 2014 Act. 

As the transitional justice process has ebbed and flowed, a fleeting appetite for transitional justice remains, given as some may argue that Nepal has “moved on” from the conflict, but much to the detriment of those who have and continue to suffer. 

Problematic Political Will

One of the primary challenges to the transitional justice process has been the attempts to co-opt it politically. Since April 2019, the two Commissions have been inactive as new members remain to be appointed. In the current format, a recommendation committee makes the recommendations which are subsequently approved by the political parties in Nepal. 

While the process to identify new members has been underway, the three main political parties—the Nepali Congress (NC) and the two factions of the Nepali Communist Party (NCP)—have been trying to influence the membership in favor of those individuals who these parties believe will do their bidding. The inadequate political willingness stems from a deep concern that pursuing a proper transitional justice process will implicate present-day leaders and members of these political parties.

Moreover, the NC and NCP were on opposite ends of the conflict given as the NC formed the government while members of the NCP were the rebels. As a result, they have not been able to agree on members. The Nepalese Army, also a party to the decade-long conflict, has consistently maintained that members of the Nepalese armed forces must be tried separately in a military court and not in civilian courts or other transitional mechanisms.  

The culmination of repeated iterations of such problematic political will is that the transitional justice process has come to be centered around those in positions of power, thereby sidelining the victims.

The Lack of a Victim-Centric Approach 

The Conflict Victims’ Common Platform (CVCP), a collective of regional victim groups enabled by the United Nations Development Program (UNDP), has demanded the process of appointments to the Commissions be undertaken only after the Transitional Justice Act is amended as per the 2015 Nepalese Supreme Court ruling. By ensuring this amendment, the Act will ensure that those in power will have a lesser say in determining the nature of justice and the nature of reparations.

The CVCP has also reiterated that membership in the two Commissions is determined through a public and consultative process. In the current format, a recommendation committee is selecting the members to the Commission without any meaningful consultation with the conflict victims and other stakeholders. Thus, the ongoing nature of the process resembles one that is working to protect the perpetrators, rather than ensure the delivery of justice to the victims. Echoing this sentiment, human rights organizations and the United Nations have also been calling for a more victim-centric and consultative transitional justice process to address the general apathy towards addressing the impact of the war on victims. 

Where to, Hereon?

A natural result of this problematic political will and the lack of integration of victims is a transitional justice structure that has been consciously deprived of a definitive end. A tendency to move on and look towards the future has also emerged. Some speculate how this is plausible, especially when legacies from the past continue to create the future landscape. In the aftermath of the brutal rape of a 13-year-old girl in 2018, one editorial spoke of how the disastrous fact-finding process that followed may not have been so if the post-war legacy would have been one of building accountability and ensuring justice. 

At this juncture, it is imperative to make two changes to help correct course. The first is that the members to the committees must be appointed through a more public and consultative process per the directive of the CVCP. The victims must have a say in determining this selection. The second is that the committee must also take into account the merit of the members it selects in the human rights domain. The transitional justice literature often makes references to the role that wise and respected individuals could play in enabling trust into the transitional justice process. At this juncture, the transitional justice process in Nepal needs this trust to be rebuilt into it. 

No End in Sight to the Struggle for Transitional Justice in Nepal was originally published on Global Security Review.

There seems to have been a de-escalation between India and China in the border dispute over the Doklam Plateau, but the dormant battle across the Himalayas continues.

The Himalayas form a powerful barrier. But, there are areas where the boundary is contested, producing constant tension. The long frontier between India and China is disrupted by two nations south of the Himalayas primary variety and open to India’s heartland: Bhutan and Nepal.

As Bhutan and Nepal are strategically vital to India’s interests, New Delhi yields considerable influence on them, and can, at times, overstep.

India has exercised influence on their internal policies, including by enforcing trade restrictions. The Himalayas are still an efficient line of defense for India against potential Chinese aggression, since traversing them is very difficult. However stronger Chinese influence on Bhutan and Nepal might be strategically lethal for India.

India and China are both emerging world powers with ambitions of regional hegemony. India has numerous concerns aside from its Himalayan border. China became a close commercial and strategic partner of its longtime adversary, Pakistan. Furthermore, the Chinese navy is increasing its presence in the Indian Ocean as part of its One Belt, One Road initiative.

China’s Growing Influence in the Southern Hemisphere

Chinese influence is climbing in Africa, on the other side of the Indian Ocean, and its influence is growing in neighboring Burma, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka. And on the other hand, India firmly supports Vietnam, that has repeating disputes with China over the South China Sea and works in close cooperation with the United States.

In the 1950s, China annexed Tibet, which is poorly populated because of its elevation and climate. It is located just north of the primary section of the Himalayas. It isn’t just strategically significant, but it’s a source of water to vast portions of South Asia, Southeast Asia, and China.

China has brought infrastructure such as improved railroads to Tibet. It’s now working on similar projects to connect China to neighboring states in the Himalayas. China has been improving access to the region with contemporary railroads and highways. It’s also increasing its presence in the area with major road and railway projects through the Himalayas, connecting it with Pakistan, and plans to construct comparable links to Nepal.

Improved rail infrastructure in the Himalayas would connect these states to China’s entire transportation network, which continues to be further developed and modernized. Additionally, China might use its control over the region’s water as a means of exerting influence.

Analysis: China is Unprepared for a Conflict with India

A big issue for China is the 19th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party Central Committee, which is scheduled for October 19. A blunder in Doklam could, in the worst case, cause a power struggle that forces Chinese President Xi Jinping to step down. Xi might still face criticism in the Congress for having to back down in Doklam, but not as far as in other situations. China’s expansionist policies in the South China Sea and elsewhere have won praise throughout China.

Xi’s expansionist policies leave analysts with many questions about where he is leading China. Relations between China and neighboring states like Japan, Vietnam, and the Philippines, are tense.

Lastly, it is becoming more and more clear that there is a decreasing chance of a peaceful reunification with Taiwan. More pressingly, the ongoing North Korea nuclear weapons crisis presents extreme risks to China in the short term.

Asian Hegemony: Ongoing Tensions Between China and India was originally published on Global Security Review.